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Tortona vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 29· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Virtus Bologna
02 May 2027
TOR v VIR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
TOR69
VIR74
09 Feb 2025
TOR66
VIR98
18 May 2024
TOR82
VIR75
16 May 2024
TOR91
VIR81
28 Apr 2024
TOR77
VIR84
02 Jun 2023
TOR82
VIR89
07 Jan 2023
TOR89
VIR81
31 May 2022
TOR69
VIR77
19 Feb 2022
TOR94
VIR82
30 Oct 2021
TOR93
VIR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#19
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#8
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#30
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
22-24
24-27
25-18
21-31
25-19
16-13
22-23
23-25
21-31
15-24
11-28
22-20
24-24
20-22
23-17
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
173.2Avg total
83.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.495.0179.4-10.620%
Season at home (3)88.791.3180.0-2.733%
Season away (2)78.0100.5178.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)83.889.4173.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)81.686.2167.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.690.5170.1-10.912%
vs Similar (13)83.882.4166.2+1.554%
vs Weaker (9)89.484.7174.1+4.867%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
182.4Avg total
92.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)97.484.2181.6+13.2100%
Season at home (2)103.086.0189.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)93.783.0176.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.989.5182.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)92.492.2184.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.888.2168.0-8.525%
vs Similar (4)89.591.0180.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.483.9175.2+7.573%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
TortonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H27/09
Lega A
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#13
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#19
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#26
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#30
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
90.7Avg total
44.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.785.6+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.841.083.8+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)43.044.687.6-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.790.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.485.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.545.689.1-2.150%-
vs Similar (13)42.241.283.4+0.962%-
vs Weaker (9)43.342.285.6+1.156%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
45.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.586.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.742.190.7+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.982.9+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.686.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.540.583.0+2.025%-
vs Similar (4)44.841.286.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.041.787.6+4.368%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
34.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
74.4%17.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.4%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWLLLWLLW
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWWWWWW
#14
League position
#1
-6.5
Net rating
+3.7
97.7
Offensive rating
102.2
104.2
Defensive rating
98.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.4%
3-point %
36.3%
52.6%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 102.2Defence104.2 · 98.4Shooting51.6% · 54.8%3-point %32.4% · 36.3%Ball care14.1% · 14.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tortona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
07/10/26HLe Mans89-83
04/10/26ABC Roma70-108
30/09/26ARigas Zelli84-86
27/09/26HVerona101-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game84.488.778.0
Allowed / game95.091.3100.5
Point differential-10.6-2.7-22.5
Avg total179.4180.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.4103.093.7
Allowed / game84.286.083.0
Point differential+13.2+17.0+10.7
Avg total181.6189.0176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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