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Torino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 92-83
14-25 26-16 29-20 23-22
Position#12
Record12-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.1
Torino 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#8
Record16-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game75.1
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Torino v Varese
07 Apr 2019
TOR72
VAR66
09 May 2018
TOR92
VAR83
07 May 2017
TOR89
VAR76
28 Feb 2016
TOR72
VAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
126avg 108
H04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
109avg 108
H11/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
A18/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A25/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
103avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
109avg 108
A08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
65-67
65
67
-2
94avg 108
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
82-89
82
89
-7
106avg 108
A23/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
118avg 108
H29/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
A06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-18
16-32
18-21
23-18
19-26
8-18
28-26
27-20
17-24
18-23
18-22
17-23
23-17
20-15
20-29
27-32
11-31
16-12
28-20
22-21
23-16
19-27
23-24
13-23
22-16
12-25
13-10
18-16
21-18
21-22
18-25
22-24
27-10
15-28
24-22
22-32
11-21
23-27
27-16
22-19
170.3Avg total
81.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.783.1163.8-2.441%
Season at home (14)81.981.1162.9+0.850%
Season away (15)79.685.1164.7-5.533%
Last 10 (10)81.988.4170.3-6.510%
Last 5 (5)81.687.2168.8-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.286.4165.6-7.226%
vs Similar (7)77.681.6159.1-4.029%
vs Weaker (3)93.088.7181.7+4.3100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
96avg 112
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
98avg 112
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
123avg 112
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
118avg 112
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
75-73
75
73
+2
99avg 112
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
110avg 112
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-69
71
69
+2
95avg 112
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
69-65
69
65
+4
101avg 112
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
126avg 112
H06/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
26-12
22-16
14-19
26-21
23-21
22-20
10-16
20-16
28-10
15-25
12-24
25-14
18-22
10-14
19-16
24-17
8-13
17-14
24-10
20-28
24-17
23-23
22-20
20-19
152.9Avg total
78.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.375.1153.5+3.255%
Season at home (15)82.173.9156.1+8.273%
Season away (14)74.376.4150.7-2.136%
Last 10 (10)78.474.5152.9+3.980%
Last 5 (5)76.871.8148.6+5.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.573.0147.5+1.550%
vs Similar (19)78.476.3154.7+2.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.974.7153.6+4.256%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
TorinoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H11/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H14/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/05
Lega A
80.3Avg total
37.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.380.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.576.5+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.342.883.1-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.680.3-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.080.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.341.781.0-2.542%-
vs Similar (7)37.336.373.6+1.057%-
vs Weaker (3)46.744.391.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H31/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A22/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H29/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/05
Lega A
74.6Avg total
39.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.677.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.635.779.3+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.574.9-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.374.6+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.873.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.037.575.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (19)40.338.578.8+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.235.673.8+2.756%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.7
50.9%
51.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.7
33.6%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
73.0%16.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.2
50.4%
51.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.7
38.6%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.312.1
74.2%
73.0%12.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LLLLLLLLLW
Varese
WWWWWWWWLL
#12
League position
#8
-7.2
Net rating
+5.3
108.7
Offensive rating
110.6
115.9
Defensive rating
105.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.6%
3-point %
38.6%
59.5%
Assist %
63.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 110.6Defence115.9 · 105.3Shooting50.7% · 53.5%3-point %33.6% · 38.6%Ball care17.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Torino   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Torino wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
14/01/18Varese v Torino89-92
07/05/17Torino v Varese89-76
07/01/17Varese v Torino79-86
28/02/16Torino v Varese72-84
08/11/15Varese v Torino92-78
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18ABrescia95-98 OT
29/04/18HTrento88-92
23/04/18AReggiana82-89
14/04/18HVirtus Bologna65-67
08/04/18AOlimpia Milano78-90
31/03/18HPistoia77-84
25/03/18ACantu90-93
18/03/18ACremona70-92
11/03/18HVenezia82-90
04/03/18HCapo d'Orlando92-89
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18HCremona89-79
29/04/18HBrindisi69-65
22/04/18AVirtus Bologna71-69
15/04/18HReggiana80-73
08/04/18ACapo d'Orlando75-73
31/03/18HPesaro88-68
25/03/18ASassari91-87
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82
04/03/18APistoia65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game80.781.979.6
Allowed / game83.181.185.1
Point differential-2.4+0.8-5.5
Avg total163.8162.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)40% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game78.382.174.3
Allowed / game75.173.976.4
Point differential+3.2+8.2-2.1
Avg total153.5156.1150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%82.074.3+7.7
2 Venezia2922776%82.578.6+3.9
3 Brescia2920969%79.775.6+4.1
4 Avellino29191066%83.277.2+6.0
5 Trento29181162%81.076.8+4.2
6 Varese29161355%78.375.1+3.2
7 Virtus Bologna29151452%77.775.4+2.3
8 Cantu29151452%86.987.2-0.3
9 Sassari29141548%85.383.0+2.3
10 Cremona29141548%84.082.8+1.2
11 Reggiana29121741%76.578.0-1.6
12 Torino29121741%80.783.1-2.4
13 Brindisi2992031%77.081.5-4.5
14 Pistoia2992031%75.181.5-6.4
15 Pesaro2982128%76.984.0-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2972224%71.083.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino1426292392
Varese2516202283
← all games of the day
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