PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Rostock Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game82.4
GermanyBBLRound 31· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ulm v Rostock
24 Apr 2027
ULM v ROS
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
ULM87
ROS80
11 Jan 2025
ULM82
ROS72
03 Dec 2023
ULM89
ROS107
05 May 2023
ULM116
ROS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 80
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 80
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 80
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 80
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.185.4169.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)82.877.5160.2+5.275%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 74
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 74
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 74
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 74
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 74
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 74
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
68avg 74
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-15
22-25
23-20
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
27-14
24-13
23-21
12-11
29-21
29-24
15-21
24-21
21-24
20-26
19-20
11-18
167.1Avg total
84.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.882.4172.1+7.462%
Season at home (4)92.277.0169.2+15.2100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.183.0167.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.277.4158.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.787.7162.4-13.014%
vs Similar (9)81.279.6160.8+1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.980.6169.5+8.257%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
UlmRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H10/11
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
42.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.483.6+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.838.883.6+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.683.6+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.486.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.286.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar (9)43.140.783.8+2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.437.683.0+7.971%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
73.4%14.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
Rostock
LWWWLLLLWW
#11
League position
#6
-2.8
Net rating
-2.9
93.5
Offensive rating
91.4
96.3
Defensive rating
94.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.3%
3-point %
32.7%
59.4%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 91.4Defence96.3 · 94.3Shooting54.6% · 49.7%3-point %34.3% · 32.7%Ball care17.0% · 16.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
4
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Rostock v Ulm97-87
19/04/26Rostock v Ulm68-75
04/10/25Ulm v Rostock87-80
29/03/25Rostock v Ulm85-67
11/01/25Ulm v Rostock82-72
14/04/24Rostock v Ulm71-96
03/12/23Ulm v Rostock89-107
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HCedevita Olimpija71-88
07/11/26HUlm97-87
04/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos86-59
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
06/10/26HRigas Zelli87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.182.885.2
Allowed / game85.477.591.8
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.6
Avg total169.6160.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.892.287.2
Allowed / game82.477.087.8
Point differential+7.4+15.2-0.5
Avg total172.1169.2175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.