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Adelaide vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 95-82
20-19 22-8 28-27 25-28
Position#9
Record6-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game92.9
vs
Position#7
Record10-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game94.0
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Sydney
30 Jan 2027
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
ADEL v SYDN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
ADEL92
SYDN91
27 Mar 2026
ADEL91
SYDN89
02 Jan 2026
ADEL85
SYDN79
11 Oct 2025
ADEL79
SYDN103
11 Oct 2024
ADEL89
SYDN79
22 Sep 2024
ADEL94
SYDN102
02 Feb 2024
ADEL85
SYDN78
11 Jan 2024
ADEL95
SYDN82
03 Feb 2023
ADEL115
SYDN108
09 Apr 2022
ADEL77
SYDN84
27 Feb 2022
ADEL90
SYDN93
06 Feb 2021
ADEL75
SYDN94
30 Jan 2021
ADEL85
SYDN80
02 Nov 2019
ADEL96
SYDN98
10 Nov 2018
ADEL81
SYDN93
19 Oct 2018
ADEL106
SYDN101
18 Nov 2017
ADEL108
SYDN93
21 Oct 2017
ADEL114
SYDN84
21 Jan 2017
ADEL87
SYDN73
16 Dec 2016
ADEL82
SYDN80
20 Jan 2016
ADEL96
SYDN89
07 Nov 2015
ADEL99
SYDN98
06 Feb 2015
ADEL97
SYDN78
30 Nov 2014
ADEL83
SYDN90
12 Jan 2014
ADEL89
SYDN102
03 Nov 2013
ADEL97
SYDN84
13 Jan 2013
ADEL82
SYDN64
02 Dec 2012
ADEL85
SYDN88
12 Nov 2011
ADEL104
SYDN113
21 Oct 2011
ADEL71
SYDN94
17 Dec 2010
ADEL81
SYDN77
06 Nov 2010
ADEL87
SYDN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 77
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
96-93
96
93
+3
84avg 77
H17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 77
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
44avg 77
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 77
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 77
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 77
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 77
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 77
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 77
H06/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
16-22
16-24
25-19
18-35
17-18
31-14
30-26
17-37
24-16
19-24
23-19
15-25
8-20
20-28
16-21
26-35
31-26
27-24
17-31
23-28
19-27
30-25
24-27
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
183.1Avg total
86.8Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.192.9179.1-6.832%
Season at home (10)88.391.7180.0-3.450%
Season away (9)83.794.3178.0-10.711%
Last 10 (10)86.896.3183.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)91.496.4187.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)87.292.8180.0-5.631%
vs Similar (9)90.397.9188.2-7.622%
vs Weaker (5)94.496.0190.4-1.660%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
82avg 89
A19/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-114
105
114
-9
98avg 89
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
89avg 89
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
83avg 89
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 89
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
97avg 89
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 89
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
93avg 89
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 89
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 89
H07/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
31-17
19-27
21-40
26-23
31-27
26-33
22-31
33-15
15-22
23-21
15-25
30-32
19-26
22-24
23-22
21-24
18-9
18-19
33-30
17-29
36-24
15-33
33-23
29-17
19-29
25-31
17-17
27-24
27-21
15-12
32-25
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
191.3Avg total
93.8Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.894.0188.8+0.850%
Season at home (10)95.795.3191.0+0.450%
Season away (10)93.992.6186.5+1.350%
Last 10 (10)93.897.5191.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)94.097.4191.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)89.588.9178.4+0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.593.0187.5+1.554%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
AdelaideSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H17/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A02/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H09/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A16/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
90.0Avg total
41.6Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.148.391.5-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.947.192.0-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.449.590.9-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)41.648.490.0-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.692.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.747.989.6-6.212%-
vs Similar (9)45.348.093.3-2.744%-
vs Weaker (5)43.850.494.2-6.640%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A19/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A01/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
93.0Avg total
48.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.345.792.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.747.794.5-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)45.943.789.5+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)48.045.093.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.893.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)45.043.388.3+1.759%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.048.896.8-0.838%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.624.9
49.2%
50.9%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.5
30.1%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.917.0
74.2%
73.8%17.0
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.5
55.4%
50.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.8
33.2%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.517.6
74.9%
73.8%17.6
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLLWLLLLWL
Sydney
LLWLLWLWLL
#9
League position
#7
-10.8
Net rating
-4.2
105.4
Offensive rating
112.0
116.2
Defensive rating
116.2
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.1%
3-point %
33.2%
51.3%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 112.0Defence116.2 · 116.2Shooting48.0% · 52.9%3-point %30.1% · 33.2%Ball care15.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Adelaide   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Adelaide wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Sydney v Adelaide109-100
03/02/23Adelaide v Sydney115-108
04/12/22Sydney v Adelaide97-78
21/10/22Sydney v Adelaide88-92
17/04/22Sydney v Adelaide82-90
09/04/22Adelaide v Sydney77-84
27/02/22Adelaide v Sydney90-93
16/05/21Sydney v Adelaide85-75
09/05/21Sydney v Adelaide88-97 OT
21/02/21Sydney v Adelaide94-77
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88
16/12/23AMelbourne United96-107
09/12/23HCairns Taipans101-116
02/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers59-94
30/11/23ANew Zealand Breakers83-96
17/11/23HSouth East Melbourne96-93
11/11/23HTasmania JackJumpers72-82
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
29/12/23HCairns Taipans101-82
25/12/23HIllawarra Hawks90-94
22/12/23ANew Zealand Breakers101-109
17/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
10/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-104
07/12/23ACairns Taipans86-83
01/12/23APerth105-114
19/11/23AMelbourne United93-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game86.188.383.7
Allowed / game92.991.794.3
Point differential-6.8-3.4-10.7
Avg total179.1180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game94.895.793.9
Allowed / game94.095.392.6
Point differential+0.8+0.4+1.3
Avg total188.8191.0186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2015575%94.887.2+7.6
2 Perth1912763%93.191.7+1.4
3 Tasmania JackJumpers21111052%89.584.7+4.8
4 Sydney20101050%94.894.0+0.8
5 Brisbane Bullets21101148%86.688.6-2.0
6 Illawarra Hawks178947%88.088.6-0.6
7 South East Melbourne2091145%88.793.0-4.2
8 New Zealand Breakers1881044%90.390.1+0.2
9 Cairns Taipans2191243%89.390.8-1.5
10 Adelaide1961332%86.192.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide2022282595
Sydney198272882
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