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Ulm vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#2
Record19-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game74.0
GermanyBBLRound 30
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H21/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H05/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H17/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A25/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
H11/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
98-103
98
103
-5
H14/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
32-26
19-22
32-19
22-17
29-16
23-28
22-19
18-12
18-34
34-16
9-29
19-15
29-20
15-24
22-14
25-20
23-23
27-27
28-23
26-21
32-14
15-16
13-14
25-34
29-19
20-22
22-21
27-25
17-32
31-24
23-22
19-18
17-20
23-11
26-20
23-21
18-32
21-15
14-26
178.9Avg total
91.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.485.5172.9+2.050%
Season at home (10)89.584.6174.1+4.950%
Season away (10)85.386.3171.6-1.050%
Last 10 (10)91.887.1178.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)90.288.6178.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.598.0178.5-17.50%
vs Similar (7)87.989.6177.4-1.771%
vs Weaker (17)88.679.1167.8+9.571%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A30/12
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A19/01
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H26/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#7
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H02/02
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A11/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H01/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-8
21-20
19-21
21-17
22-22
21-22
18-15
27-16
10-17
18-9
21-26
10-15
21-22
20-24
23-20
26-7
25-24
11-25
31-29
13-7
12-18
24-25
22-10
26-18
21-14
20-20
27-23
16-21
24-23
20-27
21-19
12-18
17-23
25-1
25-16
23-14
25-21
12-25
31-15
156.1Avg total
82.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.174.0159.2+11.190%
Season at home (11)85.969.7155.6+16.2100%
Season away (10)84.378.8163.1+5.580%
Last 10 (10)82.373.8156.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)83.271.6154.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)84.577.5162.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)86.674.6161.2+12.089%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H21/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H05/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H17/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H14/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/03
BBL
91.2Avg total
46.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.088.2+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.641.086.6+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.944.789.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.391.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.647.293.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.246.590.7-2.350%-
vs Similar (7)44.048.392.3-4.329%-
vs Weaker (17)46.139.585.6+6.676%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/12
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A19/01
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H26/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#7
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H02/02
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H01/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A08/03
BBL
73.9Avg total
39.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.578.7+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.133.475.6+8.781%-
Last 30 away (14)42.339.982.2+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.673.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.473.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.436.278.6+6.168%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.1
48.1%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
73.5%19.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.9
53.6%
54.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
73.5%13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLLWWWLWW
Bayern
WWLWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#2
+4.1
Net rating
-4.6
108.0
Offensive rating
106.5
103.9
Defensive rating
111.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
36.6%
62.9%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 106.5Defence103.9 · 111.1Shooting50.2% · 54.1%3-point %36.0% · 36.6%Ball care16.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds25.2% · 20.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
26/11/19Bayern v Ulm83-69
10/05/19Bayern v Ulm95-72
28/09/18Ulm v Bayern77-83
04/04/18Bayern v Ulm100-95
30/12/17Ulm v Bayern75-89
08/04/17Ulm v Bayern68-83
01/02/17Bayern v Ulm101-98 OT
04/01/17Ulm v Bayern57-68
26/12/16Bayern v Ulm79-87
10/02/16Ulm v Bayern74-65
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HLudwigsburg76-94
29/02/20ABayreuth85-69
14/02/20HBasketball Braunschweig98-103
11/02/20HAlba Berlin106-112 OT
25/01/20AGottingen86-65
17/01/20HBayreuth103-93
05/01/20HBonn85-73
29/12/19ACrailsheim Merlins79-91
21/12/19HSyntainics MBC96-80
08/12/19AOldenburg104-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ABayreuth91-75
01/03/20HOldenburg79-58
11/02/20AGottingen81-90
09/02/20HGiessen94-75
02/02/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg71-60
26/01/20HBonn93-85
19/01/20ALudwigsburg74-81
05/01/20AVechta76-68
30/12/19ABamberg82-76
22/12/19AGiessen82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.489.585.3
Allowed / game85.584.686.3
Point differential+1.9+4.9-1.0
Avg total172.8174.1171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Bayern
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game85.185.984.3
Allowed / game74.069.778.8
Point differential+11.1+16.2+5.5
Avg total159.2155.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%85.174.0+11.1
2 Ludwigsburg2117481%86.578.8+7.7
3 Alba Berlin1914574%93.481.6+11.7
4 Crailsheim Merlins2115671%90.084.4+5.6
5 Oldenburg2013765%84.383.2+1.2
6 Bamberg2112957%82.678.5+4.1
7 Vechta2112957%80.781.8-1.1
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg21111052%83.685.0-1.4
9 Gottingen21111052%82.285.1-2.9
10 Ulm20101050%87.485.5+1.9
11 Basketball Braunschweig2091145%89.591.5-2.0
12 Bayreuth2191243%86.286.2+0.0
13 Giessen2061430%84.789.2-4.5
14 Frankfurt2161529%75.280.6-5.4
15 Bonn2041620%84.391.2-6.8
16 Syntainics MBC2031715%89.597.5-7.9
17 Hamburg2031715%81.292.8-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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