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Tortona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 77-84
18-17 21-24 16-24 22-19
Position#9
Record14-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#2
Record20-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game77.4
ItalyLega ARound 29· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Virtus Bologna
02 May 2027
TOR v VIR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
TOR69
VIR74
09 Feb 2025
TOR66
VIR98
18 May 2024
TOR82
VIR75
16 May 2024
TOR91
VIR81
28 Apr 2024
TOR77
VIR84
02 Jun 2023
TOR82
VIR89
07 Jan 2023
TOR89
VIR81
31 May 2022
TOR69
VIR77
19 Feb 2022
TOR94
VIR82
30 Oct 2021
TOR93
VIR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
72avg 71
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 71
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
95avg 71
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 71
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
77avg 71
H24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 71
H30/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 71
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 71
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 71
H20/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
26-21
21-11
23-27
22-25
15-12
22-13
20-12
17-23
13-22
24-12
17-27
21-11
23-22
34-17
19-22
20-31
23-19
26-18
22-26
21-15
20-16
27-28
22-24
20-18
21-18
25-19
21-21
14-13
22-20
14-17
15-22
24-16
23-25
17-23
17-19
21-22
23-11
24-21
26-22
162.0Avg total
84.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.778.8159.5+1.950%
Season at home (14)82.575.0157.5+7.571%
Season away (14)78.982.6161.6-3.729%
Last 10 (10)84.177.9162.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)83.478.0161.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.285.6155.8-15.40%
vs Similar (16)82.877.7160.4+5.162%
vs Weaker (9)87.681.9169.4+5.756%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 81
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 81
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
90avg 81
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 81
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 81
H14/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
65avg 81
A16/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 81
A19/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 81
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
26-14
29-27
28-27
10-32
18-22
16-24
19-27
22-17
24-20
30-11
20-16
15-23
22-21
31-23
21-31
17-20
20-23
29-30
24-16
20-16
21-23
14-13
13-14
19-14
22-21
19-20
16-31
20-17
29-23
28-18
8-17
18-15
165.4Avg total
83.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.477.4165.8+11.071%
Season at home (14)92.277.8170.0+14.486%
Season away (14)84.677.0161.6+7.657%
Last 10 (10)83.482.0165.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.281.2163.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar (12)80.383.0163.3-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.979.1171.0+12.873%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
TortonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/02
Lega A
Sassari
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H24/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H30/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/04
Lega A
78.3Avg total
40.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.577.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.935.376.2+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.879.7-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.878.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.876.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.640.874.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (16)39.536.676.1+2.956%-
vs Weaker (9)42.440.783.1+1.856%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/04
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A07/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/04
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/04
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H22/04
Lega A
88.4Avg total
46.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.883.9+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.785.4+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.082.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)46.142.388.4+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.043.090.0+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar (12)40.039.979.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)50.140.290.3+9.982%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.7
49.2%
53.1%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.8
37.9%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
76.3%13.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.8
58.1%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.3
35.6%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.112.3
71.9%
76.3%12.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLWWLWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#2
+7.8
Net rating
+2.5
114.2
Offensive rating
116.7
106.4
Defensive rating
114.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
35.6%
63.5%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 116.7Defence106.4 · 114.1Shooting53.1% · 56.0%3-point %37.9% · 35.6%Ball care13.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 34.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
9
Virtus Bologna wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HPesaro94-76
13/04/24ATrento81-83
06/04/24ABrescia65-72
30/03/24HCremona87-76
24/03/24HVarese90-83
17/03/24AScafati91-94
10/03/24HBasket Napoli97-72
03/03/24APistoia71-84
10/02/24HSassari79-62
04/02/24ABrindisi86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24HReggiana83-73
19/04/24ABaskonia77-89
16/04/24AAnadolu Efes67-64
14/04/24HCremona93-85
12/04/24HBaskonia91-95
07/04/24AVenezia89-70
05/04/24AOlimpia Milano75-90
01/04/24HPistoia93-100
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game80.782.578.9
Allowed / game78.875.082.6
Point differential+1.9+7.5-3.7
Avg total159.5157.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game88.492.284.6
Allowed / game77.477.877.0
Point differential+11.0+14.4+7.6
Avg total165.8170.0161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2820871%88.477.4+11.0
2 Brescia2820871%87.478.4+9.0
3 Olimpia Milano2820871%80.674.5+6.1
4 Venezia28181064%82.878.3+4.4
5 Reggiana28151354%80.479.9+0.5
6 Trento28151354%84.283.7+0.5
7 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
8 Pistoia28141450%80.383.5-3.2
9 Basket Napoli28131546%86.186.9-0.8
10 Cremona28121643%80.379.5+0.8
11 Scafati28121643%82.786.6-3.9
12 Sassari28121643%78.683.8-5.2
13 Varese28111739%86.790.1-3.5
14 Treviso28101836%80.284.9-4.6
15 Brindisi2891932%75.681.5-5.9
16 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1821162277
Virtus Bologna1724241984
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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