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Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 109-94
28-16 29-35 28-24 24-19
Position#2
Record18-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.7
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#1
Record19-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game73.7
GermanyBBLRound 31· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 79
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 79
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 79
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
111-75
111
75
+36
104avg 79
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
101-90 OT
101
90
+11
94avg 79
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 79
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 79
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 79
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 79
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
117-87
117
87
+30
122avg 79
H06/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
29-20
22-16
18-32
22-16
16-20
29-11
25-19
26-15
21-23
27-11
17-23
11-18
34-17
32-21
34-19
17-16
20-33
21-13
28-24
22-21
19-13
24-19
19-20
11-10
19-18
17-19
15-23
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
34-8
22-28
26-24
35-27
173.3Avg total
93.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.379.7167.0+7.769%
Season at home (13)91.875.2167.0+16.592%
Season away (13)82.984.1167.0-1.246%
Last 10 (10)93.080.3173.3+12.770%
Last 5 (5)89.080.6169.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.285.3176.5+5.950%
vs Weaker (16)89.577.9167.4+11.675%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 80
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 80
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
60avg 80
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 80
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
89avg 80
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
90avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
85avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 80
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 80
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
22-23
16-17
15-16
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
10-11
18-19
19-17
23-15
21-25
27-25
23-33
18-29
29-13
27-14
18-13
17-26
30-28
26-27
20-22
26-24
21-23
21-21
23-19
24-11
28-19
23-10
14-19
16-27
22-17
22-31
30-13
16-32
18-19
31-18
22-16
23-19
168.7Avg total
86.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.273.7155.9+8.576%
Season at home (13)82.972.0154.9+10.992%
Season away (12)81.475.5156.9+5.958%
Last 10 (10)86.682.1168.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)91.283.0174.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.3101.0186.3-15.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.385.0172.3+2.353%
vs Weaker (12)84.273.0157.2+11.283%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H06/04
BBL
81.1Avg total
42.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.683.5+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.440.286.6+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.079.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.581.1+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.677.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.545.586.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.042.984.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker (16)44.137.981.9+6.275%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/04
BBL
85.5Avg total
44.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.183.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.080.0+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.286.3+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.840.785.5+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.691.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.347.389.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.241.182.3+0.140%-
vs Weaker (12)45.537.182.6+8.475%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.1
54.6%
52.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.7
40.2%
33.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws25.318.9
74.7%
73.5%18.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.916.3
58.4%
52.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.6
37.3%
33.6%37.8
🏀 Free throws18.815.2
80.9%
73.5%15.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWLWWWWWL
Bayern
WLWWWWLWLL
#2
League position
#1
+16.7
Net rating
+5.8
117.4
Offensive rating
115.2
100.7
Defensive rating
109.4
57.2%
Effective FG%
57.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.2%
3-point %
37.3%
59.1%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 115.2Defence100.7 · 109.4Shooting57.2% · 57.1%3-point %40.2% · 37.3%Ball care18.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
17/03/25Bayern v Ulm70-62
01/05/24Ulm v Bayern74-81
18/02/24Bayern v Ulm81-65
17/12/23Bayern v Ulm95-80
02/06/23Ulm v Bayern104-102 OT
30/05/23Bayern v Ulm88-93
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
04/04/23Ulm v Bayern59-77
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HChemnitz117-87
29/03/25ARostock67-85
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88
17/03/25ABayern62-70
14/03/25AVechta84-73
09/03/25HAlba Berlin101-90 OT
28/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig111-75
13/02/25AGottingen91-72
08/02/25HSyntainics MBC92-66
05/02/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv90-97
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-72
03/04/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
29/03/25AWurzburg81-75
27/03/25HPartizan89-74
25/03/25ABarcelona102-101
22/03/25HRostock91-66
20/03/25ABaskonia89-112
17/03/25HUlm70-62
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
11/03/25ABamberg68-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%92%46%
Points / game87.391.882.9
Allowed / game79.775.284.1
Point differential+7.7+16.5-1.2
Avg total167.0167.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%92%58%
Points / game82.282.981.4
Allowed / game73.772.075.5
Point differential+8.5+10.9+5.9
Avg total155.9154.9156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2519676%82.273.7+8.5
2 Ulm2618869%87.379.7+7.7
3 Heidelberg24141058%80.280.6-0.4
4 Chemnitz24141058%79.581.3-1.9
5 Basketball Braunschweig26151158%83.983.0+1.0
6 Syntainics MBC25141156%84.884.4+0.4
7 Vechta26141254%81.182.0-0.9
8 Wurzburg25131252%83.581.1+2.4
9 Rostock25131252%81.281.1+0.2
10 Hamburg25131252%81.082.0-0.9
11 Alba Berlin25121348%86.182.1+4.0
12 Ludwigsburg25121348%75.073.2+1.9
13 Bonn25121348%84.583.4+1.1
14 Oldenburg25121348%89.188.3+0.8
15 Bamberg25101540%82.684.9-2.2
16 Frankfurt2461825%76.283.8-7.6
17 Gottingen241234%80.495.6-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm28292824109
Bayern1635241994
← all games of the day
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