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Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 85-78
17-18 20-23 17-18 31-19
Position#9
Record10-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#7
Record12-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game93.8
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney
30 Jan 2027
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
ADEL92
SYDN91
27 Mar 2026
ADEL91
SYDN89
02 Jan 2026
ADEL85
SYDN79
11 Oct 2025
ADEL79
SYDN103
11 Oct 2024
ADEL89
SYDN79
22 Sep 2024
ADEL94
SYDN102
02 Feb 2024
ADEL85
SYDN78
11 Jan 2024
ADEL95
SYDN82
03 Feb 2023
ADEL115
SYDN108
09 Apr 2022
ADEL77
SYDN84
27 Feb 2022
ADEL90
SYDN93
06 Feb 2021
ADEL75
SYDN94
30 Jan 2021
ADEL85
SYDN80
02 Nov 2019
ADEL96
SYDN98
10 Nov 2018
ADEL81
SYDN93
19 Oct 2018
ADEL106
SYDN101
18 Nov 2017
ADEL108
SYDN93
21 Oct 2017
ADEL114
SYDN84
21 Jan 2017
ADEL87
SYDN73
16 Dec 2016
ADEL82
SYDN80
20 Jan 2016
ADEL96
SYDN89
07 Nov 2015
ADEL99
SYDN98
06 Feb 2015
ADEL97
SYDN78
30 Nov 2014
ADEL83
SYDN90
12 Jan 2014
ADEL89
SYDN102
03 Nov 2013
ADEL97
SYDN84
13 Jan 2013
ADEL82
SYDN64
02 Dec 2012
ADEL85
SYDN88
12 Nov 2011
ADEL104
SYDN113
21 Oct 2011
ADEL71
SYDN94
17 Dec 2010
ADEL81
SYDN77
06 Nov 2010
ADEL87
SYDN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 80
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 80
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 80
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 80
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 80
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 80
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 80
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 80
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
77avg 80
H27/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
28-25
25-13
22-15
13-18
186.7Avg total
94.7Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.691.8180.4-3.242%
Season at home (12)88.889.2178.0-0.358%
Season away (12)88.394.5182.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)94.792.0186.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)98.087.6185.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)88.393.1181.3-4.840%
vs Similar (11)92.495.8188.2-3.536%
vs Weaker (4)98.096.5194.5+1.550%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
97avg 89
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 89
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
93avg 89
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 89
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 89
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 89
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 89
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 89
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 89
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 89
H28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
36-24
15-33
33-23
29-17
19-29
25-31
17-17
27-24
27-21
15-12
32-25
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
190.3Avg total
95.1Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.193.8188.8+1.348%
Season at home (13)96.893.8190.5+3.054%
Season away (12)93.293.8187.0-0.542%
Last 10 (10)95.195.2190.3-0.130%
Last 5 (5)96.293.0189.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)91.288.8180.0+2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)96.095.3191.3+0.750%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
AdelaideSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBL
92.0Avg total
49.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.647.291.8-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.744.989.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)44.449.293.7-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)49.043.092.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)52.239.491.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.147.189.2-5.120%-
vs Similar (11)47.546.994.5+0.664%-
vs Weaker (4)45.848.594.2-2.825%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
96.5Avg total
49.3Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.392.4+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.847.195.9+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)45.243.288.4+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)49.347.296.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)51.847.699.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)47.143.590.7+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.148.795.8-1.640%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.826.5
52.2%
50.9%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.6
32.8%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.718.3
77.2%
73.8%18.3
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
50.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.7
31.2%
33.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.919.2
80.3%
73.8%19.2
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WWWLWWLLWL
Sydney
WLLWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#7
+3.3
Net rating
+0.6
111.9
Offensive rating
114.8
108.6
Defensive rating
114.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
31.2%
51.9%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 114.8Defence108.6 · 114.2Shooting51.2% · 52.3%3-point %32.8% · 31.2%Ball care14.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
11/01/24Adelaide v Sydney95-82
08/10/23Sydney v Adelaide109-100
03/02/23Adelaide v Sydney115-108
04/12/22Sydney v Adelaide97-78
21/10/22Sydney v Adelaide88-92
17/04/22Sydney v Adelaide82-90
09/04/22Adelaide v Sydney77-84
27/02/22Adelaide v Sydney90-93
16/05/21Sydney v Adelaide85-75
09/05/21Sydney v Adelaide88-97 OT
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HCairns Taipans88-71
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
29/12/23HCairns Taipans101-82
25/12/23HIllawarra Hawks90-94
22/12/23ANew Zealand Breakers101-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game88.688.888.3
Allowed / game91.889.294.5
Point differential-3.2-0.3-6.2
Avg total180.4178.0182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeLLWLW54%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game95.196.893.2
Allowed / game93.893.893.8
Point differential+1.3+3.0-0.5
Avg total188.8190.5187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2417771%93.487.8+5.7
2 Perth2416867%94.691.3+3.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers25131252%91.086.1+4.9
4 Sydney25121348%95.193.8+1.3
5 Brisbane Bullets25121348%87.790.3-2.6
6 Illawarra Hawks23111248%90.190.2-0.1
7 New Zealand Breakers23101343%89.989.6+0.3
8 Cairns Taipans26111542%89.391.7-2.4
9 Adelaide24101442%88.691.8-3.2
10 South East Melbourne25101540%88.395.0-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide1720173185
Sydney1823181978
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