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Sassari vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 81-86
30-26 13-20 12-18 26-22
Position#10
Record6-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record4-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game97.5
ItalyLega ARound 14· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Sassari v Varese
05 Oct 2025
SAS102
VAR105
05 Jan 2025
SAS81
VAR86
21 Apr 2024
SAS88
VAR112
18 Mar 2023
SAS102
VAR73
19 Dec 2021
SAS104
VAR99
14 Sep 2021
SAS77
VAR61
01 Nov 2020
SAS104
VAR82
12 Jan 2020
SAS93
VAR87
19 Dec 2018
SAS87
VAR90
14 Oct 2018
SAS71
VAR60
25 Mar 2018
SAS87
VAR91
03 Oct 2016
SAS78
VAR72
07 Feb 2016
SAS91
VAR69
19 Apr 2015
SAS71
VAR79
10 Nov 2013
SAS105
VAR74
17 Mar 2013
SAS76
VAR75
11 Dec 2011
SAS90
VAR79
01 May 2011
SAS88
VAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
66avg 78
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-95
85
95
-10
79avg 78
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
98-86
98
86
+12
91avg 78
H01/12
Lega A
Bilbao
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 78
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
70avg 78
A08/12
Lega A
Le Portel
#24
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 78
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
68avg 78
H15/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
96-94
96
94
+2
86avg 78
H22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 78
A28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-15
20-26
28-23
15-21
14-16
32-18
16-20
18-21
23-16
23-37
21-21
27-27
22-21
24-22
25-16
18-21
23-30
25-22
23-18
26-17
21-20
11-21
26-20
16-14
24-29
20-18
16-22
20-20
22-22
15-22
15-15
22-29
23-22
29-18
22-25
15-24
25-20
14-10
26-11
167.2Avg total
84.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.384.2167.5-0.846%
Season at home (7)86.384.4170.7+1.957%
Season away (6)79.883.8163.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)84.382.9167.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)81.679.8161.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.988.4172.2-4.525%
vs Similar (14)82.478.6161.0+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.576.0162.5+10.562%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 81
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 81
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-107
81
107
-26
66avg 81
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 81
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 81
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 81
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
51avg 81
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 81
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
15-27
17-23
21-24
28-33
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
27-21
12-27
21-20
17-18
14-17
18-18
8-23
20-20
25-19
29-24
18-22
22-27
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
181.1Avg total
87.2Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.397.5186.8-8.231%
Season at home (7)94.495.4189.9-1.057%
Season away (6)83.3100.0183.3-16.70%
Last 10 (10)87.293.9181.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)80.087.8167.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)87.297.3184.5-10.123%
vs Similar (16)90.287.7177.9+2.656%
vs Weaker (1)91.080.0171.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -3.2-3.2
SassariVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#16
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H10/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/11
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H01/12
Lega A
Bilbao
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H04/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/12
Lega A
Le Portel
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A28/12
Lega A
83.6Avg total
41.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.782.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.642.586.1+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.878.5+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.483.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.486.2-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.445.485.8-5.038%-
vs Similar (14)40.339.079.3+1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.438.984.2+6.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
91.0Avg total
45.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.945.891.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.845.294.0+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.446.489.8-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.891.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.685.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)46.848.795.5-1.854%-
vs Similar (16)45.143.788.8+1.444%-
vs Weaker (1)47.043.090.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.7
54.6%
52.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.0
39.2%
35.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.4
77.5%
76.8%13.4
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.5
50.3%
52.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.6
35.0%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.915.8
79.4%
76.8%15.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WWLLWLWLWW
Varese
WLWLLLWLWL
#10
League position
#12
+1.1
Net rating
-8.1
116.0
Offensive rating
109.7
115.0
Defensive rating
117.8
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
35.0%
58.8%
Assist %
60.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 109.7Defence115.0 · 117.8Shooting56.5% · 51.5%3-point %39.2% · 35.0%Ball care16.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sassari   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sassari wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Sassari v Varese88-112
05/11/23Varese v Sassari90-79
18/03/23Sassari v Varese102-73
02/10/22Varese v Sassari87-81
08/05/22Varese v Sassari96-110
19/12/21Sassari v Varese104-99
14/09/21Sassari v Varese77-61
08/09/21Varese v Sassari82-92
06/03/21Varese v Sassari89-74
01/11/20Sassari v Varese104-82
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ACremona80-65
22/12/24HTreviso96-94
15/12/24HReggiana72-79
10/12/24ALe Portel76-83
08/12/24AVenezia84-78
04/12/24HBilbao89-91
01/12/24HTrieste98-86
17/11/24AVirtus Bologna85-95
10/11/24HPistoia77-75
06/11/24AAnwil Wloclawek86-83
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
15/12/24HOlimpia Milano94-92
08/12/24ACremona60-78
01/12/24HVenezia77-86
16/11/24AScafati85-94
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
03/11/24ATrieste81-107
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
19/10/24HTrapani100-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW46%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game83.386.379.8
Allowed / game84.284.483.8
Point differential-0.8+1.9-4.0
Avg total167.5170.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW31%
HomeWWLWW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%57%0%
Points / game89.394.483.3
Allowed / game97.595.4100.0
Point differential-8.2-1.0-16.7
Avg total186.8189.9183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento1311285%90.683.5+7.1
2 Brescia1411379%89.985.4+4.5
3 Trapani1310377%94.686.2+8.4
4 Virtus Bologna139469%86.782.1+4.6
5 Reggiana139469%80.577.2+3.4
6 Olimpia Milano138562%86.384.5+1.8
7 Tortona148657%86.284.2+2.0
8 Trieste137654%84.983.5+1.4
9 Treviso147750%85.886.6-0.8
10 Sassari136746%83.384.2-0.8
11 Venezia135838%76.576.9-0.5
12 Scafati134931%85.993.1-7.2
13 Varese134931%89.397.5-8.2
14 Pistoia1331023%82.186.5-4.4
15 Cremona1321115%76.581.2-4.6
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari3013122681
Varese2620182286
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