PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sydney vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 95-70
24-15 27-15 26-19 18-21
Position#1
Record12-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game85.8
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#10
Record6-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game95.3
AustraliaNBLRound 14· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sydney v Brisbane Bullets
25 Jan 2027
SYDN v BRIS
upcoming
30 Sep 2026
SYDN93
BRIS78
15 Jan 2026
SYDN95
BRIS80
30 Dec 2025
SYDN95
BRIS70
15 Dec 2024
SYDN93
BRIS81
07 Jan 2024
SYDN93
BRIS101
12 Nov 2023
SYDN104
BRIS95
07 Oct 2022
SYDN100
BRIS90
13 Feb 2022
SYDN71
BRIS69
23 Jan 2022
SYDN97
BRIS73
05 Jun 2021
SYDN83
BRIS82
03 Apr 2021
SYDN90
BRIS71
26 Oct 2019
SYDN94
BRIS79
03 Feb 2019
SYDN107
BRIS91
29 Dec 2018
SYDN75
BRIS68
10 Feb 2018
SYDN92
BRIS80
09 Dec 2017
SYDN77
BRIS85
30 Oct 2016
SYDN87
BRIS78
08 Oct 2016
SYDN73
BRIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 85
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 85
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 85
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 85
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 85
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 85
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
74avg 85
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
84avg 85
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
119-77
119
77
+42
119avg 85
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 85
H25/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
27-26
20-23
27-19
16-27
26-25
18-17
32-21
32-16
24-25
21-25
24-20
15-14
23-29
20-27
23-9
19-20
28-23
29-18
34-19
28-17
34-19
28-22
21-17
25-26
182.0Avg total
96.7Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)94.685.8180.4+8.863%
Season at home (9)94.483.0177.4+11.467%
Season away (10)94.888.3183.1+6.560%
Last 10 (10)96.785.3182.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)104.883.8188.6+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
vs Similar (4)99.596.8196.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.987.6181.6+6.360%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 75
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-113
84
113
-29
75avg 75
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
79avg 75
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
76avg 75
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 75
A05/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 75
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
62-86
62
86
-24
45avg 75
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
78-107
78
107
-29
65avg 75
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
99avg 75
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 75
H27/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
27-20
23-17
14-21
18-27
18-41
21-24
27-21
24-24
14-23
16-25
39-27
19-27
21-29
21-18
15-29
20-23
13-27
12-27
20-13
33-23
17-26
18-22
17-29
13-22
21-27
15-16
13-21
17-22
21-33
12-25
28-27
26-20
30-21
23-22
20-22
26-28
19-31
26-21
16-12
176.8Avg total
81.2Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.095.3181.4-9.329%
Season at home (10)85.496.8182.2-11.420%
Season away (11)86.694.0180.6-7.436%
Last 10 (10)81.295.6176.8-14.420%
Last 5 (5)82.294.0176.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)85.199.4184.6-14.322%
vs Similar (7)90.189.9180.0+0.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
SydneyBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H25/12
NBL
94.6Avg total
48.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.147.294.3-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.747.594.2-0.859%-
Last 30 away (13)47.746.794.4+1.054%-
Last 10 (10)48.446.294.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.246.096.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (4)49.554.5104.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.145.993.0+1.264%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
36-68
36
68
-32
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H27/12
NBL
93.3Avg total
41.6Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.751.194.8-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.853.195.9-10.329%-
Last 30 away (16)44.549.493.9-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.651.793.3-10.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.650.695.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)43.252.795.9-9.430%-
vs Similar (7)45.346.091.3-0.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.1
52.0%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.9
36.0%
33.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
74.8%15.6
They take 75.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.2
51.2%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.5
27.7%
33.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
74.8%13.5
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWWWWLLWWW
Brisbane Bullets
LWLLLLLLLW
#1
League position
#10
+13.4
Net rating
-18.0
116.0
Offensive rating
98.6
102.7
Defensive rating
116.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
27.7%
60.3%
Assist %
55.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 98.6Defence102.7 · 116.6Shooting52.8% · 47.4%3-point %36.0% · 27.7%Ball care12.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 31.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Sydney   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sydney wins
1
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Brisbane Bullets v Sydney79-116
04/01/25Brisbane Bullets v Sydney86-91
15/12/24Sydney v Brisbane Bullets93-81
05/10/24Brisbane Bullets v Sydney82-91
07/01/24Sydney v Brisbane Bullets93-101
12/11/23Sydney v Brisbane Bullets104-95
13/10/23Brisbane Bullets v Sydney102-113
11/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Sydney67-116
16/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Sydney85-102
07/10/22Sydney v Brisbane Bullets100-90
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/25HIllawarra Hawks108-84
21/12/25HCairns Taipans119-77
17/12/25HAdelaide97-93 OT
14/12/25AMelbourne United92-86 OT
12/12/25APerth108-79
03/12/25ANew Zealand Breakers90-95
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HMelbourne United87-92
22/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-85
20/12/25ASouth East Melbourne78-107
14/12/25HPerth62-86
11/12/25AIllawarra Hawks85-100
05/12/25AAdelaide65-90
20/11/25HSouth East Melbourne76-103
15/11/25AMelbourne United93-99
12/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers84-113
08/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game94.694.494.8
Allowed / game85.883.088.3
Point differential+8.8+11.4+6.5
Avg total180.4177.4183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%20%36%
Points / game86.085.486.6
Allowed / game95.396.894.0
Point differential-9.3-11.4-7.4
Avg total181.4182.2180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2117481%92.985.7+7.2
2 Melbourne United2215768%94.788.9+5.8
3 South East Melbourne2013765%95.887.9+7.9
4 Sydney1912763%94.685.8+8.8
5 Perth21111052%88.386.7+1.7
6 Tasmania JackJumpers22101245%85.785.5+0.1
7 New Zealand Breakers2181338%88.589.0-0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks1961332%88.596.8-8.4
9 Brisbane Bullets2161529%86.095.3-9.3
10 Cairns Taipans2051525%81.595.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2427261895
Brisbane Bullets1515192170
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.