PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 May 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 102-104 (OT)
18-26 18-23 32-20 16-15 18-20
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game72.7
GermanyGerman CupGerman Cup - Semi-finals
Other2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A27/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H05/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
109-79
109
79
+30
H10/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A13/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A24/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H29/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A02/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
98-64
98
64
+34
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A09/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
24-22
19-24
17-28
19-19
28-13
21-18
20-14
27-18
14-14
23-15
27-10
31-18
22-26
28-14
28-21
22-29
30-27
23-15
24-22
21-26
20-15
20-20
32-14
21-17
23-26
28-21
21-14
17-27
24-17
31-21
13-5
35-18
21-14
17-17
25-15
22-25
17-21
24-19
31-16
167.3Avg total
92.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.073.7152.7+5.367%
Season at home (3)79.073.7152.7+5.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.474.9167.3+17.590%
Last 5 (5)92.673.6166.2+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)85.783.1168.8+2.633%
vs Weaker (21)89.676.9166.4+12.776%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A09/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
14-18
19-24
23-11
18-16
26-11
20-26
14-26
12-26
17-21
24-18
16-15
21-23
9-29
16-31
16-17
23-9
16-26
25-16
21-28
23-19
17-31
23-21
22-11
25-26
27-18
25-18
25-28
22-24
18-26
18-22
31-20
18-35
14-21
17-17
15-25
12-24
21-26
25-17
19-24
166.2Avg total
80.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.772.7161.3+16.067%
Season at home (1)89.095.0184.0-6.00%
Season away (2)88.561.5150.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.086.2166.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)83.490.6174.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.783.7158.3-9.067%
vs Similar (15)78.583.1161.6-4.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.776.5164.2+11.283%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H10/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A13/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H29/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A07/05
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/05
BBL
85.8Avg total
45.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.084.5+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.436.580.9+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)44.743.488.1+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.285.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)45.040.185.1+4.967%-
vs Weaker (21)44.439.984.3+4.557%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/04
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
BBL
83.3Avg total
38.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.579.2-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.978.8-3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.079.7-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.783.3-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.089.4-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.745.081.7-8.333%-
vs Similar (15)36.741.478.1-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.838.280.0+3.783%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.2
57.2%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.312.0
51.5%
34.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.8
81.3%
72.2%14.8
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.6
53.1%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.9
33.5%
34.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.3
76.5%
72.2%17.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWWWWWL
Bayern
LLLWWWLLLW
#9
League position
#1
+22.1
Net rating
-8.5
126.2
Offensive rating
108.7
104.0
Defensive rating
117.2
65.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
51.5%
3-point %
33.5%
64.3%
Assist %
61.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence126.2 · 108.7Defence104.0 · 117.2Shooting65.2% · 52.1%3-point %51.5% · 33.5%Ball care17.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
8
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
07/05/21Bayern v Ulm64-98
09/02/21Ulm v Bayern77-81
06/06/20Bayern v Ulm85-95
26/11/19Bayern v Ulm83-69
10/05/19Bayern v Ulm95-72
28/09/18Ulm v Bayern77-83
04/04/18Bayern v Ulm100-95
30/12/17Ulm v Bayern75-89
08/04/17Ulm v Bayern68-83
01/02/17Bayern v Ulm101-98 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/21ABonn94-81
07/05/21ABayern98-64
02/05/21AChemnitz85-70
29/04/21HCrailsheim Merlins93-78
24/04/21AOldenburg93-75
13/04/21ABayreuth99-93
10/04/21HGiessen109-79
05/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig91-57
01/04/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg88-64
27/03/21ABamberg74-88
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/21ALudwigsburg77-91
07/05/21HUlm64-98
04/05/21AOlimpia Milano89-92
02/05/21AGottingen102-90
30/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-79
25/04/21HAlba Berlin62-100
22/04/21AOlimpia Milano69-80
20/04/21AOlimpia Milano78-79
13/04/21ABonn89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
German Cup 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game73.773.7-
Point differential+5.3+5.3-
Avg total152.7152.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Bayern
German Cup 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game88.789.088.5
Allowed / game72.795.061.5
Point differential+16.0-6.0+27.0
Avg total161.3184.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin220100%96.572.5+24.0
2 Gottingen330100%100.390.0+10.3
3 Bayern32167%88.772.7+16.0
4 Bonn32167%87.781.7+6.0
5 Ludwigsburg32167%83.077.0+6.0
6 Ulm32167%79.073.7+5.3
7 Frankfurt32167%79.776.3+3.3
8 Bamberg32167%78.377.3+1.0
9 Syntainics MBC32167%94.0101.7-7.7
10 Bayreuth31233%95.397.7-2.3
11 Vechta31233%88.791.0-2.3
12 Crailsheim Merlins31233%79.385.3-6.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig31233%79.794.0-14.3
14 Giessen3030%91.3102.7-11.3
15 Oldenburg2020%82.093.5-11.5
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg3030%70.082.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm1818321618102
Bayern2623201520104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.