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Pesaro vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-78
20-14 30-21 13-24 19-19
Position#10
Record13-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record18-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Tortona
12 Nov 2023
PES96
TOR92
07 May 2023
PES82
TOR78
17 Oct 2021
PES81
TOR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 74
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 74
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 74
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 74
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 74
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-102
70
102
-32
61avg 74
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 74
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
75avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 74
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
87-98
87
98
-11
78avg 74
A29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
24-32
18-13
12-23
22-20
16-20
17-24
19-20
18-20
22-19
9-31
27-30
12-22
18-15
19-16
19-22
23-33
20-27
25-16
26-26
11-27
22-21
24-19
18-23
30-20
27-30
23-22
23-21
14-25
174.1Avg total
81.5Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.487.4171.9-3.045%
Season at home (14)84.684.2168.9+0.457%
Season away (15)84.390.4174.7-6.133%
Last 10 (10)81.592.6174.1-11.120%
Last 5 (5)82.493.0175.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.889.8171.6-8.038%
vs Similar (13)84.484.5168.8-0.146%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
85avg 72
A05/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 72
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 72
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 72
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 72
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 72
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
60avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 72
H30/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-26
18-23
29-24
24-17
21-18
18-13
10-21
18-22
16-20
27-23
14-8
20-19
20-20
16-27
16-18
22-17
17-22
25-13
17-25
25-25
22-24
16-21
17-19
20-24
19-20
17-14
15-13
21-12
22-19
21-19
10-18
24-16
9-19
20-27
16-20
24-25
22-17
11-17
18-18
156.6Avg total
76.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.377.8158.1+2.662%
Season at home (15)80.576.7157.2+3.973%
Season away (14)80.178.9159.0+1.150%
Last 10 (10)76.680.0156.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)75.081.2156.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.483.6160.0-7.220%
vs Similar (15)79.578.5157.9+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.775.6158.2+7.178%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
PesaroTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H16/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A29/04
Lega A
84.8Avg total
40.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.283.6-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.980.3+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.345.586.9-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.584.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.644.184.8-3.538%-
vs Similar (13)42.140.582.5+1.669%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/04
Lega A
80.9Avg total
40.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.680.6+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.637.980.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.280.7-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.080.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.281.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
vs Similar (15)41.740.382.0+1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.037.378.3+3.756%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.2
51.7%
51.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.7
38.4%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
76.1%12.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
51.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
36.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.511.2
77.2%
76.1%11.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLLLLWLL
Tortona
LLWLLWLWWL
#10
League position
#3
-15.0
Net rating
-0.9
108.9
Offensive rating
108.8
124.0
Defensive rating
109.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.4%
3-point %
31.8%
55.7%
Assist %
52.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 108.8Defence124.0 · 109.6Shooting54.3% · 53.1%3-point %38.4% · 31.8%Ball care17.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
2
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
15/10/22Tortona v Pesaro81-73
02/04/22Tortona v Pesaro70-86
17/10/21Pesaro v Tortona81-90
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ABasket Napoli87-98
23/04/23HTrieste94-83
19/04/23ATreviso82-96
16/04/23HScafati79-86
09/04/23AOlimpia Milano70-102
02/04/23HTrento70-84
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HOlimpia Milano75-77
23/04/23ABasket Napoli69-82
19/04/23HReggiana74-68
16/04/23HBrescia77-90 OT
08/04/23AVenezia80-89
02/04/23HBrindisi81-77
26/03/23ASassari72-84
18/03/23ATrento75-73
12/03/23HVerona73-69
05/03/23AVirtus Bologna90-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %45%57%33%
Points / game84.484.684.3
Allowed / game87.484.290.4
Point differential-3.0+0.4-6.1
Avg total171.9168.9174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game80.380.580.1
Allowed / game77.876.778.9
Point differential+2.6+3.9+1.1
Avg total158.1157.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)57% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%82.873.2+9.6
2 Virtus Bologna2922776%84.377.7+6.6
3 Tortona29181162%80.377.8+2.6
4 Sassari29171259%84.980.5+4.4
5 Varese29171259%91.290.5+0.7
6 Venezia29161355%82.980.3+2.6
7 Trento29151452%76.577.3-0.8
8 Brescia29141548%82.380.5+1.8
9 Brindisi29141548%82.881.9+0.9
10 Pesaro29131645%84.487.4-3.0
11 Treviso29121741%81.486.3-4.9
12 Scafati29111838%78.880.2-1.4
13 Basket Napoli29111838%79.083.9-4.9
14 Trieste29111838%78.483.7-5.2
15 Reggiana29101934%75.677.3-1.7
16 Verona2992031%78.385.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2030131982
Tortona1421241978
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