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Varese vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 95-100
19-31 30-27 25-19 21-23
Position#12
Record11-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Treviso 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record10-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game84.9
ItalyLega ARound 29· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Treviso
27 Dec 2026
VAR v TRV
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VAR91
TRV86
12 Jan 2025
VAR92
TRV89
28 Apr 2024
VAR95
TRV100
30 Oct 2022
VAR87
TRV85
10 Apr 2022
VAR80
TRV89
27 Dec 2020
VAR79
TRV80
26 Apr 2020
VAR v TRV
upcoming
03 Jan 2012
VAR96
TRV80
19 Feb 2011
VAR74
TRV68
21 Mar 2010
VAR90
TRV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 82
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 82
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 82
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 82
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 82
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 82
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 82
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 82
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 82
A21/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
177.3Avg total
89.6Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.790.1176.8-3.539%
Season at home (14)87.283.7170.9+3.550%
Season away (14)86.196.6182.7-10.429%
Last 10 (10)89.687.7177.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)96.089.0185.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.891.1169.9-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (16)91.686.6178.2+5.162%
vs Weaker (4)83.881.0164.8+2.850%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-100
61
100
-39
38avg 70
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
78avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
70avg 70
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
60avg 70
H09/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 70
H17/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
93-89
93
89
+4
87avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 70
A07/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 70
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 70
A21/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
9-30
16-29
11-20
17-21
33-13
14-23
21-25
26-18
18-19
24-30
13-28
7-24
18-6
22-12
24-21
14-17
22-21
19-12
23-21
24-19
19-19
15-22
26-23
27-26
18-18
22-20
26-25
21-23
21-19
10-26
23-25
31-17
9-22
25-25
24-27
19-21
17-31
12-15
30-24
165.3Avg total
79.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.284.9165.1-4.636%
Season at home (14)81.083.5164.5-2.543%
Season away (14)79.586.2165.7-6.729%
Last 10 (10)79.585.8165.3-6.350%
Last 5 (5)83.889.4173.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.388.7165.0-12.325%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.983.7166.7-0.844%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
VareseTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
89.0Avg total
45.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.487.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.241.487.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)41.047.188.1-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.589.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.445.095.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.049.990.9-8.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.241.286.5+4.056%-
vs Weaker (4)42.243.285.5-1.050%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H30/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/04
Lega A
80.0Avg total
39.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.582.7-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.583.0-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.582.3-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.580.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.084.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.444.883.2-6.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.341.082.3+0.344%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.515.7
55.1%
53.1%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.8
41.3%
35.7%41.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
76.3%15.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.1
50.6%
53.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.015.4
81.1%
76.3%15.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWLLWLLWW
Treviso
LLLWWWWLWL
#12
League position
#13
+2.5
Net rating
-8.5
114.8
Offensive rating
105.6
112.4
Defensive rating
114.0
58.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.3%
3-point %
35.9%
67.8%
Assist %
50.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 105.6Defence112.4 · 114.0Shooting58.8% · 52.1%3-point %41.3% · 35.9%Ball care16.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds20.5% · 25.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80
24/03/24ATortona83-90
17/03/24AReggiana80-113
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AVenezia78-91
14/04/24HOlimpia Milano89-91
07/04/24ABrindisi75-93
30/03/24HPesaro93-89
23/03/24APistoia84-83
17/03/24HCremona78-71
09/03/24HReggiana71-63
03/03/24ABasket Napoli81-95
11/02/24ATrento85-82
05/02/24HVirtus Bologna61-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%50%29%
Points / game86.787.286.1
Allowed / game90.183.796.6
Point differential-3.5+3.5-10.4
Avg total176.8170.9182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game80.281.079.5
Allowed / game84.983.586.2
Point differential-4.6-2.5-6.7
Avg total165.1164.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)17% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2820871%88.477.4+11.0
2 Brescia2820871%87.478.4+9.0
3 Olimpia Milano2820871%80.674.5+6.1
4 Venezia28181064%82.878.3+4.4
5 Reggiana28151354%80.479.9+0.5
6 Trento28151354%84.283.7+0.5
7 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
8 Pistoia28141450%80.383.5-3.2
9 Basket Napoli28131546%86.186.9-0.8
10 Cremona28121643%80.379.5+0.8
11 Scafati28121643%82.786.6-3.9
12 Sassari28121643%78.683.8-5.2
13 Varese28111739%86.790.1-3.5
14 Treviso28101836%80.284.9-4.6
15 Brindisi2891932%75.681.5-5.9
16 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1930252195
Treviso31271923100
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