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Valencia vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-82
32-21 23-14 16-22 29-25
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game84.8
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
San Pablo Burgos
Spain
Position#13
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.5
SpainACBRound 5· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v San Pablo Burgos
21 Mar 2027
VAL v SPB
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
VAL100
SPB82
10 May 2022
VAL84
SPB70
08 Nov 2020
VAL81
SPB99
26 Jan 2019
VAL94
SPB92
05 Nov 2017
VAL87
SPB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
84avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 92
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
94avg 92
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-100
103
100
+3
98avg 92
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
102-90
102
90
+12
105avg 92
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
80avg 92
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 92
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
18-27
29-22
23-31
23-20
22-27
15-30
25-14
22-19
24-25
25-16
24-16
26-21
24-18
30-30
31-26
18-26
27-24
17-20
28-16
30-30
27-13
24-22
25-21
18-23
23-20
15-21
22-23
20-14
185.7Avg total
96.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)101.884.8186.5+17.0100%
Season at home (2)97.585.5183.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)106.084.0190.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.389.4185.7+6.970%
Last 5 (5)95.685.0180.6+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)87.091.4178.4-4.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)97.284.6181.8+12.795%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
71avg 83
A13/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
73avg 83
A19/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
78avg 83
H23/04
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 83
A27/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
85-54
85
54
+31
90avg 83
A03/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
104avg 83
H09/05
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
97-79
97
79
+18
88avg 83
H04/10
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
85-95
85
95
-10
71avg 83
A12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 83
A19/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
89-102
89
102
-13
60avg 83
H25/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
19-23
15-12
22-19
23-20
17-23
18-18
27-13
24-17
21-20
20-15
22-22
21-11
15-23
21-19
15-19
23-15
22-13
21-14
19-12
29-20
25-18
17-26
29-24
22-16
27-25
27-12
21-26
25-27
10-27
25-19
25-22
20-25
26-16
22-27
12-22
23-25
21-25
26-27
19-25
167.9Avg total
87.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.891.5179.2-3.825%
Season at home (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
Season away (2)82.592.5175.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)87.080.9167.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)90.290.8181.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (3)90.392.0182.3-1.733%
vs Weaker (26)89.674.3163.9+15.396%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
ValenciaSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A17/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/10
Euroleague
91.2Avg total
46.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.287.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.240.685.8+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)44.643.688.2+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.391.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)47.241.889.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)42.644.286.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.041.287.2+4.870%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/04
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A03/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H09/05
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/10
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H25/10
ACB
84.2Avg total
43.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.582.8+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.438.183.5+7.387%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.982.1+4.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.784.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.890.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)46.041.087.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)42.748.391.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker (26)44.437.381.7+7.173%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.919.3
60.5%
50.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.8
40.4%
42.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
74.7%17.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.2
49.8%
50.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
42.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
74.7%15.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLLWLW
San Pablo Burgos
LLLWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#13
+9.7
Net rating
-4.8
128.0
Offensive rating
105.3
118.3
Defensive rating
110.1
60.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.4%
3-point %
31.6%
60.4%
Assist %
50.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence128.0 · 105.3Defence118.3 · 110.1Shooting60.5% · 48.8%3-point %40.4% · 31.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds38.4% · 34.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
1
San Pablo Burgos wins
DateGameScore
10/05/22Valencia v San Pablo Burgos84-70
16/10/21San Pablo Burgos v Valencia65-69
17/01/21San Pablo Burgos v Valencia78-83
08/11/20Valencia v San Pablo Burgos81-99
26/01/19Valencia v San Pablo Burgos94-92
15/12/18San Pablo Burgos v Valencia77-87
11/02/18San Pablo Burgos v Valencia76-90
05/11/17Valencia v San Pablo Burgos87-78
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25HDubai80-78
28/10/25HFenerbahce94-79
26/10/25HJoventut Badalona102-90
23/10/25AOlimpia Milano103-100
19/10/25AForca Lleida99-78
17/10/25AMonaco84-90
15/10/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-100
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
San Pablo Burgoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HBasket Zaragoza89-102
19/10/25AReal Madrid80-90
12/10/25ABilbao85-95
04/10/25HBasquet Girona97-79
09/05/25HEstudiantes100-88
03/05/25AHestia Menorca85-54
27/04/25AGipuzkoa84-81 OT
23/04/25HFuenlabrada87-74
19/04/25AEstela85-74
13/04/25AOviedo78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.897.5106.0
Allowed / game84.885.584.0
Point differential+17.0+12.0+22.0
Avg total186.5183.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game87.893.082.5
Allowed / game91.590.592.5
Point differential-3.8+2.5-10.0
Avg total179.2183.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife440100%97.879.0+18.8
2 Valencia440100%101.884.8+17.0
3 Joventut Badalona54180%89.880.0+9.8
4 Murcia54180%87.678.6+9.0
5 Real Madrid54180%90.682.8+7.8
6 Unicaja53260%83.677.8+5.8
7 Forca Lleida53260%84.685.0-0.4
8 Baskonia42250%90.094.0-4.0
9 Basket Zaragoza52340%92.489.8+2.6
10 Barcelona52340%85.685.4+0.2
11 Gran Canaria52340%82.682.4+0.2
12 Manresa52340%82.084.6-2.6
13 Bilbao52340%78.084.4-6.4
14 Breogan52340%85.291.6-6.4
15 San Pablo Burgos41325%87.891.5-3.8
16 Basquet Girona51420%83.896.2-12.4
17 MoraBanc Andorra51420%79.897.4-17.6
18 Granada5050%77.489.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia32231629100
San Pablo Burgos2114222582
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