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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-103
24-23 18-24 13-28 24-28
Position#7
Record10-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#1
Record20-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game77.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears
18 Oct 2026
VAER82
BBE123
29 Dec 2025
VAER70
BBE87
12 Jan 2025
VAER73
BBE98
21 Mar 2024
VAER79
BBE103
03 Feb 2024
VAER76
BBE98
01 Oct 2022
VAER84
BBE75
21 Nov 2021
VAER64
BBE90
06 Oct 2020
VAER74
BBE106
10 Jan 2020
VAER71
BBE85
29 Mar 2019
VAER87
BBE98
14 Oct 2018
VAER78
BBE90
10 Nov 2017
VAER69
BBE94
17 Nov 2016
VAER56
BBE110
04 Mar 2015
VAER66
BBE90
22 Feb 2014
VAER76
BBE103
29 Sep 2013
VAER74
BBE85
21 Oct 2012
VAER69
BBE87
18 Jan 2012
VAER66
BBE79
09 Oct 2011
VAER64
BBE75
08 Dec 2010
VAER79
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
72avg 72
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
94avg 72
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 72
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
52avg 72
H18/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
15-21
20-19
14-15
17-25
17-23
24-31
18-19
20-23
19-29
21-23
18-24
17-17
17-21
21-31
21-29
23-18
16-19
18-23
23-19
27-17
28-20
31-20
13-23
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
23-31
18-17
31-29
23-21
27-21
21-21
18-24
18-25
17-24
20-22
11-19
16-21
167.1Avg total
80.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.386.7167.9-5.443%
Season at home (12)83.787.5171.2-3.842%
Season away (11)78.685.7164.4-7.145%
Last 10 (10)80.586.6167.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)82.883.2166.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.892.4171.2-13.613%
vs Similar (5)76.475.0151.4+1.480%
vs Weaker (9)88.978.4167.3+10.478%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
98-76
98
76
+22
105avg 91
A03/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
96-55
96
55
+41
106avg 91
H05/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
109-84
109
84
+25
112avg 91
H09/02
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
35avg 91
H13/02
ENBL
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
96-98
96
98
-2
93avg 91
A15/02
Basketligaen
Newcastle Eagles
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
94avg 91
A01/03
ENBL
Horsens
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 91
A04/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 91
H09/03
Basketligaen
Newcastle Eagles
#7
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
99avg 91
H13/03
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
98avg 91
A18/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-17
31-21
29-21
21-18
30-11
21-13
24-13
24-20
21-25
35-16
29-23
11-18
18-9
12-17
11-12
25-31
25-24
30-19
16-24
19-17
31-27
18-21
24-22
20-15
17-25
23-23
17-25
22-25
25-26
26-16
20-15
22-19
27-18
12-32
20-17
30-24
27-26
24-21
15-12
170.6Avg total
90.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)100.377.1177.4+23.287%
Season at home (11)104.675.6180.3+29.0100%
Season away (12)96.378.5174.8+17.875%
Last 10 (10)90.580.1170.6+10.470%
Last 5 (5)90.886.4177.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)113.099.0212.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (2)91.085.0176.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)98.177.4175.6+20.778%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H18/03
Basketligaen
83.2Avg total
41.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.483.7-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.942.685.5+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.442.281.6-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.283.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.045.685.6-5.633%-
vs Similar (5)40.438.078.4+2.480%-
vs Weaker (9)44.339.083.3+5.356%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A03/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H05/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H09/02
Basketligaen
Zwolle
#6
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
ENBL
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A15/02
Basketligaen
Newcastle Eagles
#7
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A01/03
ENBL
Horsens
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H09/03
Basketligaen
Newcastle Eagles
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H13/03
ENBL
Randers
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A18/03
Basketligaen
86.5Avg total
45.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.240.088.2+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.839.087.8+9.880%-
Last 30 away (15)47.641.188.7+6.573%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.286.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.044.492.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.050.092.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (2)45.546.091.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)48.639.287.9+9.481%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.1
46.2%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
31.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.9
75.2%
67.0%17.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.426.3
59.2%
51.8%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.9
31.3%
31.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.813.3
67.2%
67.0%13.3
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLLWWWLLLW
Bakken Bears
WWWLWLLWWW
#7
League position
#1
-6.7
Net rating
+12.8
100.7
Offensive rating
109.3
107.4
Defensive rating
96.5
45.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.9%
3-point %
31.3%
74.2%
Assist %
70.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 109.3Defence107.4 · 96.5Shooting45.7% · 54.8%3-point %29.9% · 31.3%Ball care17.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 34.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Bakken Bears wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HHorsens64-86
14/03/24ARanders84-91
07/03/24HSvendborg95-98
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61
15/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-80
11/02/24ARanders80-79
03/02/24HBakken Bears76-98
25/01/24HHorsens78-99
15/01/24ASvendborg76-98
07/01/24HHerlev Wolfpack81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24ARanders96-83
13/03/24HNewcastle Eagles96-92 OT
09/03/24HTeam FOG Naestved93-82
04/03/24AHorsens77-88
01/03/24ANewcastle Eagles92-87
15/02/24ATeam FOG Naestved96-98
13/02/24HZwolle52-56
09/02/24HRanders109-84
05/02/24HBears Academy96-55
03/02/24AVaerlose98-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLWLL42%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%42%45%
Points / game81.383.778.6
Allowed / game86.787.585.7
Point differential-5.4-3.8-7.1
Avg total167.9171.2164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game100.3104.696.3
Allowed / game77.175.678.5
Point differential+23.2+29.0+17.8
Avg total177.4180.3174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%91%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Horsens2421388%89.672.5+17.2
2 Bakken Bears2320387%100.377.1+23.2
3 Team FOG Naestved2417771%96.084.0+11.9
4 Svendborg2417771%91.182.6+8.5
5 Randers24141058%93.887.2+6.5
6 Copenhagen23121152%82.379.2+3.1
7 Vaerlose23101343%81.386.7-5.4
8 Bears Academy2371630%75.883.6-7.8
9 Herlev Wolfpack2351822%75.691.7-16.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2341917%72.190.4-18.3
11 Amager242228%75.899.5-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2418132479
Bakken Bears23242828103
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