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Cholet vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-88
25-22 24-22 23-34 24-10
Position#14
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.0
Cholet 🏆
vs
Varese
Position#23
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals· Gloria Sports Arena
European cup2023Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
73avg 76
A05/05
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
H09/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 76
H12/05
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 76
A16/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
80-93
80
93
-13
82avg 76
A21/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
83-80
83
80
+3
74avg 76
H23/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
80avg 76
A25/05
LNB
Roanne
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
95avg 76
H16/09
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
62-60
62
60
+2
57avg 76
A24/09
LNB
Antwerp Giants
#43
W
76-72
76
72
+4
71avg 76
H27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
10-17
23-28
27-21
12-24
25-19
15-25
25-17
25-18
16-13
17-18
11-19
19-25
19-14
17-28
26-18
16-22
22-25
19-20
23-26
21-21
23-11
11-23
28-25
11-20
13-22
25-22
20-17
21-25
21-21
22-14
26-26
19-11
17-20
12-17
14-12
15-16
26-17
13-25
22-14
155.6Avg total
76.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.579.1155.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.075.8151.8+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.596.0173.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.080.2159.2-1.245%
vs Weaker (6)82.881.2164.0+1.750%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 83
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 83
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 83
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 83
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 83
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 83
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 83
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 83
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 83
A27/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
174.0Avg total
85.6Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.071.0144.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.071.0144.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.688.4174.0-2.860%
Last 5 (5)84.885.6170.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.297.2182.5-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.489.1177.6-0.750%
vs Weaker (10)97.791.6189.3+6.190%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
CholetVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A05/05
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/05
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A16/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A25/05
LNB
Roanne
#17
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/09
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A24/09
LNB
Antwerp Giants
#43
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/09
Champions League
74.5Avg total
36.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.480.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.737.680.4+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.240.980.2-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.674.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.874.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.549.089.5-8.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.238.479.6+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)41.239.080.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
86.7Avg total
41.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.546.992.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.345.491.6+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)44.848.292.9-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.586.7-4.310%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.850.291.0-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.244.790.9+1.557%-
vs Weaker (10)48.449.698.0-1.240%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.1
48.2%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
74.5%14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.0
54.4%
51.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
34.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.914.1
78.8%
74.5%14.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WWWLWLLWLL
Varese
WLWLWWLWWL
#14
League position
#23
-4.2
Net rating
-3.6
106.3
Offensive rating
107.7
110.5
Defensive rating
111.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.5%
3-point %
36.0%
57.3%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 107.7Defence110.5 · 111.3Shooting49.7% · 54.2%3-point %34.5% · 36.0%Ball care17.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.9% · 22.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cholet   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cholet wins
0
Varese wins
No previous meetings.
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23HAntwerp Giants76-72
24/09/23ADijon62-60
16/09/23HRoanne90-86
25/05/23ABoulogne-Levallois69-81
23/05/23HBoulogne-Levallois83-80
21/05/23ABoulogne-Levallois80-93
16/05/23APau-Orthez81-85
12/05/23HBoulogne-Levallois69-68
09/05/23HLe Portel77-85
05/05/23AFos-sur-Mer78-81
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
16/04/23ATrieste83-80
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
02/04/23ATreviso97-95
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Varese
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game71.0-71.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%104.560.5+44.0
2 Obradoiro CAB220100%82.061.0+21.0
3 Den Bosch110100%96.084.0+12.0
4 Norrkoping220100%80.073.0+7.0
5 Strasbourg220100%81.076.0+5.0
6 Cholet110100%76.072.0+4.0
7 Brindisi110100%77.074.0+3.0
8 Varese110100%73.071.0+2.0
9 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
10 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
11 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
12 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
13 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
14 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
15 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
16 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
17 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
18 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
19 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
20 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
21 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
22 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
23 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
24 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
25 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 25 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2524232496
Varese2222341088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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