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Valencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 100-89
34-29 18-23 24-21 24-16
Position#4
Record21-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#18
Record9-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game88.0
SpainACBRound 35
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Valencia v Estudiantes
02 May 2021
VAL100
EST89
12 May 2019
VAL90
EST82
13 May 2018
VAL93
EST69
15 Jan 2017
VAL93
EST85
20 Mar 2016
VAL62
EST68
26 Oct 2014
VAL84
EST67
27 Dec 2013
VAL96
EST84
09 Mar 2013
VAL81
EST71
08 Feb 2013
VAL77
EST59
28 Jan 2012
VAL85
EST71
16 Jan 2011
VAL66
EST74
18 Feb 2010
VAL75
EST73
11 Oct 2009
VAL80
EST68
19 Oct 2008
VAL96
EST73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A30/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
20-14
12-30
25-13
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
19-23
12-21
10-30
38-14
13-26
29-27
22-17
26-16
21-24
22-23
19-24
27-31
25-21
14-23
21-15
26-22
21-21
24-17
19-19
21-19
28-18
24-23
25-23
20-18
17-33
25-18
30-21
27-18
15-16
29-12
20-25
16-13
171.1Avg total
87.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.881.0166.8+4.866%
Season at home (16)88.982.9171.8+5.962%
Season away (16)82.879.0161.8+3.869%
Last 10 (10)87.483.7171.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)89.479.0168.4+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.094.0178.0-10.033%
vs Similar (11)81.575.4156.8+6.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.382.1167.4+3.167%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
A20/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A23/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
H29/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H04/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A11/04
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A15/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
82-96
82
96
-14
H18/04
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
101-102
101
102
-1
A24/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H30/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
20-24
21-18
19-21
18-24
26-27
28-24
22-19
15-33
24-31
8-13
21-21
22-14
24-29
20-19
14-18
18-25
15-20
23-24
19-16
20-28
21-28
15-22
21-23
24-23
20-32
25-17
23-24
11-18
24-22
15-21
32-35
22-23
25-37
24-27
30-15
23-18
15-29
28-15
20-25
181.8Avg total
87.4Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.388.0170.2-5.727%
Season at home (16)81.984.6166.5-2.625%
Season away (17)82.691.2173.8-8.629%
Last 10 (10)87.494.4181.8-7.020%
Last 5 (5)87.696.4184.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.190.6169.7-11.411%
vs Similar (10)88.486.4174.8+2.060%
vs Weaker (2)79.571.0150.5+8.550%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
ValenciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/04
ACB
84.6Avg total
42.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.580.9-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.183.5+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.878.3-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.884.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (11)40.437.377.6+3.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.341.782.9-0.447%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H17/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A23/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H04/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A11/04
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A15/04
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/04
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A24/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H30/04
ACB
92.2Avg total
41.0Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.481.8-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.740.778.4-3.043%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.884.8-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)41.051.292.2-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)41.051.692.6-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.245.083.2-6.822%-
vs Similar (10)39.741.881.5-2.140%-
vs Weaker (2)33.037.570.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.2
58.7%
53.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.6
36.9%
36.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.215.4
80.2%
76.6%15.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.9
49.7%
53.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
36.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
72.2%
76.6%11.7
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWLLW
Estudiantes
LLLLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#18
+5.3
Net rating
-9.5
117.8
Offensive rating
108.9
112.5
Defensive rating
118.4
57.3%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.9%
3-point %
36.8%
68.2%
Assist %
55.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 108.9Defence112.5 · 118.4Shooting57.3% · 51.8%3-point %36.9% · 36.8%Ball care17.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Valencia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valencia wins
2
Estudiantes wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/21AMurcia80-66
25/04/21HBilbao99-90
16/04/21HObradoiro CAB97-82
11/04/21ABasket Zaragoza85-76
08/04/21HBaskonia86-81
04/04/21HJoventut Badalona89-102
02/04/21AAlba Berlin90-86
31/03/21HOlympiacos79-88
28/03/21ATenerife86-90
25/03/21HBayern83-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/21HFuenlabrada86-87
24/04/21AManresa101-102
18/04/21HReal Betis82-96
15/04/21ABaskonia92-96
11/04/21ATenerife77-101
04/04/21HMurcia75-85
29/03/21HMoraBanc Andorra97-85 OT
23/03/21ABarcelona68-98
20/03/21ABasket Zaragoza113-104 OT
17/03/21HJoventut Badalona83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%62%69%
Points / game85.888.982.8
Allowed / game81.082.979.0
Point differential+4.8+5.9+3.8
Avg total166.8171.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game82.381.982.6
Allowed / game88.084.691.2
Point differential-5.7-2.6-8.6
Avg total170.2166.5173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)0% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3231197%87.575.8+11.7
2 Barcelona3228488%87.373.3+14.0
3 Tenerife3326779%88.579.0+9.5
4 Baskonia3122971%83.578.5+4.9
5 Valencia32211166%85.881.0+4.8
6 San Pablo Burgos33201361%87.083.0+4.0
7 Joventut Badalona33181555%86.085.2+0.8
8 Unicaja31151648%84.283.3+0.9
9 Gran Canaria31141745%80.784.2-3.5
10 Manresa34151944%84.087.7-3.8
11 Basket Zaragoza33141942%88.288.2+0.0
12 Murcia31131842%81.082.7-1.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra30121840%77.079.4-2.4
14 Obradoiro CAB32112134%80.284.1-3.8
15 Real Betis33112233%78.283.3-5.0
16 Fuenlabrada31102132%80.484.2-3.8
17 Estudiantes3392427%82.388.0-5.7
18 Bilbao3172423%79.787.5-7.8
19 Gipuzkoa3272522%73.787.1-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia34182424100
Estudiantes2923211689
← all games of the day
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