Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	84.3	77.7	161.9	+6.6	76%
Season at home (14)	85.9	79.0	164.9	+6.9	79%
Season away (15)	82.8	76.4	159.2	+6.4	73%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	84.8	166.4	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	80.6	169.0	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	76.9	90.3	167.2	-13.4	22%
vs Similar (7)	80.7	77.9	158.6	+2.9	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	85.3	77.7	163.0	+7.6	77%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVarese

Date

Competition

Basket Napoli

#12

101-93

101

92avg 84

A05/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

110-99

110

+11

108avg 84

H11/03

Lega A

Sassari

73-102

102

-29

68avg 84

A18/03

Lega A

Verona

#16

98-94

97avg 84

H26/03

Lega A

Treviso

#13

97-95

91avg 84

A02/04

Lega A

Reggiana

#14

81-85

-4

69avg 84

H08/04

Lega A

Trieste

#15

83-80

72avg 84

A16/04

Lega A

Brindisi

93-86

93avg 84

H19/04

Lega A

Venezia

81-92

-11

no box

A23/04

Lega A

Scafati

#11

95-81

+14

98avg 84

H30/04

Lega A

28-29

28-33

25-16

20-15

34-23

28-36

26-21

22-19

21-27

21-24

4-32

27-19

15-27

28-22

30-27

25-18

28-21

20-30

24-22

25-22

14-29

26-20

15-17

26-19

17-24

21-19

23-22

22-15

20-27

25-24

30-12

18-23

18-19

17-21

28-29

32-16

14-21

23-20

26-24

181.9Avg total

91.2Scored

90.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	91.2	90.5	181.7	+0.7	59%
Season at home (15)	92.5	88.6	181.1	+3.9	67%
Season away (14)	89.7	92.5	182.2	-2.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.2	90.7	181.9	+0.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	84.8	171.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	86.3	97.0	183.3	-10.7	0%
vs Similar (16)	88.0	88.6	176.6	-0.6	50%
vs Weaker (10)	97.7	91.6	189.3	+6.1	90%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	22.4	40.6	-4.3	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	17.9	38.4	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.6	17.5	40.2	+5.1	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	26.3	49.7	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	24.6	47.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.0	28.3	49.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.7	24.0	49.7	+1.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.2	44.9	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	23.7	41.7	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	31%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.9	46.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	23.6	47.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	22.3	44.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	24.8	47.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.3	24.3	44.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.8	21.5	45.3	+2.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	25.6	48.3	-2.9	40%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-62

-29

A28/03

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#10

27-36

-9

A30/03

Euroleague

Trieste

#15

45-45

A02/04

Lega A

Valencia

#13

38-40

-2

A06/04

Euroleague

Basket Napoli

#12

34-41

-7

H08/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

#12

39-47

-8

H13/04

Euroleague

Trento

49-31

+18

H16/04

Lega A

Scafati

#11

43-37

A19/04

Lega A

Sassari

38-39

-1

H23/04

Lega A

Treviso

#13

49-52

-3

A30/04

Lega A

82.5Avg total

39.5Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	40.8	81.5	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	41.4	80.9	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	43.0	82.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	46.1	82.2	-10.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	39.4	79.7	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.4	38.8	82.2	+4.6	62%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Basket Napoli

#12

56-62

-6

A05/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#10

62-59

H11/03

Lega A

Sassari

42-51

-9

A18/03

Lega A

Verona

#16

43-49

-6

H26/03

Lega A

Treviso

#13

48-51

-3

A02/04

Lega A

Reggiana

#14

40-49

-9

H08/04

Lega A

Trieste

#15

38-43

-5

A16/04

Lega A

Brindisi

45-51

-6

H19/04

Lega A

Venezia

36-42

-6

A23/04

Lega A

Scafati

#11

46-37

H30/04

Lega A

95.0Avg total

45.6Scored

49.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	46.7	92.6	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	44.9	90.8	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	48.6	94.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	49.4	95.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.4	85.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	41.3	52.7	94.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	45.8	44.0	89.8	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.4	49.6	98.0	-1.2	40%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	21.7	44.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	20.3	45.0	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.7	23.7	46.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.5	21.2	46.7	+4.3	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.3	39.6	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.6	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.4	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.1	42.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.3	44.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.4	22.5	42.9	-2.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	40.2	84.2	+3.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	40.1	78.6	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.8	83.9	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	39.4	84.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.8	44.2	85.0	-3.4	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.4	38.4	78.9	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.9	38.9	80.8	+3.0	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	42.9	87.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	42.4	87.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	43.3	86.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	41.3	86.9	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	40.4	86.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	45.0	44.3	89.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.9	44.0	85.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.7	40.9	88.6	+6.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	19.0	55.4%	51.3%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.2	36.2%	36.4%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.4	78.2%	76.1%	15.4

They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.7	55.0%	51.3%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	11.5	38.0%	36.4%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	20.7	16.2	78.3%	76.1%	16.2

They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.3	54.5%	51.3%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.0	40.0%	36.4%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	14.7	11.4	77.6%	76.1%	11.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.7	23.7	51.9%	51.3%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.5	34.0%	36.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.3	77.6%	76.1%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	17.9	53.6%	51.3%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.5	36.9%	36.4%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.3	15.4	80.1%	76.1%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	19.2	55.0%	51.3%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.4	11.9	36.8%	36.4%	35.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.4	74.0%	76.1%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.4	51.5%	51.3%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.4	37.3%	36.4%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	16.7	13.0	78.0%	76.1%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	23.5	52.6%	51.3%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.4	37.5%	36.4%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.0	75.3%	76.1%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Virtus Bologna

LWWWWLLLLL

Varese

WLWWLWWLWW

League position

-4.1

Net rating

+1.1

111.8

Offensive rating

114.2

115.9

Defensive rating

113.0

54.9%

Effective FG%

55.9%

56.6%

Opp. effective FG%

51.6%

18.6%

Turnover %

16.5%

27.6%

Off. rebound %

26.5%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.31

36.2%

3-point %

38.0%

67.4%

Assist %

58.3%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Virtus Bologna ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81
03/10/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	97-56
27/02/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	85-76
24/10/20	Varese v Virtus Bologna	73-85
19/10/19	Virtus Bologna v Varese	87-80
12/05/19	Virtus Bologna v Varese	84-72
13/01/19	Varese v Virtus Bologna	79-86
22/04/18	Virtus Bologna v Varese	69-71
26/12/17	Varese v Virtus Bologna	85-90 OT

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/23	A	Treviso	88-89
23/04/23	H	Sassari	86-69
19/04/23	A	Scafati	83-81
16/04/23	H	Trento	96-80
13/04/23	H	Olimpia Milano	89-84
08/04/23	H	Basket Napoli	81-89
06/04/23	A	Valencia	68-79
02/04/23	A	Trieste	78-80
30/03/23	A	Anadolu Efes	67-86
28/03/23	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	80-111

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/23	H	Scafati	95-81
23/04/23	A	Venezia	81-92
19/04/23	H	Brindisi	93-86
16/04/23	A	Trieste	83-80
08/04/23	H	Reggiana	81-85
02/04/23	A	Treviso	97-95
26/03/23	H	Verona	98-94
18/03/23	A	Sassari	73-102
11/03/23	H	Pesaro	110-99
05/03/23	A	Basket Napoli	101-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	76%
Home	WWLWW	79%
Away	WWLWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	76%	79%	73%
Points / game	84.3	85.9	82.8
Allowed / game	77.7	79.0	76.4
Point differential	+6.6	+6.9	+6.4
Avg total	161.9	164.9	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	43%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	100% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

Varese

Lega A 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	59%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	59%	67%	50%
Points / game	91.2	92.5	89.7
Allowed / game	90.5	88.6	92.5
Point differential	+0.7	+3.9	-2.8
Avg total	181.7	181.1	182.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	20%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	57% (7)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	29	22	7	76%	82.8	73.2	+9.6
2	Virtus Bologna	29	22	7	76%	84.3	77.7	+6.6
3	Tortona	29	18	11	62%	80.3	77.8	+2.6
4	Sassari	29	17	12	59%	84.9	80.5	+4.4
5	Varese	29	17	12	59%	91.2	90.5	+0.7
6	Venezia	29	16	13	55%	82.9	80.3	+2.6
7	Trento	29	15	14	52%	76.5	77.3	-0.8
8	Brescia	29	14	15	48%	82.3	80.5	+1.8
9	Brindisi	29	14	15	48%	82.8	81.9	+0.9
10	Pesaro	29	13	16	45%	84.4	87.4	-3.0
11	Treviso	29	12	17	41%	81.4	86.3	-4.9
12	Scafati	29	11	18	38%	78.8	80.2	-1.4
13	Basket Napoli	29	11	18	38%	79.0	83.9	-4.9
14	Trieste	29	11	18	38%	78.4	83.7	-5.2
15	Reggiana	29	10	19	34%	75.6	77.3	-1.7
16	Verona	29	9	20	31%	78.3	85.6	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	23	20	27	28	98
Varese	24	15	22	21	82

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Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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