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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.8
GermanyBBLRound 25· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
83avg 78
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 78
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 78
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 78
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#10
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 78
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#5
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
21-31
24-20
20-19
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
174.2Avg total
85.7Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.586.4168.9-3.938%
Season at home (3)78.077.3155.3+0.767%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)85.788.5174.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)82.881.8164.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.391.2173.5-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.686.6168.3-5.029%
vs Weaker (10)88.178.6166.7+9.570%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
46avg 81
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 81
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 81
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 81
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 81
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 81
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 81
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
12-18
18-26
19-29
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
177.0Avg total
88.5Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.287.8174.0-1.550%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (3)74.795.0169.7-20.30%
Last 10 (10)88.588.5177.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)93.286.4179.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.586.7168.2-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.583.0170.5+4.560%
vs Weaker (10)91.183.3174.4+7.870%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A07/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#5
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
43.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.785.6+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.941.785.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.689.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.747.588.2-6.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.240.782.9+1.550%-
vs Weaker (10)48.039.787.7+8.390%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.884.9-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)40.044.784.7-4.715%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.090.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.845.184.9-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.439.882.2+2.640%-
vs Weaker (10)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.0
56.3%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.5
35.6%
33.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
73.4%14.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLWWLLWLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
-0.4
93.5
Offensive rating
98.6
96.3
Defensive rating
99.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
35.6%
59.4%
Assist %
66.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 98.6Defence96.3 · 99.0Shooting54.6% · 54.9%3-point %34.3% · 35.6%Ball care17.0% · 15.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Alba Berlin v Ulm98-82
22/04/26Ulm v Alba Berlin77-89
20/12/25Alba Berlin v Ulm66-67
19/10/25Alba Berlin v Ulm90-68
24/05/25Ulm v Alba Berlin93-84
21/05/25Alba Berlin v Ulm62-74
17/05/25Ulm v Alba Berlin94-83
09/03/25Ulm v Alba Berlin101-90 OT
09/11/24Alba Berlin v Ulm96-88
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
07/10/26AManresa89-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
26/09/26ABayern61-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game82.578.085.2
Allowed / game86.477.391.8
Point differential-3.9+0.7-6.6
Avg total168.9155.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game86.293.274.7
Allowed / game87.883.495.0
Point differential-1.5+9.8-20.3
Avg total174.0176.6169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
9 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
17 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
18 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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