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Venezia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-81
23-18 19-18 21-17 29-28
Position#6
Record15-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game80.1
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game90.8
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Venezia v Varese
31 Jan 2027
VEN v VAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
VEN86
VAR75
11 May 2025
VEN83
VAR64
29 Oct 2023
VEN102
VAR88
23 Apr 2023
VEN92
VAR81
13 Feb 2022
VEN82
VAR93
20 Dec 2020
VEN86
VAR77
15 Mar 2020
VEN v VAR
upcoming
09 Dec 2018
VEN61
VAR66
21 Jan 2018
VEN63
VAR75
23 Apr 2017
VEN87
VAR81
20 Dec 2015
VEN84
VAR58
02 Nov 2014
VEN98
VAR95
02 Feb 2014
VEN77
VAR93
16 May 2013
VEN84
VAR72
14 May 2013
VEN79
VAR93
05 May 2013
VEN76
VAR71
18 Mar 2012
VEN71
VAR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#15
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 72
A15/03
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A19/03
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
59avg 72
H22/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 72
H26/03
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
76-93
76
93
-17
71avg 72
A29/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 72
A02/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 72
H08/04
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
73avg 72
A12/04
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
93-91
93
91
+2
89avg 72
A16/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 72
A19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
21-18
18-17
26-9
16-16
26-22
17-21
19-19
20-20
14-18
21-21
19-21
21-11
31-18
10-23
16-17
18-33
25-13
18-28
15-19
15-22
16-18
27-12
18-21
25-25
24-22
21-16
19-17
16-24
16-24
23-29
25-13
24-27
32-21
14-14
23-29
15-19
24-22
21-15
19-18
164.4Avg total
82.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.580.1162.6+2.456%
Season at home (13)79.573.8153.4+5.769%
Season away (14)85.285.9171.1-0.643%
Last 10 (10)82.981.5164.4+1.470%
Last 5 (5)83.481.6165.0+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.581.2156.8-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.379.9164.2+4.353%
vs Weaker (10)85.783.8169.5+1.950%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 83
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 83
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 83
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 83
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 83
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 83
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 83
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 83
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 83
H19/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
179.6Avg total
89.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)91.490.8182.2+0.659%
Season at home (14)92.489.1181.5+3.264%
Season away (13)90.492.5182.9-2.254%
Last 10 (10)89.190.5179.6-1.460%
Last 5 (5)90.488.0178.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.2100.6185.8-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.088.9176.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (10)97.791.6189.3+6.190%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
VeneziaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A15/03
Eurocup
Verona
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A19/03
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H22/03
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H26/03
Lega A
Prometey
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/03
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A02/04
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H08/04
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#5
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A12/04
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A16/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/04
Lega A
84.5Avg total
42.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.181.9+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.735.677.3+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)41.843.685.4-1.835%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.284.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.886.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.842.072.8-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.339.883.1+3.547%-
vs Weaker (10)44.440.584.9+3.970%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
95.8Avg total
45.4Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.393.5-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.745.791.4+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)46.648.995.5-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)45.450.495.8-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)42.848.691.4-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.250.894.0-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.444.691.1+1.864%-
vs Weaker (10)48.449.698.0-1.240%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
51.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.914.9
74.9%
76.1%14.9
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.3
53.8%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
36.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.416.0
78.4%
76.1%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WWLWWLWLWW
Varese
WWLWWLWWLL
#6
League position
#4
-0.5
Net rating
-2.5
106.1
Offensive rating
112.5
106.6
Defensive rating
115.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
37.4%
56.6%
Assist %
60.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 112.5Defence106.6 · 115.0Shooting53.3% · 54.9%3-point %35.8% · 37.4%Ball care19.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Venezia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Venezia wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Varese v Venezia93-90
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
14/04/21Varese v Venezia75-77
20/12/20Venezia v Varese86-77
17/11/19Varese v Venezia93-91 OT
31/03/19Varese v Venezia87-79
09/12/18Venezia v Varese61-66
21/01/18Venezia v Varese63-75
01/10/17Varese v Venezia62-80
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23ABrescia79-74
16/04/23ABasket Napoli93-91
12/04/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-90
08/04/23HTortona89-80
02/04/23AOlimpia Milano76-73
29/03/23APrometey76-93
26/03/23HReggiana78-69
22/03/23HJoventut Badalona74-80
19/03/23AVerona95-92 OT
15/03/23ABursaspor89-73
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
16/04/23ATrieste83-80
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
02/04/23ATreviso97-95
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLWWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%69%43%
Points / game82.579.585.2
Allowed / game80.173.885.9
Point differential+2.4+5.7-0.6
Avg total162.6153.4171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game91.492.490.4
Allowed / game90.889.192.5
Point differential+0.6+3.2-2.2
Avg total182.2181.5182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2822679%84.177.2+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%83.073.2+9.9
3 Tortona28181064%80.577.8+2.7
4 Varese27161159%91.490.8+0.6
5 Sassari28161257%84.880.6+4.2
6 Venezia27151256%82.580.1+2.4
7 Brindisi27141352%83.782.0+1.7
8 Trento27131448%75.877.2-1.4
9 Pesaro28131546%84.487.0-2.7
10 Brescia27121544%82.981.3+1.5
11 Scafati28111739%78.879.7-0.9
12 Treviso28111739%81.186.2-5.1
13 Reggiana27101737%75.877.0-1.2
14 Basket Napoli28101836%78.383.8-5.5
15 Trieste28101836%78.283.9-5.7
16 Verona2891932%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2319212992
Varese1818172881
← all games of the day
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