PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-82
19-20 22-20 21-19 18-23
Position#3
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game75.4
Brescia
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.8
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
82avg 102
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
no box
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
77avg 102
H24/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
86avg 102
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
67avg 102
A12/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 102
H25/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
73avg 102
A29/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 102
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
94avg 102
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
75avg 102
A19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
14-26
21-16
26-17
13-17
25-16
22-23
16-20
23-15
19-12
7-31
28-17
17-25
21-16
34-23
15-31
17-24
23-15
13-30
17-17
27-18
22-30
19-19
22-15
21-10
10-21
23-17
19-17
18-20
21-29
23-21
16-18
14-18
26-16
30-11
22-21
20-26
19-20
22-18
13-12
162.7Avg total
81.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.475.4156.8+6.060%
Season at home (2)91.074.0165.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)75.076.3151.3-1.333%
Last 10 (10)81.980.8162.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.475.4156.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.887.8166.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.379.0159.3+1.358%
vs Weaker (6)84.277.0161.2+7.267%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
75-77
75
77
-2
60avg 111
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
419avg 111
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
67-50
67
50
+17
no box
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 111
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 111
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
91avg 111
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 111
H06/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
100avg 111
A13/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 111
H19/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-19
31-7
17-28
13-19
21-15
25-13
15-22
22-11
20-17
11-11
14-11
20-8
18-16
20-20
15-17
17-19
28-18
22-22
17-13
17-16
23-13
24-23
10-15
18-12
24-18
20-23
26-25
13-19
22-20
17-19
23-12
25-19
29-16
16-13
24-31
21-22
19-12
17-21
30-25
149.4Avg total
79.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.674.8158.4+8.8100%
Season at home (3)78.772.3151.0+6.3100%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.170.3149.4+8.890%
Last 5 (5)83.674.8158.4+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.383.3160.6-6.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.874.6153.3+4.256%
vs Weaker (13)79.573.0152.5+6.569%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H24/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H25/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A29/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/10
Lega A
79.9Avg total
39.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.381.6-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.580.9+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.182.2-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.479.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.681.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.283.1-9.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.038.379.3+2.758%-
vs Weaker (6)40.742.383.0-1.733%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A13/10
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H19/10
Lega A
72.9Avg total
39.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.177.2+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.036.476.4+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)40.138.278.2+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.272.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.475.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.440.379.7-0.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.935.774.6+3.244%-
vs Weaker (13)41.136.577.6+4.577%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.7
53.2%
52.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.0
39.5%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
73.6%12.0
They take 56.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.9
57.5%
52.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.5
33.2%
35.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.6%13.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWWLLWWL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#1
-0.4
Net rating
+6.3
110.3
Offensive rating
113.0
110.8
Defensive rating
106.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.5%
3-point %
33.2%
59.9%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 113.0Defence110.8 · 106.7Shooting55.6% · 55.0%3-point %39.5% · 33.2%Ball care18.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
24/04/19Brescia v Virtus Bologna77-75
06/01/19Virtus Bologna v Brescia88-80
18/03/18Brescia v Virtus Bologna66-70
16/02/18Brescia v Virtus Bologna97-83
12/11/17Virtus Bologna v Brescia74-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/19ATrieste74-76
13/10/19HTrento92-66
05/10/19ABrindisi78-88
29/09/19AOlimpia Milano73-65
25/09/19HReggiana90-82
12/05/19AVenezia70-86
28/04/19ASassari87-95
24/04/19HVirtus Bologna77-75
20/04/19HOlimpia Milano92-86 OT
14/04/19HCremona86-89
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/19HVarese87-80
13/10/19APesaro94-79
06/10/19HVenezia75-70
29/09/19APistoia88-78
25/09/19HVirtus Roma74-67
12/05/19HVarese84-72
05/05/19HTenerife73-61
03/05/19HBamberg67-50
28/04/19HTrento74-69
24/04/19ABrescia75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game81.491.075.0
Allowed / game75.474.076.3
Point differential+6.0+17.0-1.3
Avg total156.8165.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.678.791.0
Allowed / game74.872.378.5
Point differential+8.8+6.3+12.5
Avg total158.4151.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%83.674.8+8.8
2 Brindisi54180%87.879.6+8.2
3 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
4 Brescia53260%81.475.4+6.0
5 Reggiana53260%83.878.4+5.4
6 Virtus Roma53260%77.477.4+0.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna53260%74.277.0-2.8
8 Varese42250%76.870.8+6.0
9 Trento63350%76.578.0-1.5
10 Cremona42250%84.086.8-2.8
11 Cantu42250%67.076.0-9.0
12 Olimpia Milano52340%79.074.6+4.4
13 Venezia52340%77.074.6+2.4
14 Trieste52340%69.878.2-8.4
15 Treviso62433%76.278.0-1.8
16 Pistoia5050%72.885.6-12.8
17 Pesaro4040%82.295.2-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1922211880
Virtus Bologna2020192382
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.