PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game70.1
GermanyBBLRound 32· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 80
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 80
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 80
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 80
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.185.4169.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)82.877.5160.2+5.275%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 83
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
19-29
22-23
24-21
22-29
176.1Avg total
88.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.070.1166.1+25.988%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (3)82.775.0157.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)88.687.5176.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)91.081.0172.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.495.3180.8-9.922%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.873.2163.9+17.679%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
Valencia
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
41.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.885.5+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.085.6+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.985.5-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.887.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.442.488.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.148.788.8-8.644%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.036.383.3+10.789%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
73.4%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
Bayern
LWWWLLLWLL
#11
League position
#1
-2.8
Net rating
+2.0
93.5
Offensive rating
101.7
96.3
Defensive rating
99.7
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
36.5%
59.4%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 101.7Defence96.3 · 99.7Shooting54.6% · 55.8%3-point %34.3% · 36.5%Ball care17.0% · 15.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Bayern v Ulm62-79
23/11/25Ulm v Bayern77-81 OT
26/06/25Bayern v Ulm81-77
24/06/25Ulm v Bayern53-67
21/06/25Bayern v Ulm79-81
18/06/25Ulm v Bayern79-64
15/06/25Bayern v Ulm82-66
08/04/25Ulm v Bayern109-94
17/03/25Bayern v Ulm70-62
01/05/24Ulm v Bayern74-81
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValencia87-102
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.182.885.2
Allowed / game85.477.591.8
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.6
Avg total169.6160.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game96.0104.082.7
Allowed / game70.167.275.0
Point differential+25.9+36.8+7.7
Avg total166.1171.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.