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UMKC vs St. Thomas (Minn.) Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#260
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.8
UMKC
USA
vs
St. Thomas (Minn.)
USA
Position#251
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UMKC v St. Thomas (Minn.)
23 Jan 2027
UMKC v ST.
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
UMKC64
ST. 104
25 Jan 2025
UMKC65
ST. 68
03 Feb 2024
UMKC56
ST. 71
12 Jan 2023
UMKC81
ST. 60
03 Feb 2022
UMKC81
ST. 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Thomas (Minn.) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#156
W
100-93
100
93
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
35-48
26-56
33-39
30-36
29-37
30-43
40-51
21-44
41-40
39-33
22-43
55-42
45-51
20-36
41-43
51-21
36-44
33-37
35-39
151.7Avg total
69.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Season at home (1)100.093.0193.0+7.0100%
Season away (4)69.274.0143.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)69.782.0151.7-12.320%
Last 5 (5)75.477.8153.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.883.7151.4-15.97%
vs Similar (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A03/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#53
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#176
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H08/11
NCAA
Macalester
#441
W
119-82
119
82
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#201
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
41-45
50-27
34-35
31-28
37-25
39-37
41-30
34-28
32-39
38-36
49-42
22-40
40-36
33-33
34-43
54-42
65-40
39-35
38-44
151.2Avg total
79.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Season at home (2)93.079.0172.0+14.050%
Season away (3)75.377.7153.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)79.072.2151.2+6.850%
Last 5 (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.777.0145.7-8.30%
vs Similar (3)76.362.0138.3+14.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.273.7158.9+11.576%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -7.8-7.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -7.8-7.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
UMKCSt. Thomas (Minn.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A05/03
NCAA
Creighton
#160
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A03/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#156
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#161
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#309
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A11/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
34.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.472.9-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.637.974.5-1.338%-
Last 30 away (17)31.140.571.6-9.424%-
Last 10 (10)34.038.572.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.873.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.740.071.7-8.226%-
vs Similar (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#53
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#176
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/11
NCAA
Macalester
#441
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Army
#201
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.433.573.9+6.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.531.774.2+10.894%-
Last 30 away (13)37.635.873.5+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.372.2+3.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.067.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (3)40.030.770.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.433.774.0+6.786%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UMKC wins
7
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26UMKC v St. Thomas (Minn.)64-104
01/02/26St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC99-64
02/03/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC65-59
26/01/25UMKC v St. Thomas (Minn.)65-68
04/02/24UMKC v St. Thomas (Minn.)56-71
31/12/23St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC77-56
12/02/23St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC73-43
13/01/23UMKC v St. Thomas (Minn.)81-60
09/02/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v UMKC67-76
04/02/22UMKC v St. Thomas (Minn.)81-72
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AGeorge Mason68-76
11/11/26AFlorida A&M87-65
10/11/26AJacksonville Dolphins61-79
07/11/26HSouthern Illinois100-93
03/11/26ACreighton61-76
05/03/26AOral Roberts62-84
01/03/26HOral Roberts70-94
27/02/26HSouth Dakota St.59-73
21/02/26ANorth Dakota St59-95
20/02/26ANorth Dakota70-85
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AArmy77-79
12/11/26HMacalester119-82
08/11/26HWisc. Green Bay67-76
07/11/26AMinnesota62-76
03/11/26APresbyterian87-78
08/03/26HNorth Dakota66-67
06/03/26HSouth Dakota St.80-67
01/03/26HNebraska O.68-53
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game75.4100.069.2
Allowed / game77.893.074.0
Point differential-2.4+7.0-4.8
Avg total153.2193.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.493.075.3
Allowed / game78.279.077.7
Point differential+4.2+14.0-2.3
Avg total160.6172.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.440100%72.857.5+15.2
2 Nebraska O.53260%68.277.0-8.8
3 Oral Roberts42250%75.560.8+14.8
4 St. Thomas (Minn.)52340%82.478.2+4.2
5 UMKC52340%75.477.8-2.4
6 North Dakota St52340%77.283.0-5.8
7 North Dakota41325%72.886.8-14.0
8 South Dakota Coyotes51420%84.482.8+1.6
9 Denver3030%60.371.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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