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Tortona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-81
29-22 19-11 20-26 21-22
Position#3
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.5
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#2
Record11-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game76.4
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Virtus Bologna
02 May 2027
TOR v VIR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
TOR69
VIR74
09 Feb 2025
TOR66
VIR98
18 May 2024
TOR82
VIR75
16 May 2024
TOR91
VIR81
28 Apr 2024
TOR77
VIR84
02 Jun 2023
TOR82
VIR89
07 Jan 2023
TOR89
VIR81
31 May 2022
TOR69
VIR77
19 Feb 2022
TOR94
VIR82
30 Oct 2021
TOR93
VIR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
88-60
88
60
+28
87avg 71
A22/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
77-61
77
61
+16
80avg 71
H30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 71
A06/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 71
A20/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
74-73
74
73
+1
64avg 71
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
102-80
102
80
+22
95avg 71
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 71
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
91-72
91
72
+19
90avg 71
A18/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 71
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
92avg 71
A02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
19-15
17-17
29-12
15-12
27-17
15-18
20-14
23-27
19-22
22-20
20-17
16-22
17-21
19-18
16-22
20-23
10-12
23-18
21-20
25-14
13-30
30-17
34-19
16-21
22-19
21-20
20-22
32-22
24-16
24-12
11-22
18-26
23-21
24-28
25-20
18-17
24-27
20-29
27-15
162.2Avg total
84.2Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.775.5157.2+6.269%
Season at home (6)79.575.7155.2+3.867%
Season away (7)83.675.4159.0+8.171%
Last 10 (10)84.278.0162.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)90.283.4173.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.284.0159.2-8.820%
vs Similar (16)76.972.6149.5+4.469%
vs Weaker (8)85.479.9165.2+5.575%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-117
71
117
-46
64avg 79
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
57avg 79
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
87avg 79
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 79
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
87avg 79
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 79
A22/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
92avg 79
H30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
65avg 79
H02/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
85avg 79
A05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
20-30
20-23
16-33
22-18
8-23
26-23
21-20
18-15
22-14
23-23
22-24
20-16
24-25
13-19
21-13
25-19
24-13
18-26
22-19
14-17
17-28
20-18
28-27
25-18
14-22
20-19
14-14
23-25
23-21
19-22
27-20
15-19
17-21
18-25
24-31
26-15
16-24
18-18
23-18
167.3Avg total
81.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.676.4162.0+9.285%
Season at home (6)85.077.3162.3+7.767%
Season away (7)86.175.6161.7+10.6100%
Last 10 (10)81.585.8167.3-4.360%
Last 5 (5)83.086.2169.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.087.5165.5-9.540%
vs Similar (8)75.974.1150.0+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.674.8161.3+11.892%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
TortonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A22/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H30/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A18/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/01
Lega A
80.4Avg total
40.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.877.5+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.177.0-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.478.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.080.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.685.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.242.680.8-4.440%-
vs Similar (16)38.236.875.0+1.456%-
vs Weaker (8)39.639.679.2+0.038%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A09/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/12
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
38.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.579.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.277.6+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.681.8-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.480.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.080.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.045.083.0-7.020%-
vs Similar (8)39.533.272.8+6.288%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.839.282.0+3.758%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.0
38.6%
36.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.4
79.1%
76.1%14.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
51.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
76.1%15.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLWLWWLLWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWLWWWLL
#3
League position
#2
+7.6
Net rating
-4.3
114.6
Offensive rating
112.9
107.0
Defensive rating
117.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.2%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.6%
3-point %
37.8%
66.6%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 112.9Defence107.0 · 117.2Shooting54.0% · 57.2%3-point %38.6% · 37.8%Ball care14.7% · 19.2%Off. rebounds24.5% · 27.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Tortona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
5
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
31/05/22Tortona v Virtus Bologna69-77
29/05/22Virtus Bologna v Tortona91-70
27/05/22Virtus Bologna v Tortona77-73
22/04/22Virtus Bologna v Tortona101-83
19/02/22Tortona v Virtus Bologna94-82
30/10/21Tortona v Virtus Bologna93-76
18/09/21Virtus Bologna v Tortona74-66
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23AVarese89-88
26/12/22HTreviso90-95
18/12/22AScafati91-72
10/12/22HSassari79-82
03/12/22AVerona102-80
27/11/22HBasket Napoli74-73
20/11/22ABrescia68-83
06/11/22ABrindisi84-86
30/10/22HVenezia77-61
22/10/22ATrieste88-60
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23ABarcelona83-75
02/01/23HOlimpia Milano74-96
30/12/22HFenerbahce92-88
26/12/22APesaro87-82 OT
22/12/22ABaskonia79-90
18/12/22ABrescia89-77
16/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv78-73
14/12/22HAlba Berlin85-76
11/12/22HScafati77-84
09/12/22AOlympiacos71-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game81.779.583.6
Allowed / game75.575.775.4
Point differential+6.2+3.8+8.1
Avg total157.2155.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%17%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL85%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%67%100%
Points / game85.685.086.1
Allowed / game76.477.375.6
Point differential+9.2+7.7+10.6
Avg total162.0162.3161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1311285%84.573.0+11.5
2 Virtus Bologna1311285%85.676.4+9.2
3 Tortona139469%81.775.5+6.2
4 Venezia137654%83.580.8+2.6
5 Brescia137654%86.283.9+2.2
6 Pesaro137654%87.786.0+1.7
7 Varese137654%92.092.0+0.0
8 Trento137654%73.874.8-1.0
9 Scafati136746%78.678.2+0.4
10 Brindisi136746%78.481.3-2.9
11 Sassari135838%79.480.5-1.2
12 Treviso135838%79.283.6-4.4
13 Verona135838%80.387.4-7.1
14 Basket Napoli134931%75.782.9-7.2
15 Trieste134931%79.887.7-7.9
16 Reggiana1331023%75.577.6-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2919202189
Virtus Bologna2211262281
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