PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trento vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 26· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano
11 Apr 2027
TRE v MIL
upcoming
10 May 2026
TRE84
MIL74
19 May 2025
TRE70
MIL67
17 May 2025
TRE70
MIL73
03 Nov 2024
TRE91
MIL57
19 May 2024
TRE69
MIL87
17 May 2024
TRE68
MIL83
07 Jan 2024
TRE74
MIL79
18 Dec 2022
TRE77
MIL75
05 Feb 2022
TRE73
MIL79
16 May 2021
TRE65
MIL74
07 Mar 2021
TRE61
MIL60
13 Apr 2020
TRE v MIL
upcoming
05 May 2019
TRE77
MIL79
15 Jun 2018
TRE71
MIL96
11 Jun 2018
TRE77
MIL74
09 Jun 2018
TRE72
MIL65
11 Nov 2017
TRE55
MIL74
31 May 2017
TRE88
MIL64
29 May 2017
TRE66
MIL87
04 Dec 2016
TRE74
MIL92
12 May 2016
TRE61
MIL62
15 Mar 2016
TRE83
MIL73
08 Oct 2015
TRE80
MIL73
01 Feb 2015
TRE84
MIL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
81-94
81
94
-13
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-25
16-18
21-17
21-15
15-21
23-15
17-22
16-22
20-28
28-20
26-23
22-28
13-22
26-19
20-25
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
167.1Avg total
82.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.081.8164.8+1.260%
Season at home (2)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
Season away (3)79.377.0156.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)82.584.6167.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.688.7174.2-3.144%
vs Similar (16)81.983.5165.4-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)85.091.2176.2-6.220%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
175.0Avg total
86.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.682.2172.8+8.460%
Season at home (3)94.384.7179.0+9.767%
Season away (2)85.078.5163.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)86.988.1175.0-1.220%
Last 5 (5)85.286.6171.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.790.2173.9-6.611%
vs Similar (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.980.4170.3+9.678%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
TrentoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
Last 30 away (17)42.044.486.4-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.887.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.345.988.2-3.622%-
vs Similar (16)40.442.582.9-2.144%-
vs Weaker (5)41.446.888.2-5.440%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
44.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.087.4+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.290.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.3-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.689.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.344.988.2-1.622%-
vs Similar (3)40.744.385.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.140.287.3+6.967%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.0
48.9%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
34.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
74.4%16.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.4%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLWLWLLWW
Olimpia Milano
LLLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#4
-2.0
Net rating
-1.4
89.9
Offensive rating
100.0
91.9
Defensive rating
101.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.5%
3-point %
36.0%
66.2%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.9 · 100.0Defence91.9 · 101.4Shooting50.2% · 55.5%3-point %34.5% · 36.0%Ball care17.9% · 16.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Trento   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trento wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66
06/10/26HSlask Wroclaw81-94
03/10/26HTreviso90-93
29/09/26ANeptunas76-73
26/09/26AReggiana83-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.088.579.3
Allowed / game81.889.077.0
Point differential+1.2-0.5+2.3
Avg total164.8177.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game90.694.385.0
Allowed / game82.284.778.5
Point differential+8.4+9.7+6.5
Avg total172.8179.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.