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Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 98-66
29-19 28-17 24-14 17-16
Position#4
Record16-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game88.7
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#10
Record6-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game95.1
AustraliaNBLRound 18· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets
06 Dec 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MELB98
BRIS66
15 Nov 2025
MELB99
BRIS93
08 Dec 2024
MELB114
BRIS122
10 Dec 2023
MELB103
BRIS68
15 Oct 2023
MELB89
BRIS78
10 Dec 2022
MELB104
BRIS88
16 Apr 2022
MELB88
BRIS79
05 Mar 2022
MELB95
BRIS83
12 Apr 2021
MELB98
BRIS89
07 Mar 2021
MELB88
BRIS96
29 Dec 2019
MELB96
BRIS102
24 Nov 2019
MELB108
BRIS94
10 Dec 2018
MELB74
BRIS90
18 Nov 2018
MELB102
BRIS94
03 Feb 2018
MELB69
BRIS61
26 Dec 2017
MELB69
BRIS68
26 Dec 2016
MELB97
BRIS59
20 Oct 2016
MELB78
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
86-111
86
111
-25
75avg 86
A07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
105-114 OT
105
114
-9
87avg 86
A12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
83avg 86
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-75
97
75
+22
89avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 86
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 86
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 86
A03/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
92-93
92
93
-1
75avg 86
H07/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 86
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
23-28
21-23
20-28
22-27
26-32
19-22
28-14
25-24
25-21
20-24
14-15
24-20
23-21
27-26
23-8
19-22
20-20
9-23
25-27
28-26
31-19
21-26
12-16
16-19
19-25
15-19
25-21
22-29
23-14
30-33
17-17
23-26
25-30
25-23
21-18
23-21
20-21
18-17
18-18
180.1Avg total
87.9Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)93.288.7181.9+4.562%
Season at home (13)93.384.4177.7+8.969%
Season away (13)93.193.0186.1+0.154%
Last 10 (10)87.992.2180.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)86.487.6174.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)92.193.8185.9-1.625%
vs Similar (7)92.793.1185.9-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.085.1178.1+7.973%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 75
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
62-86
62
86
-24
45avg 75
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
78-107
78
107
-29
65avg 75
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
99avg 75
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 75
H27/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
62avg 75
A30/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
68avg 75
H01/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 75
H04/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 75
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
A15/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
17-26
18-22
17-29
13-22
21-27
15-16
13-21
17-22
21-33
12-25
28-27
26-20
30-21
23-22
20-22
26-28
19-31
26-21
16-12
15-24
15-27
19-26
21-18
16-25
28-15
11-31
20-24
20-15
25-23
20-30
21-29
16-28
19-19
27-21
21-20
23-29
18-23
17-23
22-20
174.5Avg total
80.5Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.795.1179.7-10.423%
Season at home (12)84.696.7181.2-12.117%
Season away (14)84.793.7178.4-9.029%
Last 10 (10)80.594.0174.5-13.510%
Last 5 (5)78.894.0172.8-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)83.897.1180.9-13.321%
vs Similar (6)91.888.7180.5+3.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
Melbourne UnitedBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
NBL
93.6Avg total
45.9Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.345.292.5+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.940.787.6+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)47.749.797.4-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)45.947.793.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.046.092.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.248.594.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (7)46.450.096.4-3.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.341.189.5+7.280%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H27/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A30/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/01
NBL
89.9Avg total
41.8Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.949.992.7-7.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.350.794.0-7.438%-
Last 30 away (17)42.549.291.8-6.729%-
Last 10 (10)41.848.189.9-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.684.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)42.451.093.4-8.633%-
vs Similar (6)44.845.390.2-0.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.5
50.6%
54.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.5
29.5%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.9
80.9%
74.8%16.9
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.6
49.4%
54.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.8
26.2%
33.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.6
72.6%
74.8%14.6
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLLLWLWLLL
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#10
-7.1
Net rating
-18.3
105.6
Offensive rating
95.4
112.7
Defensive rating
113.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
45.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.5%
3-point %
26.2%
57.4%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 95.4Defence112.7 · 113.7Shooting48.1% · 45.6%3-point %29.5% · 26.2%Ball care15.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Melbourne United wins
1
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United87-92
15/11/25Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets99-93
17/10/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United86-95
26/01/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United88-115
08/12/24Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets114-122
07/11/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United103-120
26/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United77-93
10/12/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets103-68
15/10/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets89-78
14/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United91-101
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers79-77
11/01/26ASydney94-97
07/01/26HCairns Taipans92-93
03/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers75-84
27/12/25ABrisbane Bullets92-87
23/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers73-92
18/12/25HIllawarra Hawks97-75
14/12/25HSydney86-92 OT
12/12/25AAdelaide105-114 OT
07/12/25ASouth East Melbourne86-111
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ASydney80-95
12/01/26ACairns Taipans83-88
04/01/26HAdelaide86-97
01/01/26HPerth75-95
30/12/25ASydney70-95
27/12/25HMelbourne United87-92
22/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-85
20/12/25ASouth East Melbourne78-107
14/12/25HPerth62-86
11/12/25AIllawarra Hawks85-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeLWLLW69%
AwayLLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game93.293.393.1
Allowed / game88.784.493.0
Point differential+4.5+8.9+0.1
Avg total181.9177.7186.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %23%17%29%
Points / game84.784.684.7
Allowed / game95.196.793.7
Point differential-10.4-12.1-9.0
Avg total179.7181.2178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2519676%91.786.1+5.6
2 South East Melbourne2517868%99.291.2+8.0
3 Sydney2516964%95.485.8+9.6
4 Melbourne United26161062%93.288.7+4.5
5 Perth25151060%89.986.8+3.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers26121446%85.284.6+0.6
7 New Zealand Breakers25101540%88.790.1-1.4
8 Illawarra Hawks2481633%90.296.9-6.7
9 Cairns Taipans2571828%82.995.9-13.0
10 Brisbane Bullets2662023%84.795.1-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United2928241798
Brisbane Bullets1917141666
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