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Valencia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-68
17-19 23-19 18-19 21-11
Position#13
Record14-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#14
Record13-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Virtus Bologna
19 Nov 2026
VAL v VIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
VAL103
VIR94
21 Dec 2023
VAL79
VIR71
06 Apr 2023
VAL79
VIR68
04 May 2022
VAL73
VIR83
09 Feb 2022
VAL83
VIR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 75
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 75
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 75
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 75
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 75
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 75
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 75
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 75
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 75
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 75
H02/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
21-20
20-26
21-23
11-23
16-21
24-31
15-25
19-18
18-14
17-23
20-19
26-29
165.6Avg total
79.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.286.2168.4-3.944%
Season at home (16)82.681.6164.1+1.050%
Season away (16)81.990.8172.7-8.838%
Last 10 (10)79.885.8165.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)76.489.6166.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.587.8170.4-5.331%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.884.2166.0-2.550%
vs Weaker (4)88.581.2169.8+7.2100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
82avg 78
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
96-74
96
74
+22
100avg 78
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 78
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 78
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 78
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 78
H24/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 78
H26/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
80-111
80
111
-31
76avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
67-86
67
86
-19
58avg 78
A30/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 78
A02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
21-17
16-20
16-23
22-14
27-19
28-26
19-15
24-12
14-14
26-17
19-25
22-21
15-20
16-22
15-18
26-15
23-21
8-19
18-14
12-26
21-24
25-18
21-28
32-24
13-18
23-12
20-22
13-28
20-34
20-25
27-24
13-13
14-23
11-24
29-26
20-16
25-29
14-19
19-16
162.2Avg total
79.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.082.8160.8-4.841%
Season at home (16)79.679.9159.5-0.250%
Season away (16)76.485.8162.1-9.431%
Last 10 (10)79.382.9162.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)78.489.8168.2-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.088.5166.5-10.527%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.976.1156.0+3.757%
vs Weaker (11)82.977.0159.9+5.973%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
ValenciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/04
ACB
81.9Avg total
40.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.582.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.779.3+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.844.386.1-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.781.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.282.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.141.882.8-0.746%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.842.384.2-0.542%-
vs Weaker (4)41.538.279.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H24/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A28/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A30/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A02/04
Lega A
81.9Avg total
40.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.479.9-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.740.080.7+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)38.340.879.1-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.681.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.647.083.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.845.181.9-8.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.637.077.6+3.657%-
vs Weaker (11)42.238.280.4+4.073%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.9
53.0%
53.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.8
34.4%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
78.5%13.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.9
53.0%
53.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
36.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.613.5
81.3%
78.5%13.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLLLWWWLL
Virtus Bologna
LLLWLWLWWL
#13
League position
#14
-9.1
Net rating
-5.8
107.1
Offensive rating
108.0
116.2
Defensive rating
113.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
37.1%
61.0%
Assist %
67.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 108.0Defence116.2 · 113.7Shooting52.3% · 54.2%3-point %34.4% · 37.1%Ball care17.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.3% · 23.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HBaskonia81-85
31/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-95
29/03/23ACrvena zvezda73-92
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
19/03/23HGranada80-72
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23ATrieste78-80
30/03/23AAnadolu Efes67-86
28/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-111
26/03/23HPesaro88-76
24/03/23HReal Madrid79-96
19/03/23AOlimpia Milano75-69
16/03/23AMonaco68-81
12/03/23AVenezia83-68
09/03/23AAlba Berlin96-74
07/03/23HPartizan79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game82.282.681.9
Allowed / game86.281.690.8
Point differential-3.9+1.0-8.8
Avg total168.4164.1172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)44% (9)62% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game78.079.676.4
Allowed / game82.879.985.8
Point differential-4.8-0.2-9.4
Avg total160.8159.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos33231070%84.075.8+8.2
2 Real Madrid32221069%85.579.2+6.3
3 Barcelona32221069%80.976.7+4.3
4 Monaco32211166%83.681.4+2.2
5 Fenerbahce33191458%84.181.4+2.7
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%83.180.5+2.5
7 Partizan32181456%85.282.7+2.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas33181555%76.077.2-1.2
9 Baskonia32171553%86.083.4+2.5
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%82.981.6+1.3
11 Crvena zvezda33161748%76.877.5-0.7
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%74.277.3-3.1
13 Valencia32141844%82.286.2-3.9
14 Virtus Bologna32131941%78.082.8-4.8
15 Panathinaikos32112134%79.182.6-3.5
16 Bayern32112134%76.880.5-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3292328%79.684.8-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3282425%73.680.6-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1723182179
Virtus Bologna1919191168
← all games of the day
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