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Trento vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 75-90
17-25 23-16 19-28 16-21
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game79.5
ItalyLega ARound 3· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Virtus Bologna
15 Nov 2026
TRE v VIR
upcoming
24 May 2026
TRE81
VIR90
22 May 2026
TRE102
VIR85
01 Nov 2025
TRE83
VIR102
22 Dec 2024
TRE87
VIR79
15 Oct 2023
TRE75
VIR90
20 Nov 2022
TRE64
VIR71
26 Sep 2021
TRE88
VIR102
09 Jan 2021
TRE85
VIR92
05 Jan 2020
TRE77
VIR83
30 Dec 2018
TRE71
VIR65
30 Sep 2017
TRE78
VIR74
12 Dec 2015
TRE80
VIR66
10 May 2015
TRE96
VIR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 67
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 67
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 67
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
71avg 67
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 67
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 67
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 67
H30/09
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
67avg 67
A03/10
Eurocup
Pistoia
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 67
A08/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
67avg 67
H10/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
29-18
20-22
25-22
19-29
14-22
16-30
21-13
18-19
27-24
12-19
21-17
17-18
17-23
24-25
23-18
10-12
18-27
22-14
29-23
27-19
12-25
20-26
22-12
33-20
19-22
20-24
19-18
18-16
20-26
16-18
16-20
25-14
12-28
25-20
16-11
23-23
15-21
21-18
13-17
160.1Avg total
78.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.578.5163.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.681.5160.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)78.479.6158.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.585.1160.6-9.610%
vs Similar (16)79.478.2157.6+1.156%
vs Weaker (3)76.774.3151.0+2.333%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
84avg 80
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-67
55
67
-12
48avg 80
A23/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 80
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
97-60
97
60
+37
105avg 80
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
82avg 80
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 80
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
113avg 80
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 80
A13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
16-17
20-16
16-29
24-26
13-16
17-17
18-20
23-27
26-16
18-16
18-7
9-21
20-17
5-10
21-19
14-12
20-20
25-21
19-20
27-10
21-25
28-8
21-17
25-15
23-21
13-19
20-20
23-15
19-22
23-21
14-24
33-22
25-17
23-28
34-17
23-15
25-18
22-15
13-11
157.2Avg total
83.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.079.5177.5+18.5100%
Season at home (1)115.084.0199.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)81.075.0156.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.873.4157.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)91.072.0163.0+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.785.3162.0-8.733%
vs Similar (10)76.877.8154.6-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.679.2172.8+14.381%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
TrentoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H30/09
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/10
Eurocup
Pistoia
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H10/10
Eurocup
81.3Avg total
38.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.478.9+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.478.7-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.881.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.443.983.3-4.530%-
vs Similar (16)37.939.377.2-1.444%-
vs Weaker (3)38.735.374.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Scafati
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A01/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/10
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/10
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
43.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.882.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.037.383.3+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.382.2-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.336.679.9+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.836.084.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.043.779.7-7.733%-
vs Similar (10)38.738.176.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.440.688.1+6.862%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.3
52.3%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.414.7
79.9%
76.3%14.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.7
59.5%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
76.3%13.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLWLWLLLW
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWWLWLW
#6
League position
#2
-3.4
Net rating
+10.7
110.2
Offensive rating
113.8
113.7
Defensive rating
103.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.2%
3-point %
34.5%
61.1%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 113.8Defence113.7 · 103.1Shooting52.5% · 56.0%3-point %35.2% · 34.5%Ball care19.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Trento   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trento wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23HJL Bourg72-79
08/10/23APistoia78-73
03/10/23AUlm70-80
30/09/23HCremona91-84
21/05/23HTortona81-82
19/05/23HTortona79-76
16/05/23ATortona81-84
14/05/23ATortona78-79
07/05/23AReggiana70-94
30/04/23HVenezia86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23AMonaco83-59
08/10/23HVarese115-84
05/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas79-82
01/10/23AScafati81-75
24/09/23HBrescia97-60
23/09/23AOlimpia Milano78-73
23/06/23AOlimpia Milano55-67
21/06/23HOlimpia Milano85-66
19/06/23AOlimpia Milano72-79
16/06/23HOlimpia Milano93-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.591.078.0
Allowed / game78.584.073.0
Point differential+6.0+7.0+5.0
Avg total163.0175.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.0115.081.0
Allowed / game79.584.075.0
Point differential+18.5+31.0+6.0
Avg total177.5199.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna220100%98.079.5+18.5
2 Brescia330100%86.773.7+13.0
3 Venezia330100%77.066.7+10.3
4 Trento220100%84.578.5+6.0
5 Basket Napoli32167%86.379.3+7.0
6 Reggiana32167%80.073.0+7.0
7 Olimpia Milano32167%77.775.0+2.7
8 Tortona21150%64.572.0-7.5
9 Varese21150%83.598.5-15.0
10 Cremona31233%82.081.3+0.7
11 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
12 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
13 Pistoia2020%77.580.5-3.0
14 Scafati2020%76.083.0-7.0
15 Brindisi3030%66.379.0-12.7
16 Treviso3030%75.788.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1723191675
Virtus Bologna2516282190
← all games of the day
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