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Sydney vs Tasmania JackJumpers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 105-94
26-14 26-22 31-28 22-30
Position#1
Record16-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#6
Record12-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.6
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sydney v Tasmania JackJumpers
13 Feb 2027
SYDN v TASM
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
SYDN v TASM
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
SYDN105
TASM94
26 Oct 2025
SYDN89
TASM90
19 Jan 2025
SYDN88
TASM77
03 Nov 2024
SYDN88
TASM60
22 Oct 2023
SYDN95
TASM105
30 Dec 2022
SYDN97
TASM77
11 Dec 2022
SYDN76
TASM84
11 May 2022
SYDN97
TASM88
06 May 2022
SYDN95
TASM78
22 Dec 2021
SYDN83
TASM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tasmania JackJumpers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
74avg 87
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
84avg 87
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
119-77
119
77
+42
119avg 87
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 87
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 87
H30/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 87
A02/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 87
H05/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
103-62
103
62
+41
104avg 87
A09/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
90avg 87
H11/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H15/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-25
24-20
15-14
23-29
20-27
23-9
19-20
28-23
29-18
34-19
28-17
34-19
28-22
21-17
25-26
24-15
27-15
26-19
18-21
26-19
15-16
18-21
20-29
35-31
25-28
32-36
25-29
23-17
27-4
25-19
28-22
26-23
30-25
23-25
18-21
29-23
23-18
23-17
20-22
185.7Avg total
100.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.485.8181.2+9.664%
Season at home (13)96.585.8182.2+10.769%
Season away (12)94.285.8180.0+8.358%
Last 10 (10)100.285.5185.7+14.780%
Last 5 (5)98.289.0187.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
vs Similar (2)100.098.0198.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)95.186.9182.0+8.359%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
79avg 77
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
73avg 77
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
85-94
85
94
-9
76avg 77
H21/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
92-73
92
73
+19
84avg 77
A23/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
63avg 77
H26/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 77
H29/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
90-92
90
92
-2
74avg 77
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
79avg 77
H03/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 77
A09/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-36
25-12
18-18
19-15
13-21
24-18
23-15
21-14
18-19
24-25
22-27
21-23
22-19
20-20
23-9
27-25
18-25
18-12
19-14
16-20
23-15
26-18
17-23
21-28
18-23
21-27
26-23
25-19
19-16
25-19
19-15
21-25
13-16
27-11
20-24
20-21
21-23
21-20
17-18
18-18
164.4Avg total
84.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.284.6169.8+0.646%
Season at home (12)86.085.5171.5+0.533%
Season away (14)84.683.9168.4+0.757%
Last 10 (10)84.579.9164.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)83.680.4164.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)87.388.1175.4-0.847%
vs Similar (9)84.187.8171.9-3.733%
vs Weaker (4)78.877.0155.8+1.850%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
SydneyTasmania JackJumpers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H30/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H05/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A09/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/01
NBL
93.9Avg total
51.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.045.094.0+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.345.996.2+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)47.643.991.5+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)51.742.293.9+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)51.840.892.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (2)55.050.5105.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)49.044.493.4+4.674%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A23/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H29/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H03/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A09/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/01
NBL
81.8Avg total
42.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.144.088.0+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.642.687.1+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.645.288.8-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.581.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.680.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)47.344.491.6+2.953%-
vs Similar (9)40.643.984.4-3.333%-
vs Weaker (4)38.242.580.8-4.20%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.225.8
58.4%
54.6%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.4
37.0%
33.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
74.8%15.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.5
49.7%
54.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
74.8%15.0
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWWLLWWWWW
Tasmania JackJumpers
LWWLWLWLWW
#1
League position
#6
+19.3
Net rating
+4.7
120.2
Offensive rating
110.7
100.9
Defensive rating
105.9
57.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
10.8%
Turnover %
13.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
32.0%
57.8%
Assist %
52.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 110.7Defence100.9 · 105.9Shooting57.2% · 49.1%3-point %37.0% · 32.0%Ball care10.8% · 13.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 36.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Sydney   ■ Tasmania JackJumpers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney wins
5
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HBrisbane Bullets95-80
11/01/26HMelbourne United97-94
09/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers103-62
05/01/26HSouth East Melbourne117-124
02/01/26AAdelaide79-85
30/12/25HBrisbane Bullets95-70
25/12/25HIllawarra Hawks108-84
21/12/25HCairns Taipans119-77
17/12/25HAdelaide97-93 OT
14/12/25AMelbourne United92-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AMelbourne United77-79
09/01/26AAdelaide80-72
03/01/26HMelbourne United84-75
31/12/25AIllawarra Hawks90-92
29/12/25HSouth East Melbourne87-84
26/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers80-81 OT
23/12/25AMelbourne United92-73
21/12/25HPerth85-94
13/12/25ACairns Taipans81-68
10/12/25ASouth East Melbourne89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%69%58%
Points / game95.496.594.2
Allowed / game85.885.885.8
Point differential+9.6+10.7+8.3
Avg total181.2182.2180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%46%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWLLWW33%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %46%33%57%
Points / game85.286.084.6
Allowed / game84.685.583.9
Point differential+0.6+0.5+0.7
Avg total169.8171.5168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)20% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2519676%91.786.1+5.6
2 South East Melbourne2618869%100.192.2+8.0
3 Sydney2516964%95.485.8+9.6
4 Melbourne United27171063%93.487.9+5.5
5 Perth25151060%89.986.8+3.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers26121446%85.284.6+0.6
7 New Zealand Breakers26101638%89.791.3-1.6
8 Illawarra Hawks2481633%90.296.9-6.7
9 Cairns Taipans2571828%82.995.9-13.0
10 Brisbane Bullets2762122%84.095.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney26263122105
Tasmania JackJumpers1422283094
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