Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	92.1	86.0	178.1	+6.1	56%
Season at home (6)	87.7	82.2	169.8	+5.5	50%
Season away (10)	94.8	88.3	183.1	+6.5	60%
Last 10 (10)	94.3	88.0	182.3	+6.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	87.0	180.8	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	91.5	103.0	194.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	99.5	96.8	196.2	+2.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	92.0	87.6	179.6	+4.5	58%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

90-88

79avg 88

H02/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-79

73avg 88

A06/11

NBL

Perth

87-94

-7

72avg 88

H09/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

97-86

+11

91avg 88

A13/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

105-101 OT

105

101

93avg 88

H16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

97-85

+12

87avg 88

H19/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

94-81

+13

92avg 88

A22/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

90-65

+25

92avg 88

H05/12

NBL

Perth

95-94

94avg 88

A07/12

NBL

Melbourne United

114-105 OT

114

105

110avg 88

H12/12

NBL

21-19

20-22

31-26

18-21

22-14

21-33

23-21

17-11

18-17

27-27

31-28

11-22

26-15

26-23

28-17

17-31

26-27

25-23

27-18

13-23

21-22

23-27

27-15

26-21

19-23

18-20

30-21

27-17

23-20

27-13

27-12

13-20

22-25

18-25

20-28

35-16

27-22

32-26

22-19

14-28

183.0Avg total

95.2Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	93.2	86.3	179.5	+6.9	82%
Season at home (10)	93.5	88.1	181.6	+5.4	80%
Season away (7)	92.9	83.7	176.6	+9.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	95.2	87.8	183.0	+7.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.0	86.0	184.0	+12.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	95.3	93.0	188.3	+2.3	58%
vs Similar (10)	94.0	90.2	184.2	+3.8	60%
vs Weaker (8)	96.1	82.4	178.5	+13.8	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	24.5	47.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	25.4	46.2	-4.6	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	23.4	48.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.5	48.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.5	26.0	53.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	29.0	51.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.2	23.6	45.8	-1.5	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	20.4	45.0	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	25.0	19.8	44.8	+5.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	25.4	21.2	46.6	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (8)	26.4	20.4	46.8	+6.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.5	47.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	23.4	48.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	23.6	46.4	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.9	46.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	28.0	49.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	26.8	25.5	52.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	24.0	22.8	46.8	+1.2	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	22.8	47.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.8	21.6	47.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	23.8	47.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.9	47.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	24.2	23.5	47.8	+0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	25.9	23.3	49.2	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	21.0	44.1	+2.1	50%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

48-45

A23/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

55-50

H26/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

57-45

+12

A01/11

NBL

Melbourne United

54-50

A03/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-41

-2

H09/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-32

+21

A16/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

40-60

-20

A23/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-49

-2

A03/12

NBL

Perth

44-42

A12/12

NBL

Melbourne United

45-50

-5

A14/12

NBL

94.6Avg total

48.2Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	48.0	94.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	48.9	95.0	-2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.4	47.0	94.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	46.4	94.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	46.6	92.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	48.5	54.0	102.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	49.5	54.5	104.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	46.1	46.4	92.5	-0.3	58%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

41-41

H02/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-47

-4

A06/11

NBL

Perth

45-44

H09/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

52-38

+14

A13/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

51-50

H16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-49

-5

H19/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

37-43

-6

A22/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

50-33

+17

H05/12

NBL

Perth

40-50

-10

A07/12

NBL

Melbourne United

59-48

+11

H12/12

NBL

90.5Avg total

46.2Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.1	43.1	92.3	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.0	42.6	92.6	+7.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	48.4	43.6	91.9	+4.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	44.3	90.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	44.6	90.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	49.7	44.7	94.3	+5.0	58%	-
vs Similar (10)	48.2	42.7	90.9	+5.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (8)	49.5	41.4	90.9	+8.1	75%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.6	42.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	22.5	45.2	+0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	22.3	46.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	21.4	45.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	23.1	47.1	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.6	20.5	47.1	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	23.2	23.2	46.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	23.5	46.3	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	26.2	19.4	45.6	+6.9	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	20.1	44.4	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.9	42.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	26.5	47.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	27.2	19.8	47.0	+7.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.9	43.6	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.6	23.9	47.5	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.5	25.2	47.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	41.8	87.8	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	42.1	88.5	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.5	41.4	86.9	+4.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	41.4	86.7	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.0	86.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	49.0	92.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	50.0	42.2	92.2	+7.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	45.6	41.1	86.7	+4.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	45.1	89.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	43.1	84.2	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	47.6	46.9	94.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	41.5	87.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	39.4	87.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	45.7	48.3	94.0	-2.7	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.1	45.6	88.7	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.9	39.8	84.6	+5.1	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	21.5	49.7%	54.6%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	10.9	35.2%	33.3%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	22.1	17.0	76.9%	74.8%	17.0

They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 94.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.9	23.0	50.1%	54.6%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.8	35.6%	33.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	25.9	19.5	75.3%	74.8%	19.5

They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.5	54.7%	54.6%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	9.4	32.1%	33.3%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.4	72.0%	74.8%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.4	23.2	50.0%	54.6%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.9	31.6%	33.3%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.5	72.2%	74.8%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	23.0	54.0%	54.6%	45.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	9.4	33.4%	33.3%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	24.2	18.0	74.6%	74.8%	18.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	24.0	55.4%	54.6%	47.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.4	35.4%	33.3%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	23.0	18.3	79.5%	74.8%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.3	53.8%	54.6%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	10.6	33.3%	33.3%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.6	75.0%	74.8%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	22.9	52.9%	54.6%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	9.8	31.8%	33.3%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.3	71.6%	74.8%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sydney

WWLLWWWWLL

Adelaide

WWWWWWWLWW

League position

+6.3

Net rating

+10.4

113.7

Offensive rating

119.1

107.4

Defensive rating

108.7

50.9%

Effective FG%

51.4%

52.0%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

12.6%

Turnover %

10.4%

29.3%

Off. rebound %

31.1%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.2%

3-point %

35.6%

59.9%

Assist %

64.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Sydney ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
11/10/25	Adelaide v Sydney	79-103
13/02/25	Sydney v Adelaide	88-95
24/01/25	Sydney v Adelaide	96-105
30/12/24	Sydney v Adelaide	96-111
11/10/24	Adelaide v Sydney	89-79
22/09/24	Adelaide v Sydney	94-102
02/02/24	Adelaide v Sydney	85-78
11/01/24	Adelaide v Sydney	95-82
08/10/23	Sydney v Adelaide	109-100
03/02/23	Adelaide v Sydney	115-108

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/25	A	Melbourne United	92-86 OT
12/12/25	A	Perth	108-79
03/12/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	90-95
23/11/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	81-104
16/11/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	98-71
09/11/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	79-72
03/11/25	A	Melbourne United	95-92
01/11/25	A	Brisbane Bullets	116-79
26/10/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	89-90
23/10/25	A	South East Melbourne	95-112

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/25	H	Melbourne United	114-105 OT
07/12/25	A	Perth	95-94
05/12/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-65
22/11/25	A	South East Melbourne	94-81
19/11/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	97-85
16/11/25	H	Cairns Taipans	105-101 OT
13/11/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	97-86
09/11/25	H	Perth	87-94
06/11/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	83-79
02/11/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	90-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	56%
Home	WLWLW	50%
Away	WLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	6	10
Win %	56%	50%	60%
Points / game	92.1	87.7	94.8
Allowed / game	86.0	82.2	88.3
Point differential	+6.1	+5.5	+6.5
Avg total	178.1	169.8	183.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	82%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	82%	80%	86%
Points / game	93.2	93.5	92.9
Allowed / game	86.3	88.1	83.7
Point differential	+6.9	+5.4	+9.1
Avg total	179.5	181.6	176.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	30%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	17	14	3	82%	93.2	86.3	+6.9
2	Melbourne United	19	13	6	68%	95.8	89.5	+6.3
3	South East Melbourne	17	11	6	65%	96.9	89.2	+7.7
4	Sydney	16	9	7	56%	92.1	86.0	+6.1
5	Perth	18	10	8	56%	88.9	86.8	+2.1
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	18	8	10	44%	85.6	86.1	-0.5
7	New Zealand Breakers	18	7	11	39%	88.8	88.3	+0.4
8	Illawarra Hawks	16	6	10	38%	90.2	96.9	-6.7
9	Brisbane Bullets	18	5	13	28%	85.7	95.4	-9.7
10	Cairns Taipans	17	4	13	24%	81.3	94.4	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sydney	23	20	23	19	12	97
Adelaide	29	27	9	20	8	93

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Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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