PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-84
16-20 17-24 19-20 18-20
Position#10
Record12-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record11-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game77.4
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 74
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 74
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 74
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 74
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 74
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 74
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 74
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 74
A26/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-19
10-20
25-14
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
24-32
18-13
12-23
22-20
166.7Avg total
78.6Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.586.3171.9-0.852%
Season at home (11)85.684.2169.8+1.564%
Season away (12)85.488.3173.8-2.942%
Last 10 (10)78.688.1166.7-9.540%
Last 5 (5)78.090.2168.2-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.786.7165.4-7.932%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.080.9167.9+6.170%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 64
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
82avg 64
H05/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 64
A08/03
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Buducnost
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
69avg 64
H14/03
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
64avg 64
H18/03
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
L
87-89
87
89
-2
82avg 64
A21/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H26/03
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
72-61
72
61
+11
64avg 64
H29/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
13-14
23-23
24-18
16-22
20-16
12-21
22-15
19-18
17-24
21-18
26-16
20-30
24-23
15-17
29-24
15-18
14-19
23-21
24-27
24-13
25-15
13-25
17-23
22-18
20-16
23-27
8-14
26-22
19-22
19-28
23-17
19-20
18-24
22-17
20-26
19-9
10-18
20-17
23-17
157.7Avg total
78.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.177.4152.5-2.348%
Season at home (12)74.976.8151.7-1.850%
Season away (11)75.478.1153.5-2.745%
Last 10 (10)78.679.1157.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)78.077.6155.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.281.7155.9-7.529%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.675.7149.3-2.154%
vs Weaker (2)72.079.5151.5-7.50%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/03
Lega A
82.0Avg total
38.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.239.280.4+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.283.1-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.044.082.0-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.280.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.642.782.3-3.232%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.939.481.3+2.580%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/03
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A08/03
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/03
Lega A
Buducnost
#11
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H14/03
Eurocup
Tortona
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H18/03
Lega A
Hamburg
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/03
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H29/03
Eurocup
75.9Avg total
37.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.676.8-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.077.3-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)36.140.276.3-4.114%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.075.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.475.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.141.580.6-2.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.837.573.3-1.631%-
vs Weaker (2)34.040.574.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.9
50.0%
51.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.7
36.1%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
76.1%13.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.9
48.0%
51.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.0
37.2%
36.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
76.1%14.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLLWLWLW
Trento
WLLLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#7
-5.3
Net rating
-1.5
110.2
Offensive rating
108.1
115.4
Defensive rating
109.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
37.2%
59.8%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 108.1Defence115.4 · 109.7Shooting51.9% · 50.6%3-point %36.1% · 37.2%Ball care14.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.1% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Trento wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Trento v Pesaro79-75
23/04/22Trento v Pesaro82-83
31/10/21Pesaro v Trento75-79
07/02/21Trento v Pesaro70-81
17/10/20Pesaro v Trento57-71
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74
15/02/23HVarese84-80
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
29/01/23ASassari74-110
21/01/23HVerona76-73
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23HSlask Wroclaw72-61
26/03/23HBasket Napoli79-87
21/03/23AHamburg87-89
18/03/23HTortona73-75
14/03/23HBuducnost79-76
12/03/23ATreviso76-85
08/03/23AGran Canaria88-94
05/03/23HBrescia83-76
16/02/23ATortona70-74
12/02/23AScafati79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game85.585.685.4
Allowed / game86.384.288.3
Point differential-0.8+1.5-2.9
Avg total171.9169.8173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%18%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game75.174.975.4
Allowed / game77.476.878.1
Point differential-2.3-1.8-2.7
Avg total152.5151.7153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2419579%83.876.8+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2417771%81.773.5+8.2
3 Tortona2417771%81.477.0+4.4
4 Sassari24141058%86.080.5+5.5
5 Varese23131057%91.991.5+0.4
6 Brindisi24131154%83.282.5+0.8
7 Pesaro23121152%85.586.3-0.8
8 Venezia24121250%81.979.9+2.0
9 Trento23111248%75.177.4-2.3
10 Treviso23101343%80.785.8-5.1
11 Brescia24101442%82.781.7+1.0
12 Trieste24101442%78.382.7-4.4
13 Scafati2481633%77.879.5-1.7
14 Reggiana2481633%75.277.0-1.7
15 Basket Napoli2481633%77.384.0-6.7
16 Verona2481633%79.486.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1617191870
Trento2024202084
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.