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Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 122-92
36-29 21-15 31-22 34-26
Position#11
Record35-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game112.0
vs
Position#24
Record21-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game117.7
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Dallas Mavericks
27 Jan 2027
TOR v DAL
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
TOR122
DAL92
07 Dec 2024
TOR118
DAL125
28 Feb 2024
TOR125
DAL136
26 Nov 2022
TOR105
DAL100
23 Oct 2021
TOR95
DAL103
18 Jan 2021
TOR116
DAL93
22 Dec 2019
TOR110
DAL107
26 Oct 2018
TOR116
DAL107
16 Mar 2018
TOR122
DAL115
13 Mar 2017
TOR100
DAL78
22 Dec 2015
TOR103
DAL99
28 Nov 2014
TOR102
DAL106
22 Jan 2014
TOR93
DAL85
14 Dec 2012
TOR95
DAL74
27 Feb 2011
TOR96
DAL114
17 Jan 2010
TOR110
DAL88
17 Dec 2008
TOR86
DAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-107
123
107
+16
123avg 107
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
122-104
122
104
+18
117avg 107
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
95-113
95
113
-18
87avg 107
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
110-101
110
101
+9
100avg 107
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-94
122
94
+28
118avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
107-116
107
116
-9
98avg 107
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
107-110
107
110
-3
94avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
134-125
134
125
+9
132avg 107
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
95-111
95
111
-16
85avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
107-115
107
115
-8
98avg 107
A06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-25
32-33
35-30
23-19
21-20
25-28
44-26
32-30
19-29
33-38
22-27
21-19
25-23
28-22
34-33
23-23
22-27
38-24
32-22
30-21
32-25
19-35
29-38
27-18
29-30
30-27
31-21
17-32
25-33
36-31
37-28
36-33
31-32
27-36
24-19
13-24
27-31
27-24
22-35
31-25
221.8Avg total
112.2Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)113.8112.0225.7+1.857%
Season at home (31)113.1112.5225.5+0.652%
Season away (30)114.4111.4225.9+3.063%
Last 10 (10)112.2109.6221.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)110.0115.4225.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)102.3113.6215.9-11.314%
vs Similar (15)115.7114.1229.8+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)119.4105.1224.5+14.2100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 104
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-122
111
122
-11
95avg 104
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-130
134
130
+4
127avg 104
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 104
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
121-130
121
130
-9
114avg 104
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-124
105
124
-19
94avg 104
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 104
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
90-117
90
117
-27
77avg 104
A04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
114-115
114
115
-1
109avg 104
A06/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-120
100
120
-20
88avg 104
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
32-28
19-32
22-28
25-40
32-29
31-27
23-26
36-33
35-33
32-29
31-35
36-29
40-35
23-27
24-23
28-42
28-26
32-32
33-30
20-34
24-30
26-37
35-23
25-36
24-22
20-25
18-17
23-31
25-26
24-35
18-25
33-26
29-34
26-31
26-24
22-21
31-37
27-32
20-30
228.5Avg total
108.9Scored
119.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)113.3117.7231.0-4.333%
Season at home (33)114.5116.6231.1-2.142%
Season away (30)112.0118.8230.8-6.823%
Last 10 (10)108.9119.6228.5-10.720%
Last 5 (5)99.2115.2214.4-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)109.7117.5227.2-7.815%
vs Similar (6)123.7122.8246.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)114.2111.8226.0+2.575%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Toronto RaptorsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A06/03
NBA
113.2Avg total
55.9Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.456.7114.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.059.5117.5-1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)56.753.1109.8+3.654%-
Last 10 (10)55.957.3113.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)56.660.8117.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.059.6114.6-4.643%-
vs Similar (15)58.956.9115.7+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)56.953.9110.8+3.050%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A22/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A25/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A06/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/03
NBA
120.7Avg total
57.9Scored
62.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.261.0118.2-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.158.9113.9-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)59.363.1122.5-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)57.962.8120.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)51.259.4110.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)55.861.6117.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (6)61.060.5121.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)58.558.8117.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.4
53.6%
54.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.0
37.0%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.918.4
80.3%
78.1%18.4
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.029.8
52.3%
54.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
35.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws28.720.9
72.8%
78.1%20.9
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWLLWWLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLLLWWLL
#11
League position
#24
+2.6
Net rating
-11.8
112.9
Offensive rating
104.5
110.3
Defensive rating
116.3
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
32.2%
64.5%
Assist %
57.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 104.5Defence110.3 · 116.3Shooting54.3% · 51.0%3-point %37.0% · 32.2%Ball care12.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds26.5% · 23.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves107-115
04/03/26HNew York Knicks95-111
01/03/26AWashington Wizards134-125
26/02/26HSan Antonio Spurs107-110
25/02/26HOklahoma City Thunder107-116
22/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-94
20/02/26AChicago Bulls110-101
12/02/26HDetroit Pistons95-113
08/02/26HIndiana Pacers122-104
06/02/26HChicago Bulls123-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ABoston Celtics100-120
06/03/26AOrlando Magic114-115
04/03/26ACharlotte Hornets90-117
02/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder87-100
28/02/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-124
27/02/26HSacramento Kings121-130
25/02/26ABrooklyn Nets123-114
22/02/26AIndiana Pacers134-130
21/02/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-122
13/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers104-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWLLLL52%
AwayLWWWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613130
Win %57%52%63%
Points / game113.8113.1114.4
Allowed / game112.0112.5111.4
Point differential+1.8+0.6+3.0
Avg total225.7225.5225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%32%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (10)100% (2)
Overtime %7%10%3%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL42%
AwayWWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633330
Win %33%42%23%
Points / game113.3114.5112.0
Allowed / game117.7116.6118.8
Point differential-4.3-2.1-6.8
Avg total231.0231.1230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)56% (9)38% (8)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder63491478%118.5107.8+10.7
2 Detroit Pistons62451773%116.8109.6+7.2
3 San Antonio Spurs61441772%118.1111.3+6.8
4 Boston Celtics64432167%114.5106.9+7.6
5 Houston Rockets62392363%114.5109.3+5.2
6 Minnesota Timberwolves64402462%118.6114.5+4.2
7 New York Knicks63392462%116.7110.6+6.1
8 Los Angeles Lakers63392462%115.8114.8+1.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers64392561%118.8114.8+4.0
10 Denver Nuggets64392561%120.2116.5+3.7
11 Phoenix Suns62362658%112.5110.8+1.7
12 Toronto Raptors61352657%113.8112.0+1.8
13 Miami Heat63352856%120.3116.6+3.7
14 Orlando Magic60332755%114.7113.8+0.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers63342954%115.8116.1-0.3
16 Atlanta Hawks64333152%117.7117.3+0.4
17 Golden State Warriors63323151%115.0113.9+1.1
18 Charlotte Hornets64323250%116.2112.5+3.6
19 Los Angeles Clippers63313249%112.6112.2+0.3
20 Portland Trail Blazers64303447%115.1118.1-3.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks62273544%111.4115.5-4.1
22 Chicago Bulls63263741%115.5119.7-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies62233937%115.7117.8-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks63214233%113.3117.7-4.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans65204531%115.2120.2-5.0
26 Utah Jazz64194530%117.4125.0-7.7
27 Washington Wizards62164626%112.2123.0-10.8
28 Brooklyn Nets63164725%106.9115.6-8.7
29 Indiana Pacers63154824%111.4119.9-8.4
30 Sacramento Kings64145022%110.4121.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors36213134122
Dallas Mavericks2915222692
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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