Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	85.6	92.4	178.1	-6.8	31%
Season at home (8)	87.6	90.1	177.8	-2.5	50%
Season away (8)	83.6	94.8	178.4	-11.1	12%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	93.8	181.4	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	100.2	187.0	-13.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	86.6	92.1	178.7	-5.4	29%
vs Similar (10)	91.6	96.0	187.6	-4.4	40%
vs Weaker (6)	96.7	92.8	189.5	+3.8	67%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

Adelaide

99-88

+11

81avg 79

H04/11

NBL

Melbourne United

102-95 OT

102

no box

A06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-76

+18

84avg 79

H10/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

88-80

77avg 79

H16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

79-76

70avg 79

A18/11

NBL

Sydney

114-105

114

105

107avg 79

H01/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

82-100

100

-18

71avg 79

A08/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

89-88

76avg 79

H15/12

NBL

Melbourne United

103-109 OT

103

109

-6

no box

A23/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

105-102

105

102

104avg 79

A26/12

NBL

19-22

31-22

23-24

26-20

24-26

22-23

21-20

22-20

34-17

18-19

21-22

21-18

25-20

22-23

19-13

22-24

14-16

18-17

18-20

29-23

23-26

27-31

33-26

31-22

18-38

25-20

22-15

17-27

23-26

17-22

28-23

21-17

26-21

24-21

21-21

21-29

26-17

28-26

22-24

29-35

187.4Avg total

95.5Scored

91.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	91.8	91.7	183.5	+0.1	59%
Season at home (9)	91.9	86.6	178.4	+5.3	78%
Season away (8)	91.8	97.5	189.2	-5.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	95.5	91.9	187.4	+3.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	98.6	100.8	199.4	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	96.2	96.6	192.8	-0.4	60%
vs Similar (15)	93.6	96.0	189.6	-2.4	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	92.2	88.7	180.9	+3.5	70%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaidePerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	25.3	48.0	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	24.8	48.8	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	26.5	47.5	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	29.6	51.2	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.9	24.8	45.6	-3.9	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.1	26.5	50.6	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	24.7	49.0	-0.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.7	44.3	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	24.7	46.6	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.9	46.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.6	48.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.9	25.5	48.5	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	23.1	43.1	-3.0	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	23.2	44.3	-2.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	23.1	47.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	22.1	45.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.2	24.1	49.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.0	48.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	25.2	25.6	50.8	-0.4	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	24.5	23.8	48.3	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	20.8	44.7	+3.1	70%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

39-40

-1

H21/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-48

-4

A26/10

NBL

Perth

44-50

-6

A04/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

31-39

-8

H11/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

35-53

-18

H17/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-53

-12

A30/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

23-45

-22

A02/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

57-61

-4

H09/12

NBL

Melbourne United

42-55

-13

A16/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-42

+10

H24/12

NBL

89.4Avg total

40.8Scored

48.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	48.0	91.4	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	46.1	91.2	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	50.2	91.6	-8.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	48.6	89.4	-7.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	51.2	94.2	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.9	47.9	88.8	-6.9	7%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.7	48.3	94.0	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.5	47.8	93.3	-2.3	50%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

50-44

H04/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-49

-3

A06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-36

+16

H10/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

47-43

H16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

32-33

-1

A18/11

NBL

Sydney

50-57

-7

H01/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-58

-15

A08/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

40-48

-8

H15/12

NBL

Melbourne United

50-42

A23/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

54-43

+11

A26/12

NBL

91.7Avg total

46.4Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	46.3	92.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	43.9	90.0	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.1	48.8	95.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	45.3	91.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	49.6	97.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.8	46.0	90.8	-1.2	80%	-
vs Similar (15)	47.4	49.3	96.7	-1.9	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	46.3	42.0	88.3	+4.3	70%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.8	45.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	22.3	44.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	23.4	47.0	+0.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	23.1	47.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	24.4	47.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.3	22.4	45.6	+0.9	64%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	24.3	45.3	-3.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.2	21.3	46.5	+3.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.1	45.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	23.1	47.1	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	27.0	51.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.3	25.3	45.6	-5.0	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.2	45.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.5	21.2	45.8	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.6	45.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.9	23.4	48.3	+1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.2	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	23.5	47.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	21.3	45.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	25.6	49.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	23.5	47.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	26.0	49.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	27.4	23.6	51.0	+3.8	60%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.3	24.8	47.1	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	25.6	21.4	47.0	+4.2	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	45.0	91.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.8	43.6	90.3	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.3	46.7	93.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	45.2	92.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	49.0	92.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	45.7	44.2	89.9	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.9	47.7	93.6	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.5	42.5	92.0	+7.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	46.6	92.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	44.4	92.7	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	48.7	92.8	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	44.3	91.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	47.8	96.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	51.4	50.6	102.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (15)	44.6	45.1	89.7	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.9	46.7	92.6	-0.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.5	23.5	49.5%	50.9%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.0	33.0%	33.9%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	23.7	18.7	78.9%	73.8%	18.7

They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.2	23.1	50.0%	50.9%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	7.8	28.8%	33.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	26.6	20.7	77.8%	73.8%	20.7

They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.2	23.5	49.8%	50.9%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.2	38.5%	33.9%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.4	73.8%	73.8%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	21.6	50.5%	50.9%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.7	34.2%	33.9%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.3	72.5%	73.8%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.3	22.6	48.7%	50.9%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.0	31.1%	33.9%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.7	77.5%	73.8%	18.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	22.9	50.5%	50.9%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.5	30.2%	33.9%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.7	76.7%	73.8%	18.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.2	23.8	50.3%	50.9%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	10.4	34.5%	33.9%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.1	70.8%	73.8%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	22.3	53.9%	50.9%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.5	32.3%	33.9%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.1	74.0%	73.8%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WLLLLWLLWW

Perth

WLWLWWWWWW

League position

-7.8

Net rating

+3.3

107.5

Offensive rating

111.7

115.3

Defensive rating

108.4

49.5%

Effective FG%

47.5%

52.8%

Opp. effective FG%

50.8%

16.4%

Turnover %

12.8%

30.4%

Off. rebound %

32.7%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.36

33.0%

3-point %

28.8%

51.8%

Assist %

52.4%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ Perth

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/23	Perth v Adelaide	99-88
21/10/23	Adelaide v Perth	89-78
06/10/23	Perth v Adelaide	82-75
14/01/23	Perth v Adelaide	112-97
09/12/22	Adelaide v Perth	90-98
24/11/22	Perth v Adelaide	82-96
05/11/22	Adelaide v Perth	89-94
14/04/22	Perth v Adelaide	70-82
06/03/22	Adelaide v Perth	73-92
18/01/22	Adelaide v Perth	87-74

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/12/23	H	Brisbane Bullets	95-88
16/12/23	A	Melbourne United	96-107
09/12/23	H	Cairns Taipans	101-116
02/12/23	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	59-94
30/11/23	A	New Zealand Breakers	83-96
17/11/23	H	South East Melbourne	96-93
11/11/23	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-82
04/11/23	A	Perth	88-99
26/10/23	A	New Zealand Breakers	97-85
21/10/23	H	Perth	89-78

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/12/23	A	Cairns Taipans	105-102
23/12/23	A	Melbourne United	103-109 OT
15/12/23	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	89-88
08/12/23	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-100
01/12/23	H	Sydney	114-105
18/11/23	A	Brisbane Bullets	79-76
16/11/23	H	Cairns Taipans	88-80
10/11/23	H	New Zealand Breakers	94-76
06/11/23	A	Melbourne United	102-95 OT
04/11/23	H	Adelaide	99-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	31%
Home	WLWLW	50%
Away	WLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	50%	12%
Points / game	85.6	87.6	83.6
Allowed / game	92.4	90.1	94.8
Point differential	-6.8	-2.5	-11.1
Avg total	178.1	177.8	178.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perth

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	59%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	WWLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	78%	38%
Points / game	91.8	91.9	91.8
Allowed / game	91.7	86.6	97.5
Point differential	+0.1	+5.3	-5.8
Avg total	183.5	178.4	189.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	17	14	3	82%	95.3	86.1	+9.2
2	Perth	17	10	7	59%	91.8	91.7	+0.1
3	Tasmania JackJumpers	18	10	8	56%	89.2	84.2	+5.1
4	Sydney	17	9	8	53%	95.1	93.8	+1.3
5	South East Melbourne	18	9	9	50%	89.6	91.6	-1.9
6	Cairns Taipans	18	8	10	44%	89.6	90.3	-0.7
7	New Zealand Breakers	16	7	9	44%	89.1	88.8	+0.3
8	Illawarra Hawks	15	6	9	40%	85.9	89.7	-3.7
9	Brisbane Bullets	18	7	11	39%	85.7	89.3	-3.6
10	Adelaide	16	5	11	31%	85.6	92.4	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	29	19	9	25	82
Perth	34	20	28	18	100

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Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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