Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	99.2	87.2	186.4	+11.9	72%
Season at home (20)	100.6	88.2	188.8	+12.4	80%
Season away (19)	97.7	86.3	183.9	+11.4	63%
Last 10 (10)	104.5	86.6	191.1	+17.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	97.4	83.8	181.2	+13.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	101.2	87.5	188.7	+13.7	80%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

92-89

H14/02

NBL

Perth

74-86

-12

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

107-111

107

111

-4

H22/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

104-97

104

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-101

101

-9

A14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

108-96

108

+12

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

68-112

112

-44

A21/03

NBL

Sydney

91-89

H27/03

NBL

Sydney

93-106

106

-13

A29/03

NBL

Sydney

92-91

H01/04

NBL

16-29

23-21

20-21

33-18

17-19

17-29

24-17

16-21

25-28

29-19

28-34

25-30

25-27

25-21

27-27

27-22

30-19

27-25

20-39

15-18

28-17

31-28

24-19

25-32

23-31

16-28

17-31

12-22

25-30

28-22

15-25

23-12

31-24

22-28

17-21

23-33

22-24

24-29

26-21

20-17

189.9Avg total

92.1Scored

97.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	92.6	90.1	182.7	+2.5	66%
Season at home (22)	92.7	89.8	182.5	+3.0	73%
Season away (19)	92.5	90.4	182.9	+2.1	58%
Last 10 (10)	92.1	97.8	189.9	-5.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	98.8	189.2	-8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	91.3	96.9	188.2	-5.6	46%
vs Similar (9)	94.2	92.8	187.0	+1.4	67%
vs Weaker (8)	96.5	82.8	179.2	+13.8	88%

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.0	23.8	49.8	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.5	23.4	49.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.6	24.2	49.8	+1.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	25.8	53.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	24.8	51.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	26.0	23.8	49.8	+2.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.6	46.6	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	24.0	46.3	-1.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.8	23.1	46.9	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	24.8	49.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	25.2	51.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.9	22.8	45.6	+0.1	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.5	21.3	46.8	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.4	20.9	48.3	+6.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	21.7	45.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	21.8	47.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.6	48.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	25.5	21.3	46.8	+4.2	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.3	22.8	47.1	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	23.8	45.2	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	25.0	49.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	27.0	51.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	23.2	25.0	48.2	-1.8	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	20.9	45.1	+3.4	62%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

55-54

A08/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-46

+12

A13/02

NBL

Perth

55-45

+10

H15/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

58-50

A20/02

NBL

Perth

48-44

H11/03

NBL

Perth

43-46

-3

A14/03

NBL

Adelaide

59-39

+20

H21/03

NBL

Adelaide

52-53

-1

A27/03

NBL

Adelaide

52-53

-1

H29/03

NBL

Adelaide

53-46

A01/04

NBL

100.9Avg total

53.3Scored

47.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.5	45.1	96.6	+6.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	53.9	44.3	98.2	+9.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.2	45.9	95.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.3	47.6	100.9	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	47.4	99.2	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	51.5	45.1	96.6	+6.4	70%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

39-50

-11

H14/02

NBL

Perth

34-48

-14

A20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

54-47

H22/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

50-48

H10/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

57-44

+13

A14/03

NBL

South East Melbourne

59-45

+14

H17/03

NBL

Sydney

39-59

-20

A21/03

NBL

Sydney

53-52

H27/03

NBL

Sydney

53-52

A29/03

NBL

Sydney

46-53

-7

H01/04

NBL

98.2Avg total

48.4Scored

49.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	46.8	92.8	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	46.8	93.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.2	46.9	92.1	-1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.4	49.8	98.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	52.2	102.2	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	47.2	49.2	96.5	-2.0	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.1	46.1	89.2	-3.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.1	43.6	90.8	+3.5	75%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	20.1	44.9	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.3	21.3	46.7	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	18.9	43.1	+5.2	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	19.4	44.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	24.7	20.1	44.9	+4.6	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.6	44.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.5	44.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	25.5	47.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.9	24.7	45.6	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	17.1	41.6	+7.4	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	21.9	46.2	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	23.3	47.6	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	20.6	44.9	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	19.6	45.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	24.3	21.9	46.2	+2.4	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	21.6	45.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.0	42.1	91.1	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.7	44.6	94.3	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.4	39.5	87.9	+8.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.2	39.0	90.2	+12.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	36.4	82.0	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	49.0	42.1	91.1	+7.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	43.5	89.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.8	42.6	88.4	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.4	44.4	89.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	48.0	91.7	-4.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	46.6	87.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	43.5	46.8	90.2	-3.3	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.9	43.7	90.6	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.6	37.9	85.5	+9.8	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 104.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	25.7	60.9%	54.6%	51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	12.0	39.7%	33.3%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	22.2	17.1	77.0%	74.8%	17.1

They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	21.7	56.8%	54.6%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	10.3	34.4%	33.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	18.8	15.0	79.8%	74.8%	15.0

They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	19.9	50.4%	54.6%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.5	11.2	30.7%	33.3%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	15.5	12.6	81.3%	74.8%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.8	53.0%	54.6%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	11.8	36.9%	33.3%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	12.5	74.9%	74.8%	12.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	25.1	57.9%	54.6%	50.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	11.6	37.2%	33.3%	34.7
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.1	75.6%	74.8%	16.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	22.5	53.4%	54.6%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.4	37.0%	33.3%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	20.6	16.4	79.7%	74.8%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	20.6	51.0%	54.6%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.9	10.6	32.2%	33.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.7	76.8%	74.8%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	23.3	51.9%	54.6%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.0	33.6%	33.3%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.1	73.1%	74.8%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sydney

LWLWWWWWWW

Adelaide

WLWLWLWLLW

League position

+19.9

Net rating

-4.7

112.4

Offensive rating

99.2

92.5

Defensive rating

103.8

60.4%

Effective FG%

54.6%

48.3%

Opp. effective FG%

54.0%

10.2%

Turnover %

13.6%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.28

39.7%

3-point %

34.4%

63.4%

Assist %

67.8%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Sydney ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
01/04/26	Adelaide v Sydney	92-91
29/03/26	Sydney v Adelaide	106-93
27/03/26	Adelaide v Sydney	91-89
21/03/26	Sydney v Adelaide	112-68
25/01/26	Sydney v Adelaide	106-101
02/01/26	Adelaide v Sydney	85-79
17/12/25	Sydney v Adelaide	97-93 OT
11/10/25	Adelaide v Sydney	79-103
13/02/25	Sydney v Adelaide	88-95
24/01/25	Sydney v Adelaide	96-105

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/26	A	Adelaide	91-92
29/03/26	H	Adelaide	106-93
27/03/26	A	Adelaide	89-91
21/03/26	H	Adelaide	112-68
14/03/26	A	Perth	89-75
11/03/26	H	Perth	105-104
20/02/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	117-77
15/02/26	H	Perth	102-84
13/02/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	120-94
08/02/26	A	South East Melbourne	114-88

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/26	H	Sydney	92-91
29/03/26	A	Sydney	93-106
27/03/26	H	Sydney	91-89
21/03/26	A	Sydney	68-112
17/03/26	H	South East Melbourne	108-96
14/03/26	A	South East Melbourne	92-101
10/03/26	H	South East Melbourne	104-97
22/02/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	107-111
20/02/26	A	Perth	74-86
14/02/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	72%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	WWWLL	63%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	72%	80%	63%
Points / game	99.2	100.6	97.7
Allowed / game	87.2	88.2	86.3
Point differential	+11.9	+12.4	+11.4
Avg total	186.4	188.8	183.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	55%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	67% (6)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	66%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	WLLLL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	22	19
Win %	66%	73%	58%
Points / game	92.6	92.7	92.5
Allowed / game	90.1	89.8	90.4
Point differential	+2.5	+3.0	+2.1
Avg total	182.7	182.5	182.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	27%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (14)	83% (6)	50% (8)
Overtime %	10%	9%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	39	28	11	72%	99.2	87.2	+11.9
2	Adelaide	41	27	14	66%	92.6	90.1	+2.5
3	South East Melbourne	37	24	13	65%	100.8	93.5	+7.3
4	Melbourne United	35	21	14	60%	91.4	87.7	+3.8
5	Perth	37	22	15	59%	90.9	87.1	+3.8
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	34	14	20	41%	86.5	87.2	-0.7
7	New Zealand Breakers	34	14	20	41%	92.1	93.1	-0.9
8	Illawarra Hawks	33	13	20	39%	93.2	97.1	-4.0
9	Cairns Taipans	33	9	24	27%	83.5	96.8	-13.3
10	Brisbane Bullets	33	6	27	18%	82.1	96.8	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sydney	29	27	13	26	18	113
Adelaide	31	24	21	19	6	101

← all games of the day

Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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