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Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-92
25-19 29-24 18-22 22-27
Position#12
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game99.3
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 11· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 82
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 82
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 82
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 82
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 82
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-107
81
107
-26
66avg 82
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 82
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
60-78
60
78
-18
51avg 82
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
15-27
17-23
21-24
28-33
24-22
27-22
25-30
28-21
25-27
25-22
21-18
14-27
27-21
12-27
21-20
17-18
14-17
18-18
8-23
20-20
189.1Avg total
89.8Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.899.3189.1-9.520%
Season at home (5)95.698.0193.6-2.440%
Season away (5)84.0100.6184.6-16.60%
Last 10 (10)89.899.3189.1-9.520%
Last 5 (5)81.492.0173.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)87.596.2183.7-8.725%
vs Similar (16)89.987.4177.3+2.456%
vs Weaker (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
91avg 76
A12/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
90avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 76
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 76
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 76
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
85avg 76
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
94avg 76
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 76
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 76
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
91avg 76
A13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
32-24
22-26
15-23
19-22
19-20
26-23
24-16
28-16
26-22
16-29
25-16
20-22
30-21
29-27
19-16
24-19
17-18
25-26
25-22
17-31
20-27
29-19
28-21
23-15
30-27
26-23
22-21
18-20
23-16
22-25
29-23
22-24
20-29
11-13
20-16
16-24
24-19
36-17
18-21
179.8Avg total
92.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.683.6167.2+0.060%
Season at home (6)87.283.3170.5+3.867%
Season away (4)78.284.0162.2-5.850%
Last 10 (10)92.787.1179.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)90.886.2177.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.488.8172.2-5.440%
vs Similar (18)83.982.7166.6+1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.786.8180.5+6.867%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/11
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A16/11
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H01/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/12
Lega A
96.4Avg total
47.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.490.7-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.145.293.3+2.869%-
Last 30 away (17)43.145.688.7-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)47.848.696.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.286.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)46.648.294.8-1.758%-
vs Similar (16)44.543.487.9+1.144%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A12/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
Euroleague
88.6Avg total
45.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.782.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.239.883.0+3.372%-
Last 30 away (12)38.542.180.6-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.588.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.646.489.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.842.474.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (18)42.441.383.7+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.340.386.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.5
52.1%
52.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.0
34.9%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.217.8
80.2%
76.8%17.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.9
58.3%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.4
41.3%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.319.5
87.4%
76.8%19.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#5
-12.3
Net rating
+7.3
111.8
Offensive rating
124.3
124.2
Defensive rating
117.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
60.0%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.9%
3-point %
41.3%
56.3%
Assist %
58.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 124.3Defence124.2 · 117.0Shooting52.2% · 60.0%3-point %34.9% · 41.3%Ball care15.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ACremona60-78
01/12/24HVenezia77-86
16/11/24AScafati85-94
10/11/24HVirtus Bologna104-95
03/11/24ATrieste81-107
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
19/10/24HTrapani100-109
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24ABarcelona94-81
08/12/24HVirtus Bologna73-82
06/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne92-84
04/12/24HCrvena zvezda101-86
01/12/24HTortona94-98
29/11/24AFenerbahce91-85
21/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
18/11/24ACremona95-83
15/11/24APartizan88-81
12/11/24AAlba Berlin101-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game89.895.684.0
Allowed / game99.398.0100.6
Point differential-9.5-2.4-16.6
Avg total189.1193.6184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.687.278.2
Allowed / game83.683.384.0
Point differential+0.0+3.8-5.8
Avg total167.2170.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento10100100%91.580.9+10.6
2 Trapani108280%92.484.4+8.0
3 Virtus Bologna108280%88.183.1+5.0
4 Brescia108280%89.885.4+4.4
5 Reggiana118373%79.774.0+5.7
6 Olimpia Milano106460%83.683.6+0.0
7 Tortona116555%85.583.7+1.7
8 Treviso116555%85.685.7-0.1
9 Trieste105550%86.585.7+0.8
10 Venezia114736%75.476.4-1.0
11 Sassari114736%82.585.0-2.5
12 Scafati114736%86.592.5-5.9
13 Pistoia113827%81.485.5-4.2
14 Varese102820%89.899.3-9.5
15 Cremona112918%77.080.4-3.4
16 Basket Napoli100100%79.788.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2529182294
Olimpia Milano1924222792
← all games of the day
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