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Pistoia vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-84
19-24 19-19 22-15 23-26
Position#10
Record12-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game82.3
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Treviso 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record8-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.9
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Treviso
02 Feb 2025
PIS84
TRV90
23 Mar 2024
PIS83
TRV84
26 Jan 2020
PIS75
TRV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
64-60
64
60
+4
58avg 67
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-107
69
107
-38
57avg 67
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 67
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 67
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 67
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 67
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 67
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 67
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 67
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
A16/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
20-15
13-20
17-8
12-32
16-30
14-27
27-18
10-21
21-22
20-11
27-17
13-27
32-29
26-18
19-35
24-21
9-20
23-16
16-21
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
23-17
22-13
12-24
27-17
18-17
21-11
17-19
18-20
21-18
17-23
21-20
20-18
160.4Avg total
76.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.782.3161.1-3.652%
Season at home (11)74.574.8149.4-0.355%
Season away (12)82.689.2171.8-6.750%
Last 10 (10)76.683.8160.4-7.250%
Last 5 (5)78.682.6161.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.782.8161.5-4.155%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.477.2153.6-0.761%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 70
H30/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
96-101
96
101
-5
76avg 70
H06/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
67-88
67
88
-21
54avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
61avg 70
H21/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
93-95
93
95
-2
84avg 70
A27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-100
61
100
-39
38avg 70
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 70
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
60avg 70
H09/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 70
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
23-21
18-21
26-24
26-24
24-33
20-23
26-21
23-18
17-18
9-33
18-19
21-18
18-19
25-16
13-17
17-30
23-26
20-23
33-16
25-21
9-30
16-29
11-20
17-21
33-13
14-23
21-25
26-18
18-19
24-30
13-28
7-24
18-6
22-12
24-21
14-17
22-21
19-12
23-21
164.9Avg total
79.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.583.9163.3-4.435%
Season at home (12)79.382.4161.8-3.142%
Season away (11)79.685.5165.1-5.827%
Last 10 (10)79.585.4164.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)75.282.2157.4-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.288.6164.8-12.421%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.682.8166.3+0.844%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
PistoiaTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A14/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/03
Lega A
76.9Avg total
34.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.078.9-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.037.474.4-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.744.182.8-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)34.942.076.9-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.642.279.8-4.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.340.578.8-2.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H06/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/03
Lega A
82.0Avg total
40.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.882.8-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.284.3-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.481.3-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.844.683.4-5.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.041.282.2-0.238%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.4
47.2%
53.1%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.9
39.4%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.19.5
67.4%
76.3%9.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.9
48.5%
53.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.9
77.6%
76.3%14.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLLLLWLW
Treviso
WWLWLLWLLL
#10
League position
#13
-12.4
Net rating
-7.0
101.9
Offensive rating
104.9
114.4
Defensive rating
112.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.4%
3-point %
33.7%
55.5%
Assist %
46.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 104.9Defence114.4 · 112.0Shooting52.7% · 49.4%3-point %39.4% · 33.7%Ball care17.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds23.2% · 27.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
2
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Treviso v Pistoia86-89
26/01/20Pistoia v Treviso75-86
06/10/19Treviso v Pistoia87-72
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24ABasket Napoli95-93 OT
10/03/24ACremona74-67
03/03/24HTortona84-71
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96
04/02/24HOlimpia Milano72-78
28/01/24ABrescia90-109
20/01/24HScafati78-71
14/01/24ASassari69-107
07/01/24HCremona64-60
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HCremona78-71
09/03/24HReggiana71-63
03/03/24ABasket Napoli81-95
11/02/24ATrento85-82
05/02/24HVirtus Bologna61-100
27/01/24AScafati93-95
21/01/24HSassari77-70
14/01/24ABrescia67-88
06/01/24HVarese96-101
30/12/23HPistoia86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game78.774.582.6
Allowed / game82.374.889.2
Point differential-3.6-0.3-6.7
Avg total161.1149.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW35%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %35%42%27%
Points / game79.579.379.6
Allowed / game83.982.485.5
Point differential-4.4-3.1-5.8
Avg total163.3161.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%8%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2317674%88.777.5+11.2
2 Virtus Bologna2316770%88.376.8+11.5
3 Venezia2316770%82.076.3+5.7
4 Olimpia Milano2315865%79.073.1+5.9
5 Reggiana23131057%81.281.0+0.2
6 Basket Napoli23121152%86.085.0+1.0
7 Pistoia23121152%78.782.3-3.6
8 Tortona23111248%80.179.0+1.1
9 Trento23111248%83.283.7-0.4
10 Scafati23111248%83.487.0-3.6
11 Sassari23111248%77.882.3-4.4
12 Cremona2391439%80.178.9+1.2
13 Varese2391439%84.290.0-5.8
14 Treviso2381535%79.583.9-4.4
15 Pesaro2371630%79.587.0-7.6
16 Brindisi2361726%74.282.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1919222383
Treviso2419152684
← all games of the day
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