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Pesaro vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-87
19-30 30-17 21-14 23-26
Position#9
Record6-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.1
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record5-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.8
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Cremona
28 Apr 2024
PES91
CRE86
06 Feb 2022
PES93
CRE87
01 Nov 2020
PES95
CRE83
01 Dec 2019
PES63
CRE74
16 Dec 2018
PES106
CRE122
29 Oct 2017
PES68
CRE79
02 Apr 2017
PES63
CRE73
30 Nov 2015
PES74
CRE86
04 Apr 2015
PES74
CRE89
06 Apr 2014
PES86
CRE91
14 Apr 2013
PES88
CRE81
09 Apr 2012
PES86
CRE64
03 Apr 2011
PES82
CRE59
06 Dec 2009
PES101
CRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
L
83-100
83
100
-17
64avg 70
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-84
88
84
+4
89avg 70
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 70
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 70
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 70
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
66avg 70
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 70
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
30-28
15-23
23-24
19-18
19-20
25-18
25-28
25-19
28-18
23-22
18-16
26-17
17-15
12-19
18-12
7-20
23-19
23-13
16-20
25-27
16-16
25-17
25-29
24-20
16-18
12-17
25-22
15-26
25-35
18-25
20-24
20-26
17-20
21-19
20-24
17-27
26-20
24-21
25-24
171.6Avg total
84.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.884.1163.8-4.335%
Season at home (8)83.283.4166.6-0.138%
Season away (9)76.784.7161.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)84.487.2171.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)87.495.6183.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.384.3157.5-11.018%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.285.6166.7-4.433%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 73
A14/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 73
H21/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
88-91
88
91
-3
74avg 73
A05/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 73
H12/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 73
A19/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 73
H09/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
65avg 73
H12/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
no box
A15/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
79avg 73
H23/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
30-24
17-23
12-20
18-19
20-19
18-25
28-25
21-23
24-26
20-18
23-24
15-22
26-21
19-27
15-17
14-31
19-28
18-19
22-8
15-20
20-16
26-18
28-26
20-25
22-17
17-26
16-12
18-22
30-25
19-27
25-23
29-14
16-16
14-30
26-22
12-25
13-7
24-22
22-25
168.1Avg total
81.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.383.8164.1-3.529%
Season at home (9)83.982.9166.8+1.044%
Season away (8)76.284.9161.1-8.612%
Last 10 (10)81.586.6168.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)82.483.6166.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.385.3164.6-6.023%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.682.1164.7+0.638%
vs Weaker (1)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
PesaroCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/01
Lega A
84.4Avg total
41.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.079.8-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.742.078.7-5.338%-
Last 30 away (17)38.642.180.6-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.484.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.087.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.541.578.0-5.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.942.282.1-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A14/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A19/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H09/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H23/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A29/01
Lega A
83.5Avg total
40.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.681.5-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.379.9+1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)39.144.183.3-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.983.5-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.476.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.242.480.5-4.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.141.082.1+0.144%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.3
50.0%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
74.7%15.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
51.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
35.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
74.7%14.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWWLWWWL
Cremona
LWLLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#16
-6.5
Net rating
-6.4
109.4
Offensive rating
105.2
115.8
Defensive rating
111.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
32.0%
53.2%
Assist %
53.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 105.2Defence115.8 · 111.6Shooting49.8% · 50.6%3-point %33.1% · 32.0%Ball care15.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
21/11/21Cremona v Pesaro84-88
07/03/21Cremona v Pesaro100-78
01/11/20Pesaro v Cremona95-83 OT
01/12/19Pesaro v Cremona63-74
07/04/19Cremona v Pesaro97-64
16/12/18Pesaro v Cremona106-122
04/03/18Cremona v Pesaro92-79
29/10/17Pesaro v Cremona68-79
02/04/17Pesaro v Cremona63-73
04/12/16Cremona v Pesaro71-73
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/22HTreviso105-108 OT
23/01/22ATrieste78-89
20/01/22ABrescia78-110
16/01/22HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
26/12/21ABrindisi91-89
19/12/21HReggiana69-72
11/12/21ATreviso73-63
05/12/21HVarese94-75
21/11/21ACremona88-84
13/11/21HBasket Napoli83-100
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22AVirtus Bologna71-79
23/01/22HVenezia85-82
15/01/22ATortona92-97
12/01/22HTrieste75-80
09/01/22HSassari89-80
19/12/21ABrescia73-86
12/12/21HVirtus Bologna75-87
05/12/21ABasket Napoli88-91
21/11/21HPesaro84-88
14/11/21ATreviso83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game79.883.276.7
Allowed / game84.183.484.7
Point differential-4.3-0.1-8.0
Avg total163.8166.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%44%12%
Points / game80.383.976.2
Allowed / game83.882.984.9
Point differential-3.5+1.0-8.6
Avg total164.1166.8161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%82.469.9+12.4
2 Virtus Bologna1714382%89.679.1+10.5
3 Brescia1710759%82.978.2+4.7
4 Trieste1710759%78.179.2-1.1
5 Reggiana168850%81.980.0+1.9
6 Tortona189950%80.981.3-0.4
7 Trento189950%80.380.7-0.4
8 Sassari178947%83.183.7-0.6
9 Basket Napoli178947%82.683.9-1.3
10 Brindisi178947%80.783.2-2.5
11 Treviso178947%79.482.6-3.3
12 Venezia1771041%78.479.3-0.9
13 Varese1661038%80.588.4-7.9
14 Pesaro1761135%79.884.1-4.3
15 Cremona1751229%80.383.8-3.5
16 Fortitudo Bologna1751229%80.884.3-3.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1930212393
Cremona3017142687
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