Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	91.3	82.5	173.8	+8.7	87%
Season at home (7)	91.9	79.9	171.7	+12.0	86%
Season away (8)	90.8	84.9	175.6	+5.9	88%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	84.2	176.2	+7.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	81.2	170.8	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	87.2	86.5	173.8	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (22)	90.5	81.9	172.3	+8.6	86%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#18

91-81

+10

85avg 88

H23/12

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

84-79

74avg 88

H28/12

ACB

Partizan

#15

86-73

+13

79avg 88

H30/12

Euroleague

Bilbao

116-72

116

+44

119avg 88

A02/01

ACB

Manresa

#10

103-76

103

+27

89avg 88

H04/01

ACB

Crvena zvezda

106-89

106

+17

104avg 88

A06/01

Euroleague

Monaco

#10

92-101

101

-9

86avg 88

H08/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

70-76

-6

56avg 88

H10/01

ACB

Basket Zaragoza

#17

115-73

115

+42

107avg 88

H12/01

ACB

Fenerbahce

79-82

-3

no box

A16/01

Euroleague

27-19

31-28

18-18

15-16

18-16

14-29

21-12

31-22

18-22

25-21

22-20

21-10

24-11

13-24

36-18

43-19

30-22

26-20

22-21

25-13

34-20

20-17

23-27

29-25

28-26

14-27

28-23

22-25

25-21

14-15

12-21

19-19

32-25

18-17

34-19

31-12

20-28

14-17

24-21

21-16

174.4Avg total

94.2Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	95.9	80.9	176.9	+15.0	80%
Season at home (9)	95.7	78.7	174.3	+17.0	89%
Season away (6)	96.3	84.3	180.7	+12.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	94.2	80.2	174.4	+14.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	84.2	176.6	+8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	88.1	83.5	171.6	+4.6	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	93.2	80.9	174.2	+12.3	75%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	20.4	42.9	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.4	20.9	44.3	+2.5	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	20.9	44.5	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.1	21.2	46.4	+3.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	20.5	42.1	+1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	21.0	46.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	24.0	51.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	24.1	22.1	46.2	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.3	20.4	43.7	+2.9	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.4	19.8	40.1	+0.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.5	23.2	44.7	-1.7	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.4	39.9	+1.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.2	20.6	41.9	+0.6	60%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#14

46-43

A20/12

ACB

Monaco

#10

43-47

-4

A26/12

Euroleague

Unicaja

46-54

-8

H28/12

ACB

Murcia

41-32

A30/12

ACB

Dubai

#11

44-58

-14

H02/01

Euroleague

Barcelona

44-48

-4

H04/01

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#20

36-41

-5

A06/01

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#12

48-47

H08/01

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

40-41

-1

A11/01

ACB

Barcelona

43-31

+12

H16/01

Euroleague

87.3Avg total

43.1Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	43.0	87.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	43.6	88.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.5	42.4	85.9	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	44.2	87.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.6	83.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	41.9	39.9	81.8	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	44.9	44.1	89.0	+0.8	55%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

#18

58-47

+11

H23/12

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

#16

32-45

-13

H28/12

ACB

Partizan

#15

43-43

H30/12

Euroleague

Bilbao

37-35

A02/01

ACB

Manresa

#10

56-42

+14

H04/01

ACB

Crvena zvezda

54-37

+17

A06/01

Euroleague

Monaco

#10

42-53

-11

H08/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

39-36

H10/01

ACB

Basket Zaragoza

#17

50-42

H12/01

ACB

Fenerbahce

34-45

-11

A16/01

Euroleague

87.0Avg total

44.5Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	41.2	85.4	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.7	40.6	86.3	+5.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	42.1	84.3	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	42.5	87.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.6	86.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	43.5	41.7	85.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.5	41.0	85.5	+3.5	60%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.6	43.7	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	19.8	44.5	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.1	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.5	43.7	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.2	46.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.5	41.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.2	44.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.6	24.4	47.0	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.4	17.7	40.1	+4.6	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	17.7	43.4	+8.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.1	20.4	45.5	+4.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	40.1	85.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.9	38.4	86.3	+9.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.4	41.6	85.1	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	40.0	88.9	+8.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	39.6	87.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (8)	45.4	46.6	92.0	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	45.5	37.8	83.3	+7.8	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	40.5	87.9	+6.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.1	37.9	83.9	+8.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	49.0	44.0	93.0	+5.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.7	37.7	87.4	+12.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	41.6	90.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	44.6	41.8	86.4	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	48.7	39.9	88.6	+8.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game

42%

39%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	22.0	58.7%	50.0%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.4	37.5%	42.2%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	25.4	19.7	77.6%	74.7%	19.7

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 93.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game

42%

39%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	22.1	55.2%	50.0%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	11.2	35.2%	42.2%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.9	75.7%	74.7%	15.9

They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	20.5	50.6%	50.0%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	10.0	37.7%	42.2%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.5	75.9%	74.7%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.1	55.4%	50.0%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	8.9	31.1%	42.2%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.5	77.1%	74.7%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	21.0	55.2%	50.0%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.6	34.2%	42.2%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	25.4	20.5	80.7%	74.7%	20.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.8	54.5%	50.0%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	11.8	36.1%	42.2%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.8	73.8%	74.7%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	19.8	51.1%	50.0%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.8	37.0%	42.2%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.0	76.3%	74.7%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.9	51.9%	50.0%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.4	32.5%	42.2%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.8	78.1%	74.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWWLWWWLW

Valencia

LWLLWWWWWW

League position

+8.4

Net rating

+16.1

121.1

Offensive rating

113.1

112.7

Defensive rating

97.1

57.7%

Effective FG%

54.2%

53.0%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

13.7%

Turnover %

14.5%

33.5%

Off. rebound %

35.9%

0.41

Free-throw rate

0.29

37.5%

3-point %

35.2%

58.6%

Assist %

60.4%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/25	Valencia v Real Madrid	89-76
28/09/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	94-98
25/06/25	Valencia v Real Madrid	70-81
22/06/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	102-96 OT
20/06/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-75
04/05/25	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-89
22/12/24	Valencia v Real Madrid	85-84
10/05/24	Valencia v Real Madrid	99-93
17/02/24	Real Madrid v Valencia	95-76
11/01/24	Real Madrid v Valencia	96-86 OT

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/26	H	Barcelona	80-61
11/01/26	A	MoraBanc Andorra	90-85
08/01/26	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	98-86
06/01/26	A	Lyon-Villeurbanne	80-69
04/01/26	H	Barcelona	100-105
02/01/26	H	Dubai	107-93
30/12/25	A	Murcia	91-80
28/12/25	H	Unicaja	91-82
26/12/25	A	Monaco	95-100
20/12/25	A	Forca Lleida	88-81

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/26	A	Fenerbahce	79-82
12/01/26	H	Basket Zaragoza	115-73
10/01/26	H	Unicaja	70-76
08/01/26	H	Monaco	92-101
06/01/26	A	Crvena zvezda	106-89
04/01/26	H	Manresa	103-76
02/01/26	A	Bilbao	116-72
30/12/25	H	Partizan	86-73
28/12/25	H	MoraBanc Andorra	84-79
23/12/25	H	Baskonia	91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	87%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	87%	86%	88%
Points / game	91.3	91.9	90.8
Allowed / game	82.5	79.9	84.9
Point differential	+8.7	+12.0	+5.9
Avg total	173.8	171.7	175.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	71%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valencia

ACB 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	WWWLW	89%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	80%	89%	67%
Points / game	95.9	95.7	96.3
Allowed / game	80.9	78.7	84.3
Point differential	+15.0	+17.0	+12.0
Avg total	176.9	174.3	180.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	78%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	15	13	2	87%	91.3	82.5	+8.7
2	Valencia	15	12	3	80%	95.9	80.9	+15.0
3	Barcelona	16	12	4	75%	88.4	79.8	+8.6
4	Murcia	16	11	5	69%	87.8	81.1	+6.7
5	Baskonia	15	10	5	67%	94.7	89.5	+5.2
6	Joventut Badalona	16	10	6	62%	84.5	81.2	+3.3
7	Unicaja	16	10	6	62%	87.1	83.8	+3.3
8	Tenerife	16	9	7	56%	86.9	83.9	+2.9
9	Bilbao	16	8	8	50%	84.4	85.8	-1.4
10	Breogan	16	7	9	44%	91.2	93.4	-2.1
11	Forca Lleida	16	7	9	44%	82.6	86.7	-4.1
12	Basquet Girona	16	7	9	44%	86.6	91.4	-4.8
13	Gran Canaria	15	6	9	40%	77.9	81.3	-3.4
14	Basket Zaragoza	16	6	10	38%	87.1	91.1	-4.1
15	Manresa	16	6	10	38%	84.6	92.6	-8.0
16	MoraBanc Andorra	16	4	12	25%	84.2	92.8	-8.5
17	San Pablo Burgos	16	3	13	19%	89.1	94.6	-5.6
18	Granada	16	1	15	6%	80.7	91.0	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	9	34	33	18	94
Valencia	24	19	17	19	79

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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