PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 85-79
19-26 16-15 21-18 29-20
Position#3
Record17-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game85.7
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney
Australia
Position#1
Record13-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game85.0
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney
30 Jan 2027
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
ADEL92
SYDN91
27 Mar 2026
ADEL91
SYDN89
02 Jan 2026
ADEL85
SYDN79
11 Oct 2025
ADEL79
SYDN103
11 Oct 2024
ADEL89
SYDN79
22 Sep 2024
ADEL94
SYDN102
02 Feb 2024
ADEL85
SYDN78
11 Jan 2024
ADEL95
SYDN82
03 Feb 2023
ADEL115
SYDN108
09 Apr 2022
ADEL77
SYDN84
27 Feb 2022
ADEL90
SYDN93
06 Feb 2021
ADEL75
SYDN94
30 Jan 2021
ADEL85
SYDN80
02 Nov 2019
ADEL96
SYDN98
10 Nov 2018
ADEL81
SYDN93
19 Oct 2018
ADEL106
SYDN101
18 Nov 2017
ADEL108
SYDN93
21 Oct 2017
ADEL114
SYDN84
21 Jan 2017
ADEL87
SYDN73
16 Dec 2016
ADEL82
SYDN80
20 Jan 2016
ADEL96
SYDN89
07 Nov 2015
ADEL99
SYDN98
06 Feb 2015
ADEL97
SYDN78
30 Nov 2014
ADEL83
SYDN90
12 Jan 2014
ADEL89
SYDN102
03 Nov 2013
ADEL97
SYDN84
13 Jan 2013
ADEL82
SYDN64
02 Dec 2012
ADEL85
SYDN88
12 Nov 2011
ADEL104
SYDN113
21 Oct 2011
ADEL71
SYDN94
17 Dec 2010
ADEL81
SYDN77
06 Nov 2010
ADEL87
SYDN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
93avg 88
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-85
97
85
+12
87avg 88
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 88
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
92avg 88
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
95-94
95
94
+1
94avg 88
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
114-105 OT
114
105
+9
110avg 88
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
86avg 88
A17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
81avg 88
A20/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
87avg 88
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
92avg 88
H28/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
25-23
27-18
13-23
21-22
23-27
27-15
26-21
19-23
18-20
30-21
27-17
23-20
27-13
27-12
13-20
22-25
18-25
20-28
35-16
27-22
32-26
22-19
14-28
29-23
27-20
9-23
20-19
21-21
20-18
19-20
24-19
23-21
27-21
23-19
20-12
20-29
26-20
29-9
20-26
182.3Avg total
96.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.985.7178.5+7.281%
Season at home (12)93.686.5180.1+7.183%
Season away (9)91.984.6176.4+7.378%
Last 10 (10)96.086.3182.3+9.790%
Last 5 (5)95.887.4183.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)93.594.8188.3-1.340%
vs Similar (10)93.288.2181.4+5.070%
vs Weaker (10)94.681.0175.6+13.6100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 85
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 85
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 85
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 85
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 85
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
74avg 85
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
84avg 85
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
119-77
119
77
+42
119avg 85
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 85
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 85
H30/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
27-26
20-23
27-19
16-27
26-25
18-17
32-21
32-16
24-25
21-25
24-20
15-14
23-29
20-27
23-9
19-20
28-23
29-18
34-19
28-17
34-19
28-22
21-17
25-26
24-15
27-15
26-19
18-21
179.8Avg total
96.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.785.0179.7+9.765%
Season at home (10)94.581.7176.2+12.870%
Season away (10)94.888.3183.1+6.560%
Last 10 (10)96.783.1179.8+13.680%
Last 5 (5)102.282.0184.2+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.095.0170.0-20.00%
vs Similar (4)99.596.8196.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.986.0179.9+7.964%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
AdelaideSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H19/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A20/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/12
NBL
92.0Avg total
47.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.843.391.1+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.443.191.5+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)47.243.490.7+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)47.444.692.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)50.444.294.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)47.245.192.3+2.150%-
vs Similar (10)47.543.591.0+4.060%-
vs Weaker (10)48.741.289.9+7.580%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H21/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H30/12
NBL
92.3Avg total
48.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.446.193.5+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.245.692.8+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)47.746.794.4+1.054%-
Last 10 (10)48.144.292.3+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.695.2+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (4)49.554.5104.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.444.692.0+2.868%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.625.2
51.9%
54.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.3
36.5%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
74.8%17.4
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.1
54.4%
54.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.2
34.3%
33.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
74.8%15.9
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWWLWWWWWW
Sydney
WWWWWWLLWW
#3
League position
#1
+13.0
Net rating
+16.4
119.7
Offensive rating
115.4
106.7
Defensive rating
99.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
11.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
34.3%
66.1%
Assist %
62.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 115.4Defence106.7 · 99.0Shooting52.8% · 53.1%3-point %36.5% · 34.3%Ball care11.1% · 13.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Adelaide   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Adelaide wins
4
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
17/12/25Sydney v Adelaide97-93 OT
11/10/25Adelaide v Sydney79-103
13/02/25Sydney v Adelaide88-95
24/01/25Sydney v Adelaide96-105
30/12/24Sydney v Adelaide96-111
11/10/24Adelaide v Sydney89-79
22/09/24Adelaide v Sydney94-102
02/02/24Adelaide v Sydney85-78
11/01/24Adelaide v Sydney95-82
08/10/23Sydney v Adelaide109-100
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HPerth95-84
24/12/25HCairns Taipans93-73
20/12/25AIllawarra Hawks84-78
17/12/25ASydney93-97 OT
12/12/25HMelbourne United114-105 OT
07/12/25APerth95-94
05/12/25HBrisbane Bullets90-65
22/11/25ASouth East Melbourne94-81
19/11/25HIllawarra Hawks97-85
16/11/25HCairns Taipans105-101 OT
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HBrisbane Bullets95-70
25/12/25HIllawarra Hawks108-84
21/12/25HCairns Taipans119-77
17/12/25HAdelaide97-93 OT
14/12/25AMelbourne United92-86 OT
12/12/25APerth108-79
03/12/25ANew Zealand Breakers90-95
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %81%83%78%
Points / game92.993.691.9
Allowed / game85.786.584.6
Point differential+7.2+7.1+7.3
Avg total178.5180.1176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %14%17%11%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game94.794.594.8
Allowed / game85.081.788.3
Point differential+9.7+12.8+6.5
Avg total179.7176.2183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2117481%92.985.7+7.2
2 Melbourne United2215768%94.788.9+5.8
3 South East Melbourne2114767%96.588.3+8.2
4 Sydney2013765%94.785.0+9.7
5 Perth22121055%88.686.1+2.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers23101343%85.985.8+0.0
7 New Zealand Breakers2181338%88.589.0-0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks2071335%88.796.5-7.8
9 Brisbane Bullets2361726%84.995.3-10.4
10 Cairns Taipans2151624%82.296.3-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide1916212985
Sydney2615182079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.