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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 76-98
17-17 17-21 21-31 21-29
Position#7
Record7-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game75.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen (Vaerlose)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears
18 Oct 2026
VAER82
BBE123
29 Dec 2025
VAER70
BBE87
12 Jan 2025
VAER73
BBE98
21 Mar 2024
VAER79
BBE103
03 Feb 2024
VAER76
BBE98
01 Oct 2022
VAER84
BBE75
21 Nov 2021
VAER64
BBE90
06 Oct 2020
VAER74
BBE106
10 Jan 2020
VAER71
BBE85
29 Mar 2019
VAER87
BBE98
14 Oct 2018
VAER78
BBE90
10 Nov 2017
VAER69
BBE94
17 Nov 2016
VAER56
BBE110
04 Mar 2015
VAER66
BBE90
22 Feb 2014
VAER76
BBE103
29 Sep 2013
VAER74
BBE85
21 Oct 2012
VAER69
BBE87
18 Jan 2012
VAER66
BBE79
09 Oct 2011
VAER64
BBE75
08 Dec 2010
VAER79
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
59avg 71
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
72avg 71
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
60avg 71
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
87avg 71
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 71
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 71
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 71
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
72avg 71
H25/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-27
26-30
22-30
14-31
20-21
25-21
17-31
23-21
15-17
21-31
19-20
16-22
26-11
17-23
20-22
15-14
23-35
24-22
26-18
22-24
25-27
14-25
18-17
27-16
24-23
22-25
23-17
22-24
32-21
15-21
20-19
14-15
17-25
17-23
24-31
18-19
20-23
19-29
21-23
18-24
172.9Avg total
81.1Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.287.5168.7-6.344%
Season at home (8)83.886.0169.8-2.250%
Season away (8)78.689.0167.6-10.438%
Last 10 (10)81.191.8172.9-10.730%
Last 5 (5)82.089.4171.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.393.4171.7-15.110%
vs Similar (8)75.679.2154.9-3.662%
vs Weaker (11)87.274.4161.5+12.882%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 92
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
137-77
137
77
+60
144avg 92
H30/12
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
100avg 92
A03/01
ENBL
Svendborg
#5
W
110-77
110
77
+33
110avg 92
H06/01
Basketligaen
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 92
A09/01
ENBL
Amager
#11
W
107-69
107
69
+38
108avg 92
A12/01
Basketligaen
Lublin
#11
L
91-98
91
98
-7
78avg 92
H16/01
ENBL
Randers
#3
W
115-83
115
83
+32
107avg 92
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
86-89
86
89
-3
77avg 92
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Juventus
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 92
A26/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
20-24
27-20
17-25
39-16
30-29
31-19
37-13
24-24
23-9
25-22
22-16
25-33
31-8
25-23
29-13
19-29
26-15
22-19
20-20
26-17
30-17
25-22
26-13
25-25
23-18
26-26
17-29
18-18
27-23
39-22
31-20
21-16
19-21
19-22
27-30
24-20
22-28
17-19
32-20
182.2Avg total
100.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)102.675.5178.1+27.194%
Season at home (8)106.676.4183.0+30.2100%
Season away (8)98.674.6173.2+24.088%
Last 10 (10)100.282.0182.2+18.270%
Last 5 (5)98.885.2184.0+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.594.0189.5+1.550%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)99.176.1175.2+23.079%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A05/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H12/11
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H25/01
Basketligaen
89.2Avg total
41.2Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.382.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.242.385.5+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.378.6-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.248.089.2-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.489.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.147.387.4-7.230%-
vs Similar (8)38.938.277.1+0.650%-
vs Weaker (11)43.137.580.5+5.664%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H30/12
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/01
ENBL
Svendborg
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H06/01
Basketligaen
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/01
ENBL
Amager
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/01
Basketligaen
Lublin
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H16/01
ENBL
Randers
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Juventus
#2
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A26/01
ENBL
89.5Avg total
48.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.839.987.7+7.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.038.587.5+10.573%-
Last 30 away (15)46.641.287.8+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)48.840.789.5+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.687.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (4)43.045.288.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)49.438.287.6+11.283%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.520.2
45.4%
51.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.3
29.2%
31.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
67.0%16.7
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.829.6
63.2%
51.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.5
31.4%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.114.5
68.7%
67.0%14.5
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLWWLLWLLL
Bakken Bears
WLWLWWWWWL
#7
League position
#1
-14.4
Net rating
+21.1
98.0
Offensive rating
120.4
112.4
Defensive rating
99.3
44.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.2%
3-point %
31.4%
63.6%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 120.4Defence112.4 · 99.3Shooting44.8% · 57.3%3-point %29.2% · 31.4%Ball care17.8% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 34.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Bakken Bears wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HHorsens78-99
15/01/24ASvendborg76-98
07/01/24HHerlev Wolfpack81-76
28/12/23HAmager91-89
17/12/23ACopenhagen84-85
09/12/23HTeam FOG Naestved95-99
16/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus78-70
12/11/23HHorsens71-90
07/11/23HRanders85-94
05/11/23ABakken Bears72-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24AJuventus95-87
21/01/24HTeam FOG Naestved86-89
20/01/24HRanders115-83
16/01/24HLublin91-98
12/01/24AAmager107-69
09/01/24ABristol Flyers87-83
06/01/24HSvendborg110-77
03/01/24ATartu Ulikool94-71
30/12/23HHerlev Wolfpack137-77
28/12/23AHorsens80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game81.283.878.6
Allowed / game87.586.089.0
Point differential-6.3-2.2-10.4
Avg total168.7169.8167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game102.6106.698.6
Allowed / game75.576.474.6
Point differential+27.1+30.2+24.0
Avg total178.1183.0173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%88%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1615194%102.675.5+27.1
2 Team FOG Naestved1815383%96.880.2+16.6
3 Horsens1714382%88.970.4+18.5
4 Svendborg1814478%89.079.8+9.2
5 Randers1710759%95.485.6+9.8
6 Copenhagen1991047%81.279.0+2.2
7 Vaerlose167944%81.287.5-6.3
8 Bears Academy1641225%75.685.6-10.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack1831517%73.691.7-18.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1831517%69.289.8-20.6
11 Amager171166%71.698.9-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1717212176
Bakken Bears1721312998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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