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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 73-98
19-28 23-24 23-26 8-20
Position#10
Record4-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#1
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game81.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears
18 Oct 2026
VAER82
BBE123
29 Dec 2025
VAER70
BBE87
12 Jan 2025
VAER73
BBE98
21 Mar 2024
VAER79
BBE103
03 Feb 2024
VAER76
BBE98
01 Oct 2022
VAER84
BBE75
21 Nov 2021
VAER64
BBE90
06 Oct 2020
VAER74
BBE106
10 Jan 2020
VAER71
BBE85
29 Mar 2019
VAER87
BBE98
14 Oct 2018
VAER78
BBE90
10 Nov 2017
VAER69
BBE94
17 Nov 2016
VAER56
BBE110
04 Mar 2015
VAER66
BBE90
22 Feb 2014
VAER76
BBE103
29 Sep 2013
VAER74
BBE85
21 Oct 2012
VAER69
BBE87
18 Jan 2012
VAER66
BBE79
09 Oct 2011
VAER64
BBE75
08 Dec 2010
VAER79
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 71
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 71
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 71
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 71
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 71
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 71
H05/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
17-17
24-22
24-17
14-18
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
30-24
21-21
22-18
32-17
18-29
17-22
19-20
16-15
166.0Avg total
80.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.086.7163.7-9.729%
Season at home (7)76.684.1160.7-7.629%
Season away (7)77.489.3166.7-11.929%
Last 10 (10)80.385.7166.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)84.480.0164.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.491.4167.8-15.018%
vs Similar (6)84.578.2162.7+6.367%
vs Weaker (1)99.080.0179.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 88
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Slovan Bratislava
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
65avg 88
H10/12
ENBL
Horsens
#3
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
89avg 88
H14/12
Denmark Cup
Bamberg
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 88
A18/12
ENBL
Amager
#6
W
105-72
105
72
+33
107avg 88
H21/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
90avg 88
A27/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 88
H30/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
91avg 88
H03/01
Basketligaen
Fyllingen
#16
W
87-70
87
70
+17
80avg 88
A08/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
17-20
20-30
19-25
22-16
20-21
25-20
18-13
27-19
18-16
23-26
13-26
21-18
27-24
18-21
15-18
25-23
21-27
9-19
26-18
25-18
27-14
25-23
28-17
24-19
18-36
22-17
27-23
25-15
22-20
21-23
27-18
21-22
33-21
23-21
19-21
20-20
23-20
17-10
27-20
172.1Avg total
89.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.981.9174.9+11.071%
Season at home (6)93.384.0177.3+9.367%
Season away (8)92.680.4173.0+12.275%
Last 10 (10)89.682.5172.1+7.160%
Last 5 (5)94.879.6174.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.089.5177.5-1.550%
vs Similar (4)80.884.5165.2-3.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)93.278.9172.1+14.288%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A27/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H05/01
Basketligaen
83.5Avg total
40.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.881.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.442.984.3-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.779.5-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.383.5-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.485.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.243.181.3-4.927%-
vs Similar (6)42.338.781.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Slovan Bratislava
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/12
ENBL
Horsens
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/12
Denmark Cup
Bamberg
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A18/12
ENBL
Amager
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H21/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A27/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H30/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H03/01
Basketligaen
Fyllingen
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/01
ENBL
86.5Avg total
46.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.340.986.2+4.477%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.439.285.6+7.286%-
Last 30 away (16)44.342.486.8+1.969%-
Last 10 (10)46.040.586.5+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.088.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.046.093.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (4)40.840.881.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.940.586.5+5.483%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.0
27.6%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
70.2%15.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.5
58.3%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.7
34.0%
32.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.512.4
67.0%
70.2%12.4
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LWWWLLLWLL
Bakken Bears
WWWLWLWLWL
#10
League position
#1
-9.3
Net rating
+11.3
97.5
Offensive rating
112.7
106.8
Defensive rating
101.4
47.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.6%
3-point %
34.0%
68.4%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 112.7Defence106.8 · 101.4Shooting47.6% · 55.1%3-point %27.6% · 34.0%Ball care21.1% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 35.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Bakken Bears wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HSvendborg70-86
27/12/24AHerlev Wolfpack105-80
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
10/12/24HCopenhagen79-74
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AFyllingen87-70
03/01/25HRanders96-85
30/12/24HCopenhagen95-76
27/12/24AHorsens91-95
21/12/24HAmager105-72
18/12/24ABamberg81-87
14/12/24HHorsens95-92 OT
10/12/24HSlovan Bratislava81-87
30/11/24AVejen85-70
28/11/24ASvendborg80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL29%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game77.076.677.4
Allowed / game86.784.189.3
Point differential-9.7-7.6-11.9
Avg total163.7160.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game92.993.392.6
Allowed / game81.984.080.4
Point differential+11.0+9.3+12.2
Avg total174.9177.3173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1615194%89.272.6+16.6
2 Team FOG Naestved1614288%97.689.5+8.1
3 Horsens1511473%89.680.3+9.3
4 Bakken Bears1410471%92.981.9+11.0
5 Randers1610662%90.182.6+7.4
6 Vaerlose1441029%77.086.7-9.7
7 Holbaek-Stenhus1441029%81.793.0-11.3
8 Copenhagen1541127%82.086.7-4.7
9 Amager1541127%86.995.3-8.3
10 Herlev Wolfpack1541127%79.188.1-9.1
11 Bears Academy1631319%75.686.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose192323873
Bakken Bears2824262098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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