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Treviso vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-89
27-26 18-18 22-20 26-25
Position#13
Record9-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game83.8
Treviso 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record7-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.0
ItalyLega ARound 25· PalaVerde
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Treviso v Pesaro
30 Mar 2024
TRV93
PES89
19 Apr 2023
TRV96
PES82
11 Dec 2021
TRV63
PES73
06 Dec 2020
TRV91
PES81
03 Nov 2019
TRV85
PES75
07 Mar 2012
TRV66
PES77
27 Nov 2010
TRV91
PES59
25 Oct 2009
TRV86
PES84
06 Dec 2008
TRV103
PES97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
96-101
96
101
-5
76avg 70
H06/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
67-88
67
88
-21
54avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
61avg 70
H21/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
93-95
93
95
-2
84avg 70
A27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-100
61
100
-39
38avg 70
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 70
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
60avg 70
H09/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 70
H17/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
24-33
20-23
26-21
23-18
17-18
9-33
18-19
21-18
18-19
25-16
13-17
17-30
23-26
20-23
33-16
25-21
9-30
16-29
11-20
17-21
33-13
14-23
21-25
26-18
18-19
24-30
13-28
7-24
18-6
22-12
24-21
14-17
22-21
19-12
23-21
24-19
19-19
15-22
26-23
164.1Avg total
79.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.783.8163.5-4.238%
Season at home (12)79.382.4161.8-3.142%
Season away (12)80.085.2165.2-5.233%
Last 10 (10)79.384.8164.1-5.550%
Last 5 (5)79.878.8158.6+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.887.9162.7-13.223%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.682.8166.4+0.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 69
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
64avg 69
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 69
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 69
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 69
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 69
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 69
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
68avg 69
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 69
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
8-28
14-27
27-11
22-22
11-25
16-22
26-24
19-21
13-19
16-26
17-19
22-28
18-25
19-15
19-18
24-16
20-24
20-16
18-27
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
20-18
19-24
22-35
21-32
18-19
15-17
17-17
22-19
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
166.2Avg total
78.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.087.0166.1-8.029%
Season at home (13)80.886.8167.7-6.031%
Season away (11)76.987.3164.2-10.427%
Last 10 (10)78.088.2166.2-10.220%
Last 5 (5)82.291.2173.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)76.387.4163.7-11.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.087.4171.4-3.433%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
TrevisoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H06/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/03
Lega A
81.5Avg total
40.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.582.2-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.883.2-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.243.181.2-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.481.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.475.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.844.482.2-6.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.141.082.1+0.141%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
81.0Avg total
37.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.782.3-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.442.580.9-4.131%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.183.9-6.321%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.281.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.344.581.8-7.119%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.641.983.4-0.344%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.2
48.0%
53.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.6%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.9
78.7%
76.3%15.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.9
46.4%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
76.3%14.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
WWWLWLLWLL
Pesaro
LWLWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#16
-7.0
Net rating
-16.0
104.3
Offensive rating
98.5
111.3
Defensive rating
114.6
49.1%
Effective FG%
46.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
31.7%
48.9%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 98.5Defence111.3 · 114.6Shooting49.1% · 46.9%3-point %33.6% · 31.7%Ball care16.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 22.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Treviso   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
5
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Pesaro v Treviso95-76
19/04/23Treviso v Pesaro96-82
08/01/23Pesaro v Treviso101-72
30/01/22Pesaro v Treviso105-108 OT
11/12/21Treviso v Pesaro63-73
03/04/21Pesaro v Treviso89-97
06/12/20Treviso v Pesaro91-81
03/11/19Treviso v Pesaro85-75
07/03/12Treviso v Pesaro66-77
20/11/11Pesaro v Treviso83-73
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24APistoia84-83
17/03/24HCremona78-71
09/03/24HReggiana71-63
03/03/24ABasket Napoli81-95
11/02/24ATrento85-82
05/02/24HVirtus Bologna61-100
27/01/24AScafati93-95
21/01/24HSassari77-70
14/01/24ABrescia67-88
06/01/24HVarese96-101
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HReggiana69-87
17/03/24HVirtus Bologna87-86 OT
10/03/24ATrento82-109
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91
04/02/24AScafati82-83
28/01/24HBrindisi78-86
21/01/24HOlimpia Milano65-85
14/01/24ABasket Napoli75-93
07/01/24HSassari69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW38%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game79.779.380.0
Allowed / game83.882.485.2
Point differential-4.2-3.1-5.2
Avg total163.5161.8165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWWL31%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %29%31%27%
Points / game79.080.876.9
Allowed / game87.086.887.3
Point differential-8.0-6.0-10.4
Avg total166.1167.7164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2417771%88.276.6+11.6
2 Brescia2417771%88.077.9+10.1
3 Olimpia Milano2416867%79.373.6+5.7
4 Venezia2416867%82.376.9+5.4
5 Reggiana24141058%81.580.5+0.9
6 Tortona24121250%80.579.2+1.4
7 Basket Napoli24121250%85.985.0+0.8
8 Trento24121250%83.483.3+0.0
9 Pistoia24121250%78.982.4-3.5
10 Scafati24111346%83.186.8-3.8
11 Sassari24111346%77.882.5-4.7
12 Cremona24101442%80.679.4+1.2
13 Treviso2491538%79.783.8-4.2
14 Varese2491538%84.290.0-5.8
15 Brindisi2471729%74.681.9-7.3
16 Pesaro2471729%79.087.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso2718222693
Pesaro2618202589
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