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Sydney W vs Canberra Capitals W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 04:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game78.1
Sydney W
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL WRound 15
Women2026-27
Meetings · Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Jan 2027
SYDN v CANB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
SYDN82
CANB70
10 Jan 2026
SYDN84
CANB72
06 Nov 2025
SYDN73
CANB64
03 Nov 2024
SYDN102
CANB85
19 Jan 2024
SYDN90
CANB65
15 Nov 2023
SYDN86
CANB81
30 Dec 2022
SYDN81
CANB70
23 Dec 2022
SYDN87
CANB72
05 Dec 2021
SYDN55
CANB58
21 Nov 2020
SYDN63
CANB68
27 Oct 2019
SYDN81
CANB75
13 Jan 2019
SYDN79
CANB99
12 Oct 2018
SYDN78
CANB97
02 Nov 2017
SYDN81
CANB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sydney WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
57-76
57
76
-19
34avg 59
H25/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 59
H01/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
93-108
93
108
-15
79avg 59
A07/02
NBL W
Southside W
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A16/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
95-68
95
68
+27
no box
H18/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
A25/10
NBL W
Tasmania Jewels W
#5
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
A31/10
NBL W
Southside W
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
H08/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
A14/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
12-15
8-24
16-22
16-25
23-22
17-17
20-25
16-22
18-30
33-26
26-30
26-25
11-21
19-14
21-13
17-16
31-25
22-15
25-12
23-19
21-17
19-17
19-17
23-18
24-23
28-12
15-24
26-17
16-31
24-26
19-19
21-18
29-13
13-18
23-20
13-17
19-29
14-24
24-27
163.1Avg total
81.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.678.1161.7+5.471%
Season at home (3)87.769.0156.7+18.7100%
Season away (4)80.585.0165.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.182.0163.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.681.2163.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.389.1166.4-11.819%
vs Similar (8)75.678.5154.1-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.578.3160.8+4.267%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 63
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 63
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 63
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 63
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 63
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A07/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H15/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-24
13-20
15-23
15-11
18-28
19-18
21-20
22-26
11-17
15-20
14-15
26-20
18-24
16-20
15-18
19-12
16-21
19-20
22-14
27-15
25-22
21-31
21-24
19-23
17-21
17-19
17-19
26-17
23-19
11-15
17-17
26-20
21-22
19-19
31-22
20-21
17-29
31-19
10-16
157.7Avg total
77.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Season at home (2)86.088.5174.5-2.550%
Season away (3)81.377.7159.0+3.767%
Last 10 (10)77.480.3157.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.181.6153.8-9.525%
vs Similar (11)72.873.6146.5-0.855%
vs Weaker (3)89.381.0170.3+8.3100%
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Sydney WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sydney WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H25/01
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H01/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A07/02
NBL W
Southside W
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H18/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H23/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A25/10
NBL W
Tasmania Jewels W
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/10
NBL W
Southside W
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/11
NBL W
82.4Avg total
40.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.582.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.240.782.9+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)38.644.182.6-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.882.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.244.484.6-4.231%-
vs Similar (8)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.241.383.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H15/11
NBL W
82.4Avg total
41.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.678.9-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.780.1-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.577.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.643.280.8-5.619%-
vs Similar (11)36.337.573.7-1.236%-
vs Weaker (3)49.338.387.7+11.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydney Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney W: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.420.7
45.6%
47.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.3
30.9%
32.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
73.3%13.9
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.920.9
42.7%
47.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.6
32.9%
32.8%16.8
🏀 Free throws15.19.6
63.6%
73.3%9.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney W
LWLWWWWLLL
Canberra Capitals W
LWWLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#4
-5.2
Net rating
-12.1
95.1
Offensive rating
82.6
100.4
Defensive rating
94.7
45.9%
Effective FG%
44.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.9%
3-point %
32.9%
56.2%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 82.6Defence100.4 · 94.7Shooting45.9% · 44.5%3-point %30.9% · 32.9%Ball care14.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds35.8% · 30.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sydney W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sydney W wins
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W82-70
10/01/26Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W84-72
27/12/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W61-91
15/11/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W96-56
06/11/25Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W73-64
09/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W71-86
30/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W88-92 OT
03/11/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W102-85
19/01/24Sydney W v Canberra Capitals W90-65
08/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Sydney W70-72
Sydney Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABendigo W70-97
08/11/26HSouthside W86-69
31/10/26ATasmania Jewels W85-93
25/10/26ATownsville W90-77
23/10/26HCanberra Capitals W82-70
18/10/26HAdelaide Lightning W95-68
16/10/26ASouthside W77-73
07/02/26APerth Lynx W93-108
01/02/26HGeelong Venom W76-89
25/01/26HPerth Lynx W57-76
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTownsville W78-85
07/11/26ABendigo W97-83
31/10/26AGeelong Venom W77-68
23/10/26ASydney W70-82
17/10/26HBendigo W94-92
07/02/26HGeelong Venom W76-67
03/02/26HSouthside W75-82
31/01/26ATownsville W62-78
25/01/26HBendigo W73-77
23/01/26ABendigo W72-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game83.687.780.5
Allowed / game78.169.085.0
Point differential+5.4+18.7-4.5
Avg total161.7156.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.286.081.3
Allowed / game82.088.577.7
Point differential+1.2-2.5+3.7
Avg total165.2174.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W65183%94.284.0+10.2
2 Townsville W75271%85.977.6+8.3
3 Sydney W75271%83.678.1+5.4
4 Canberra Capitals W53260%83.282.0+1.2
5 Tasmania Jewels W53260%88.089.0-1.0
6 Adelaide Lightning W52340%79.882.6-2.8
7 Geelong Venom W62433%75.382.3-7.0
8 Bendigo W61517%82.387.2-4.8
9 Southside W71614%76.486.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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