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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 21 May 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record20-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record28-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game80.6
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A07/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A18/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
91-63
91
63
+28
A22/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H27/04
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A01/05
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H04/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A10/05
BBL
Vechta
#4
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H12/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
78-107
78
107
-29
A18/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-25
28-9
30-30
16-23
32-21
18-25
19-16
27-21
24-27
9-14
22-17
30-9
20-18
20-21
21-15
24-16
15-13
11-31
19-22
21-26
20-12
26-23
15-15
24-17
23-20
12-16
33-16
16-19
23-21
22-24
11-31
23-21
25-28
21-20
29-25
16-29
27-31
22-22
13-25
170.8Avg total
85.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.285.8173.0+1.457%
Season at home (17)88.185.8173.9+2.359%
Season away (18)86.485.8172.2+0.656%
Last 10 (10)85.785.1170.8+0.670%
Last 5 (5)84.488.2172.6-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.291.3167.5-15.20%
vs Similar (11)91.986.5178.5+5.464%
vs Weaker (13)87.278.9166.2+8.385%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A20/04
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A25/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H28/04
BBL
Jena
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A30/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H08/05
BBL
Bremerhaven
#17
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
H10/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
107-78
107
78
+29
H18/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
33-25
21-18
26-18
34-20
15-25
20-18
23-21
23-12
18-23
21-17
17-28
20-17
21-22
20-17
14-29
23-25
19-14
17-23
22-15
32-15
17-13
25-19
34-22
24-24
29-29
29-17
28-28
31-27
26-32
20-20
21-19
31-23
10-15
18-24
21-17
29-16
31-27
22-22
25-13
178.6Avg total
94.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)92.380.6172.9+11.880%
Season at home (18)96.479.9176.4+16.589%
Season away (17)88.081.2169.2+6.871%
Last 10 (10)94.184.5178.6+9.680%
Last 5 (5)102.485.6188.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.790.0167.7-12.333%
vs Similar (7)87.486.3173.7+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.880.2174.1+13.590%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A07/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H13/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A18/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#11
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H27/04
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/05
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H04/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A10/05
BBL
Vechta
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H12/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/05
BBL
87.1Avg total
44.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.687.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.385.9+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)43.945.689.6-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.587.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.888.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.247.289.3-5.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.445.190.5+0.345%-
vs Weaker (13)44.340.785.0+3.662%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mitteldeutscher
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A20/04
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#15
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/04
BBL
Jena
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A30/04
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H08/05
BBL
Bremerhaven
#17
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H10/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/05
BBL
92.2Avg total
48.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.588.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.441.690.1+6.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.341.385.6+3.064%-
Last 10 (10)48.843.492.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)52.044.296.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.742.079.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (7)48.040.488.4+7.686%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.341.889.0+5.560%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.1
48.1%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
34.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
73.6%19.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.411.1
43.7%
34.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
73.6%12.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWLLWW
#6
League position
#3
+4.1
Net rating
+4.5
108.0
Offensive rating
115.3
103.9
Defensive rating
110.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
56.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
43.7%
62.9%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 115.3Defence103.9 · 110.8Shooting50.2% · 56.5%3-point %36.0% · 43.7%Ball care16.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.2% · 34.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
18/05/19Alba Berlin v Ulm107-78
02/04/19Alba Berlin v Ulm92-81
20/10/18Ulm v Alba Berlin74-92
01/05/18Alba Berlin v Ulm102-73
30/09/17Ulm v Alba Berlin68-72
18/03/17Ulm v Alba Berlin82-76
03/10/16Alba Berlin v Ulm94-98
02/04/16Ulm v Alba Berlin78-68
01/10/15Alba Berlin v Ulm74-54
19/04/15Ulm v Alba Berlin66-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19AAlba Berlin78-107
12/05/19HVechta98-94
10/05/19ABayern72-95
04/05/19HBayreuth92-69
01/05/19AGottingen82-76
27/04/19HOldenburg69-82
22/04/19AFrankfurt91-63
18/04/19ACrailsheim Merlins82-79
13/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg95-94 OT
07/04/19ALudwigsburg98-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19HUlm107-78
12/05/19ALudwigsburg80-79
10/05/19HBremerhaven107-104 OT
08/05/19HBonn110-98
05/05/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg108-69
30/04/19AJena81-77
28/04/19HBayern75-85
25/04/19ABayreuth79-80
22/04/19HMitteldeutscher92-84
20/04/19AMitteldeutscher102-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWLWW59%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %57%59%56%
Points / game87.288.186.4
Allowed / game85.885.885.8
Point differential+1.4+2.3+0.6
Avg total173.0173.9172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%35%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %80%89%71%
Points / game92.396.488.0
Allowed / game80.679.981.2
Point differential+11.8+16.5+6.8
Avg total172.9176.4169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%61%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3532391%88.375.9+12.3
2 Oldenburg3529683%93.282.2+11.0
3 Alba Berlin3528780%92.380.6+11.8
4 Vechta35251071%87.882.7+5.1
5 Bamberg35221363%88.485.0+3.4
6 Ulm35201557%87.285.8+1.4
7 Bonn35181751%86.587.4-1.0
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg34171750%81.683.0-1.4
9 Basketball Braunschweig35171849%84.383.5+0.7
10 Ludwigsburg34161847%84.785.3-0.6
11 Frankfurt34161847%79.182.2-3.1
12 Bayreuth34142041%85.287.6-2.4
13 Giessen34132138%90.193.9-3.7
14 Gottingen34112332%79.483.2-3.8
15 Mitteldeutscher34102429%84.789.8-5.1
16 Crailsheim Merlins3492526%83.290.9-7.7
17 Bremerhaven3482624%80.887.3-6.6
18 Jena3452915%77.689.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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