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Tortona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-91
20-23 34-31 31-20 18-17
Position#3
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game76.2
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#4
Record10-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game89.8
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Varese
14 Mar 2027
TOR v VAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
TOR90
VAR87
09 Mar 2025
TOR89
VAR82
24 Mar 2024
TOR90
VAR83
05 Feb 2023
TOR103
VAR91
16 Apr 2022
TOR104
VAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 72
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
102-80
102
80
+22
95avg 72
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 72
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
91-72
91
72
+19
90avg 72
A18/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 72
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
92avg 72
A02/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H07/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
no box
A15/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H22/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 72
A29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
10-12
23-18
21-20
25-14
13-30
30-17
34-19
16-21
22-19
21-20
20-22
32-22
24-16
24-12
11-22
18-26
23-21
24-28
25-20
18-17
24-27
20-29
27-15
29-22
19-11
20-26
21-22
12-22
17-17
19-32
15-8
21-13
18-21
26-17
14-23
25-22
18-17
28-17
16-23
164.6Avg total
84.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.276.2157.4+5.071%
Season at home (8)80.676.1156.8+4.575%
Season away (9)81.776.2157.9+5.467%
Last 10 (10)84.380.3164.6+4.070%
Last 5 (5)81.480.2161.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.482.9158.3-7.429%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.772.6150.3+5.173%
vs Weaker (7)89.479.9169.3+9.686%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
98-91
98
91
+7
88avg 78
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
100-108
100
108
-8
86avg 78
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
93-101
93
101
-8
88avg 78
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
61avg 78
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
76avg 78
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 78
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 78
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 78
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 78
H28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-30
25-19
19-21
20-21
20-28
27-28
22-23
31-29
27-27
17-32
30-23
19-19
26-16
21-22
25-21
16-29
21-36
11-21
28-25
24-14
17-18
27-24
29-20
15-27
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.189.8181.9+2.359%
Season at home (9)92.988.6181.4+4.367%
Season away (8)91.291.2182.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)91.684.0175.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)86.192.5178.6-6.440%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.987.1175.0+0.953%
vs Weaker (5)97.691.0188.6+6.680%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
TortonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A18/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H07/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A15/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H22/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/01
Lega A
79.7Avg total
40.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.538.176.6+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.539.279.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.379.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.340.779.0-2.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.537.375.9+1.260%-
vs Weaker (7)42.138.680.7+3.657%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H04/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A11/12
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A26/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
93.3Avg total
45.9Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.589.5+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.187.3+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)45.746.091.7-0.367%-
Last 10 (10)45.947.493.3-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.043.089.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.047.090.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.542.387.7+3.267%-
vs Weaker (5)47.446.493.8+1.060%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
51.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.5
39.3%
36.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
76.1%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.8
52.8%
51.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.3
37.3%
36.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.716.9
71.3%
76.1%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLWWLWLWW
Varese
WLWWLLWLLW
#3
League position
#4
+6.4
Net rating
+2.0
119.7
Offensive rating
112.4
113.3
Defensive rating
110.5
57.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.3%
3-point %
37.3%
63.0%
Assist %
56.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 112.4Defence113.3 · 110.5Shooting57.1% · 54.3%3-point %39.3% · 37.3%Ball care14.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds24.3% · 24.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
02/01/23Varese v Tortona88-89
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23ATreviso87-79
22/01/23HScafati79-74
15/01/23AOlimpia Milano63-79
07/01/23HVirtus Bologna89-81
02/01/23AVarese89-88
26/12/22HTreviso90-95
18/12/22AScafati91-72
10/12/22HSassari79-82
03/12/22AVerona102-80
27/11/22HBasket Napoli74-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
02/01/23HTortona88-89
26/12/22AOlimpia Milano84-96
18/12/22HTrieste104-99 OT
11/12/22APesaro93-101
04/12/22HVirtus Bologna100-108
27/11/22AVerona98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.280.681.7
Allowed / game76.276.176.2
Point differential+5.0+4.5+5.4
Avg total157.4156.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game92.192.991.2
Allowed / game89.888.691.2
Point differential+2.3+4.3+0.0
Avg total181.9181.4182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1713476%82.672.8+9.9
2 Virtus Bologna1713476%84.577.6+6.9
3 Tortona1712571%81.276.2+5.0
4 Varese1710759%92.189.8+2.3
5 Pesaro1710759%86.684.8+1.8
6 Trento179853%74.275.8-1.6
7 Brindisi189950%79.883.2-3.4
8 Sassari178947%84.481.2+3.2
9 Trieste178947%79.782.8-3.1
10 Venezia1881044%81.979.6+2.3
11 Brescia1771041%83.683.0+0.6
12 Scafati1771041%77.278.0-0.8
13 Treviso1871139%79.384.7-5.3
14 Basket Napoli1761135%77.184.3-7.2
15 Verona1861233%78.886.3-7.5
16 Reggiana1751229%75.677.9-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona20343118103
Varese2331201791
← all games of the day
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