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Ulm vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-80
18-10 18-23 21-28 30-19
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game83.5
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.0
GermanyBBLRound 3· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Ulm v Rostock
24 Apr 2027
ULM v ROS
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
ULM87
ROS80
11 Jan 2025
ULM82
ROS72
03 Dec 2023
ULM89
ROS107
05 May 2023
ULM116
ROS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 80
A10/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 80
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 80
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 80
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 80
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 80
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 80
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 80
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
89avg 80
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 80
A02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-19
22-19
14-15
26-17
24-26
16-15
25-26
19-19
17-18
16-17
14-28
21-22
14-15
21-7
23-20
17-20
20-22
22-20
22-17
13-19
19-13
12-17
9-18
21-28
20-20
20-17
16-16
27-27
15-11
26-26
26-17
20-23
28-16
22-26
26-28
26-20
22-32
22-18
23-16
160.2Avg total
80.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.583.5177.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)94.081.0175.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)93.086.0179.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.779.5160.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)82.681.6164.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.093.0189.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.377.6160.9+5.867%
vs Weaker (17)91.181.8172.8+9.376%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
72avg 72
A12/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
65avg 72
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
98-74
98
74
+24
95avg 72
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
68avg 72
A26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
87avg 72
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
48-67
48
67
-19
34avg 72
H08/05
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
85-88
85
88
-3
77avg 72
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
66avg 72
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 72
A23/09
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 72
A28/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
31-13
18-23
17-17
18-16
9-16
17-10
18-20
26-11
35-22
21-18
16-23
21-25
17-20
18-25
23-22
21-18
25-29
16-23
32-24
18-8
9-22
8-22
13-15
26-30
19-23
14-8
26-27
27-21
18-24
13-23
25-27
27-18
26-20
24-25
24-19
24-25
6-17
28-20
20-26
166.9Avg total
83.5Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)83.583.4166.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)79.084.0163.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.780.5157.2-3.833%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.983.5166.4-0.647%
vs Weaker (4)80.878.5159.2+2.250%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
UlmRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/06
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H24/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H28/09
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A30/09
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#10
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A02/10
BBL
82.2Avg total
41.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.782.6+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.639.986.5+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.578.8-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.282.2-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.439.279.7+1.242%-
vs Weaker (17)44.440.184.5+4.471%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A12/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H08/05
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/05
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#19
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A23/09
German Cup
Trier
#12
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A28/09
BBL
81.4Avg total
42.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.580.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.935.978.8+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.781.3-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.381.4+2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.681.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.241.078.2-3.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.838.680.5+3.263%-
vs Weaker (4)36.842.078.8-5.225%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.3
49.6%
53.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.5
33.3%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.4
71.6%
73.5%16.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.1
47.1%
53.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
73.5%16.8
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLLWWLWL
Rostock
LWLLLLLWWW
#6
League position
#8
+0.7
Net rating
-1.4
106.0
Offensive rating
104.3
105.4
Defensive rating
105.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
33.1%
59.3%
Assist %
52.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 104.3Defence105.4 · 105.7Shooting49.8% · 48.3%3-point %33.3% · 33.1%Ball care20.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds35.8% · 28.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
3
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Rostock v Ulm85-67
11/01/25Ulm v Rostock82-72
14/04/24Rostock v Ulm71-96
03/12/23Ulm v Rostock89-107
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AOldenburg93-86
30/09/25ATurk Telekom96-93
28/09/25HChemnitz94-81
26/06/25ABayern77-81
24/06/25HBayern53-67
21/06/25ABayern81-79
18/06/25HBayern79-64
15/06/25ABayern66-82
12/06/25HWurzburg91-84
10/06/25AWurzburg77-78
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25ATrier78-88
23/09/25APhoenix Hagen101-82
13/05/25AOldenburg83-95
11/05/25AGottingen85-88
08/05/25HBasketball Braunschweig48-67
04/05/25AChemnitz102-108 OT
26/04/25AOldenburg79-92
20/04/25HBamberg98-74
17/04/25AFrankfurt77-72 OT
12/04/25AVechta84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.594.093.0
Allowed / game83.581.086.0
Point differential+10.0+13.0+7.0
Avg total177.0175.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg110100%98.075.0+23.0
2 Bayern110100%93.077.0+16.0
3 Wurzburg220100%82.070.5+11.5
4 Ludwigsburg110100%98.088.0+10.0
5 Ulm220100%93.583.5+10.0
6 Vechta110100%86.076.0+10.0
7 Syntainics MBC220100%88.581.0+7.5
8 Trier220100%92.585.0+7.5
9 Chemnitz21150%91.586.0+5.5
10 Frankfurt21150%88.586.5+2.0
11 Jena21150%82.088.0-6.0
12 Alba Berlin1010%92.097.0-5.0
13 Heidelberg2020%79.586.5-7.0
14 Bonn2020%69.078.0-9.0
15 Rostock1010%78.088.0-10.0
16 Oldenburg2020%80.591.0-10.5
17 Hamburg2020%81.597.5-16.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig2020%77.595.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1818213087
Rostock1023281980
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