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Illawarra Hawks vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 95-75
29-24 21-15 15-22 30-14
Position#1
Record19-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game91.8
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
vs
Sydney
Australia
Position#4
Record16-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game87.9
AustraliaNBLRound 20· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Sydney
04 Dec 2026
ILLA v SYDN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
ILLA82
SYDN108
13 Feb 2026
ILLA94
SYDN120
16 Nov 2025
ILLA71
SYDN98
07 Feb 2025
ILLA95
SYDN75
16 Nov 2024
ILLA86
SYDN79
03 Nov 2023
ILLA83
SYDN103
30 Sep 2023
ILLA81
SYDN96
16 Dec 2022
ILLA79
SYDN86
01 Oct 2022
ILLA97
SYDN106
29 Apr 2022
ILLA79
SYDN89
14 Apr 2022
ILLA102
SYDN107
13 Jan 2022
ILLA97
SYDN89
03 Jun 2021
ILLA73
SYDN79
24 Apr 2021
ILLA75
SYDN79
24 Jan 2020
ILLA79
SYDN102
31 Dec 2019
ILLA85
SYDN80
05 Jan 2019
ILLA78
SYDN71
16 Dec 2018
ILLA68
SYDN83
16 Nov 2017
ILLA97
SYDN93
29 Oct 2017
ILLA94
SYDN99
05 Dec 2016
ILLA93
SYDN99
13 Oct 2016
ILLA84
SYDN88
18 Dec 2015
ILLA102
SYDN83
25 Nov 2015
ILLA96
SYDN90
13 Dec 2014
ILLA82
SYDN77
07 Nov 2014
ILLA53
SYDN82
21 Mar 2014
ILLA100
SYDN87
07 Dec 2013
ILLA73
SYDN69
15 Mar 2013
ILLA81
SYDN74
05 Oct 2012
ILLA79
SYDN76
09 Mar 2012
ILLA81
SYDN92
31 Dec 2011
ILLA83
SYDN86
27 Mar 2011
ILLA86
SYDN70
26 Nov 2010
ILLA89
SYDN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
105-110
105
110
-5
89avg 91
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
105-108
105
108
-3
100avg 91
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 91
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
108-100
108
100
+8
93avg 91
H11/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
88-91
88
91
-3
74avg 91
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
117-95
117
95
+22
108avg 91
H18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
121-87
121
87
+34
128avg 91
H20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
94-100
94
100
-6
78avg 91
A23/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
102-78
102
78
+24
94avg 91
A30/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-82
96
82
+14
92avg 91
A05/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
34-30
25-24
21-26
24-19
32-26
21-40
28-23
20-18
29-18
14-22
26-26
35-28
34-20
19-22
20-30
25-33
18-30
19-12
26-16
29-25
29-21
27-20
32-29
35-20
21-21
35-19
30-27
17-31
20-23
27-17
30-29
21-13
31-21
25-25
25-19
27-17
22-23
33-19
14-23
196.0Avg total
102.5Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)101.691.8193.4+9.968%
Season at home (13)105.391.8197.1+13.569%
Season away (15)98.591.8190.3+6.767%
Last 10 (10)102.593.5196.0+9.060%
Last 5 (5)106.088.4194.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.594.0175.5-12.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)101.691.8193.4+9.968%
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
108-111
108
111
-3
100avg 84
H25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
80avg 84
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
110-101
110
101
+9
106avg 84
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 84
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
78avg 84
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
80avg 84
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
73avg 84
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
103avg 84
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 84
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-104
97
104
-7
97avg 84
H02/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
27-35
23-30
27-23
12-32
31-30
25-28
28-21
28-30
19-30
25-25
38-16
28-29
17-19
24-23
22-15
16-32
25-25
23-13
24-20
17-19
22-19
25-24
27-25
16-15
22-19
18-21
32-22
26-22
36-23
17-23
24-24
23-34
32-18
18-26
23-27
21-32
27-24
26-29
23-19
193.2Avg total
96.8Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)91.287.9179.2+3.357%
Season at home (14)93.389.9183.1+3.450%
Season away (14)89.286.0175.2+3.264%
Last 10 (10)96.896.4193.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)95.093.0188.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)92.097.7189.7-5.70%
vs Similar (10)90.190.1180.2+0.040%
vs Weaker (17)92.783.4176.1+9.376%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.6+5.6
Illawarra HawksSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H11/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A23/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A05/02
NBL
99.5Avg total
52.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.646.697.2+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.144.598.6+9.671%-
Last 30 away (16)47.648.495.9-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)52.846.799.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.443.093.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.543.081.5-4.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)51.546.898.3+4.664%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H02/02
NBL
98.6Avg total
47.6Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.746.191.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.547.693.1-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)45.944.790.6+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)47.651.098.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.093.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)46.750.096.7-3.30%-
vs Similar (10)45.648.494.0-2.840%-
vs Weaker (17)45.644.189.7+1.553%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 101.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.328.3
56.3%
52.3%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.415.4
72.0%
74.7%15.4
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.8
52.2%
52.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws28.622.6
79.0%
74.7%22.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illawarra Hawks
WWLWWLWWLL
Sydney
LLWWWLWWLL
#1
League position
#4
+11.5
Net rating
+1.5
124.7
Offensive rating
118.1
113.2
Defensive rating
116.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
9.7%
Turnover %
12.9%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.9%
3-point %
35.7%
52.4%
Assist %
54.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.7 · 118.1Defence113.2 · 116.6Shooting54.3% · 52.7%3-point %33.9% · 35.7%Ball care9.7% · 12.9%Off. rebounds35.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Illawarra Hawks   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
25/12/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks108-111
16/11/24Illawarra Hawks v Sydney86-79
29/09/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks89-96
11/02/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks95-106
25/12/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks90-94
03/11/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney83-103
30/09/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney81-96
15/01/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-79
16/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-86
20/11/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks83-82
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-82
30/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers102-78
23/01/25ACairns Taipans94-100
20/01/25HBrisbane Bullets121-87
18/01/25HMelbourne United117-95
13/01/25AAdelaide88-91
11/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers108-100
07/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-84
03/01/25HCairns Taipans105-108
31/12/24HSouth East Melbourne105-110
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HPerth97-104
24/01/25HAdelaide96-105
22/01/25ASouth East Melbourne103-92
19/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers88-77
12/01/25HCairns Taipans91-87
09/01/25HMelbourne United88-90
04/01/25ABrisbane Bullets91-86
02/01/25HSouth East Melbourne110-101
30/12/24HAdelaide96-111
25/12/24HIllawarra Hawks108-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game101.6105.398.5
Allowed / game91.891.891.8
Point differential+9.9+13.5+6.7
Avg total193.4197.1190.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%46%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game91.293.389.2
Allowed / game87.989.986.0
Point differential+3.3+3.4+3.2
Avg total179.2183.1175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2819968%101.691.8+9.9
2 Melbourne United28181064%95.391.4+3.9
3 Perth28171161%99.796.7+3.0
4 South East Melbourne28161257%96.291.2+5.0
5 Sydney28161257%91.287.9+3.3
6 Adelaide28131546%94.095.9-1.9
7 Tasmania JackJumpers28121643%83.888.2-4.5
8 Brisbane Bullets29121741%92.397.9-5.5
9 New Zealand Breakers29101934%85.791.4-5.7
10 Cairns Taipans2882029%88.595.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks2921153095
Sydney2415221475
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