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Pesaro vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-88
28-23 20-15 16-22 19-28
Position#9
Record9-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.2
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Brescia
03 Mar 2024
PES93
BRE83
18 Mar 2023
PES88
BRE79
27 Mar 2022
PES83
BRE88
10 Jan 2021
PES98
BRE88
22 Mar 2020
PES v BRE
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
PES86
BRE92
01 Oct 2017
PES70
BRE73
02 Oct 2016
PES76
BRE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 71
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
66avg 71
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 71
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
82avg 71
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
45avg 71
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 71
H13/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 71
A20/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
16-16
25-17
25-29
24-20
16-18
12-17
25-22
15-26
25-35
18-25
20-24
20-26
17-20
21-19
20-24
17-27
26-20
24-21
25-24
19-30
30-17
21-14
23-26
12-23
15-19
13-25
17-24
17-25
32-18
12-22
16-21
15-26
27-18
22-19
22-21
21-17
19-19
25-16
22-24
173.9Avg total
83.7Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.884.2164.0-4.441%
Season at home (10)84.583.8168.3+0.750%
Season away (12)75.984.6160.5-8.733%
Last 10 (10)83.790.2173.9-6.550%
Last 5 (5)80.084.8164.8-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.387.4160.8-14.111%
vs Similar (20)82.984.6167.5-1.745%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
112avg 77
H20/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
97-86
97
86
+11
93avg 77
H23/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 77
A30/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
A06/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 77
H12/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
77avg 77
A06/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
101-78
101
78
+23
103avg 77
H13/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 77
H20/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
35-25
25-18
24-20
26-20
16-23
30-26
25-17
20-26
18-21
26-19
29-16
30-21
20-27
20-20
23-18
16-28
25-14
20-12
26-22
19-16
23-26
20-13
16-18
12-21
25-15
13-18
13-15
16-26
23-13
15-20
34-24
21-13
23-19
35-23
22-23
17-15
24-16
23-27
18-16
167.7Avg total
89.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.578.5163.0+6.168%
Season at home (12)89.879.3169.1+10.483%
Season away (10)78.377.4155.7+0.950%
Last 10 (10)89.278.5167.7+10.790%
Last 5 (5)82.475.4157.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.073.0142.0-4.033%
vs Similar (8)81.984.1166.0-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.477.8164.2+8.671%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
PesaroBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/03
Lega A
85.5Avg total
40.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.582.2-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.642.981.4-4.343%-
Last 30 away (16)40.742.182.8-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.785.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.642.980.4-5.344%-
vs Similar (20)42.042.184.1-0.245%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H20/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A30/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A06/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H13/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H20/03
Lega A
83.5Avg total
43.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.780.6+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.838.284.0+7.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.039.377.3-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.076.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.733.069.7+3.767%-
vs Similar (8)42.640.483.0+2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.638.281.8+5.559%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.6
49.9%
51.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.7
77.7%
74.7%15.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.0
54.6%
51.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.7
43.0%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.616.6
84.7%
74.7%16.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLLWLLLWW
Brescia
WWWLWWWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-9.1
Net rating
+20.3
110.7
Offensive rating
122.2
119.8
Defensive rating
101.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
58.4%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.5%
3-point %
43.0%
53.0%
Assist %
52.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 122.2Defence119.8 · 101.9Shooting52.4% · 58.4%3-point %37.5% · 43.0%Ball care16.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
20/01/22Brescia v Pesaro110-78
10/05/21Brescia v Pesaro86-84
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22AVarese87-76
13/03/22HBrindisi86-84
06/03/22AReggiana77-86
13/02/22AOlimpia Milano57-91
06/02/22HCremona93-87
30/01/22HTreviso105-108 OT
23/01/22ATrieste78-89
20/01/22ABrescia78-110
16/01/22HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
26/12/21ABrindisi91-89
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HOlimpia Milano82-74
13/03/22HTreviso101-78
06/03/22ABrindisi88-83
19/02/22AOlimpia Milano63-69
16/02/22ATrento78-73
12/02/22HTrieste87-76
06/02/22AFortitudo Bologna93-86
30/01/22AVenezia93-82
23/01/22HSassari97-86
20/01/22HPesaro110-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW41%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game79.884.575.9
Allowed / game84.283.884.6
Point differential-4.4+0.7-8.7
Avg total164.0168.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%83%50%
Points / game84.589.878.3
Allowed / game78.579.377.4
Point differential+6.1+10.4+0.9
Avg total163.0169.1155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%75%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2219386%83.870.6+13.2
2 Virtus Bologna2219386%87.978.6+9.3
3 Brescia2215768%84.578.5+6.1
4 Reggiana23121152%80.578.8+1.7
5 Tortona23121152%79.479.3+0.2
6 Sassari22111150%83.082.5+0.5
7 Venezia23111248%77.977.8+0.1
8 Brindisi23111248%80.781.5-0.7
9 Trieste22101245%77.581.2-3.7
10 Varese23101343%81.386.7-5.4
11 Trento2291341%77.279.7-2.5
12 Treviso2291341%78.582.7-4.2
13 Pesaro2291341%79.884.2-4.4
14 Basket Napoli2391439%81.783.7-2.0
15 Fortitudo Bologna2371630%81.384.3-3.0
16 Cremona2371630%79.484.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2820161983
Brescia2315222888
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