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Tofas vs Igokea Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-65
18-11 28-19 27-17 26-18
Position#34
Record1-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game99.0
Tofas 🏆
vs
Position#49
Record0-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Tofas Spor Salonu
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Igokea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#7
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
no box
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 78
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
83avg 78
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 78
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
89-115
89
115
-26
79avg 78
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 78
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 78
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
82avg 78
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 78
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 78
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
28-12
23-34
18-24
16-21
31-22
13-25
20-20
19-30
23-23
28-21
16-21
21-21
18-26
19-26
17-12
21-31
23-23
22-31
23-30
19-12
27-18
19-15
14-17
19-18
13-17
23-19
27-22
25-23
19-18
17-21
20-19
23-24
24-17
29-17
15-27
12-14
26-30
21-21
23-19
173.7Avg total
84.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.599.0188.5-9.525%
Season at home (1)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
Season away (3)92.7102.7195.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)84.988.8173.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)83.879.6163.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.089.0169.0-9.022%
vs Similar (15)86.586.5173.1+0.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.887.5180.3+5.383%
This opponent (Igokea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IgokeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIgokea
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
65avg 73
A29/10
ABA League
Murcia
#2
L
47-72
47
72
-25
36avg 73
A01/11
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
67avg 73
H06/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
92avg 73
A12/11
ABA League
Tortona
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
79avg 73
A15/11
Champions League
Buducnost
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
89avg 73
H18/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
89avg 73
H24/11
ABA League
Murcia
#2
L
63-79
63
79
-16
60avg 73
H28/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
84-64
84
64
+20
89avg 73
H02/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
93avg 73
A08/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
11-18
16-15
28-9
11-19
8-16
19-23
9-14
16-13
20-18
21-20
16-23
18-12
30-22
28-23
15-32
21-30
16-16
16-26
31-19
24-17
22-18
22-17
20-22
19-25
17-27
27-17
20-14
21-17
11-33
17-16
14-13
22-13
25-17
18-13
19-21
27-27
17-22
22-10
26-21
157.3Avg total
79.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.086.5160.5-12.50%
Season at home (2)82.591.5174.0-9.00%
Season away (2)65.581.5147.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)79.278.1157.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)85.478.2163.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.882.2159.0-5.436%
vs Similar (7)81.777.9159.6+3.986%
vs Weaker (12)85.271.5156.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
TofasIgokea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.4Avg total
43.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.683.4+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.385.9+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.981.1-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.385.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.344.183.4-4.822%-
vs Similar (15)45.441.186.5+4.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.539.075.5-2.533%-
This opponent (Igokea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IgokeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A29/10
ABA League
Murcia
#2
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A01/11
Champions League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/11
ABA League
Tortona
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/11
Champions League
Buducnost
#2
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H18/11
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H24/11
ABA League
Murcia
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H28/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H02/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/12
ABA League
77.3Avg total
37.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.578.6+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.477.7+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.740.979.6-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.277.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.284.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.941.479.3-3.536%-
vs Similar (7)39.040.779.7-1.757%-
vs Weaker (12)42.734.677.2+8.175%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.3
50.1%
51.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.4
32.8%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.517.8
79.1%
74.5%17.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Igokeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Igokea: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.4
53.2%
51.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.9
35.9%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
74.5%14.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LWLWWLLLLL
Igokea
WWLWWLWLLW
#34
League position
#49
-6.4
Net rating
+1.5
108.5
Offensive rating
105.5
114.9
Defensive rating
104.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
35.9%
70.4%
Assist %
69.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 105.5Defence114.9 · 104.0Shooting49.8% · 53.5%3-point %32.8% · 35.9%Ball care17.2% · 21.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Igokea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
0
Igokea wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Igokea v Tofas102-104 OT
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ABuyukcekmece82-84
03/12/23HBursaspor91-85
29/11/23ATortona85-91 OT
26/11/23ADarussafaka82-76
18/11/23HTurk Telekom79-62
14/11/23AMurcia89-115
11/11/23AAnadolu Efes75-85
05/11/23HFenerbahce86-95
31/10/23HTortona80-88
28/10/23APetkim Spor100-107 OT
Igokealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23AKK Krka Novo mesto92-80
02/12/23HMornar Bar84-64
28/11/23HMurcia63-79
24/11/23HZadar100-94 OT
18/11/23HBuducnost88-74
15/11/23ATortona84-91
12/11/23APartizan91-89
06/11/23HFMP Beograd73-74
01/11/23AMurcia47-72
29/10/23ABorac Mozzart70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game89.580.092.7
Allowed / game99.088.0102.7
Point differential-9.5-8.0-10.0
Avg total188.5168.0195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%67%
Igokea
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.082.565.5
Allowed / game86.591.581.5
Point differential-12.5-9.0-16.0
Avg total160.5174.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon440100%94.573.5+21.0
2 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
3 Tortona440100%87.080.8+6.2
4 Strasbourg76186%80.376.1+4.1
5 Unicaja54180%83.473.2+10.2
6 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
7 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%86.277.8+8.5
8 Karsiyaka43175%82.878.0+4.8
9 Cholet86275%81.579.1+2.4
10 PAOK43175%78.880.5-1.8
11 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
12 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Tenerife53260%79.871.6+8.2
15 Bonn53260%81.075.2+5.8
16 Le Mans53260%80.877.6+3.2
17 Hapoel Holon53260%77.876.2+1.6
18 Benfica74357%86.374.9+11.4
19 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
20 Promitheas42250%87.076.8+10.2
21 Rytas42250%83.875.8+8.0
22 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Breogan52340%73.073.4-0.4
29 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
30 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
31 Darussafaka52340%80.283.8-3.6
32 VEF Riga52340%70.073.8-3.8
33 Peristeri52340%77.484.0-6.6
34 Bursaspor52340%72.879.8-7.0
35 Oldenburg41325%82.580.5+2.0
36 Galatasaray41325%85.287.5-2.2
37 Tofas41325%89.599.0-9.5
38 Oostende41325%74.284.8-10.5
39 Szombathely51420%76.283.0-6.8
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea4040%74.086.5-12.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava4040%65.0104.2-39.2
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1828272699
Igokea1119171865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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