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Varese vs TSU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-83
37-16 34-17 17-31 21-19
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.5
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#41
Record1-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 82
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 82
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 82
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 82
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 82
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 82
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 82
A29/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
173.4Avg total
83.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.085.5172.5+1.550%
Season at home (1)79.091.0170.0-12.00%
Season away (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.490.0173.4-6.630%
Last 5 (5)84.887.6172.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.699.6182.2-17.00%
vs Similar (15)85.288.3173.5-3.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)99.289.9189.1+9.4100%
This opponent (TSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TSULast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTSU
Date
Competition
Rustavi
#3
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A20/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A21/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
H24/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
77-106
77
106
-29
no box
H25/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
A28/05
Superleague
Benfica
#28
L
62-122
62
122
-60
52avg 73
A25/09
Champions League
Gottingen
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
80avg 73
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CIU
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 73
A21/10
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 73
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Orbi
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 73
H28/10
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
14-22
20-10
23-16
15-23
20-21
18-21
14-15
25-20
14-13
29-17
17-30
20-23
15-27
25-29
17-27
22-19
22-20
16-22
27-14
15-25
17-32
18-36
12-29
20-12
13-28
25-21
23-25
18-22
27-24
21-22
23-17
11-16
15-22
17-7
20-15
27-24
29-24
23-17
20-21
162.5Avg total
77.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.073.0145.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)77.984.6162.5-6.760%
Last 5 (5)78.887.8166.6-9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)83.282.5165.7+0.664%
vs Weaker (17)89.282.4171.5+6.882%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
VareseTSU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
89.1Avg total
43.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.346.991.2-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.145.190.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.648.692.1-5.012%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.189.1-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.490.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.452.293.6-10.80%-
vs Similar (15)44.146.190.1-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.946.695.5+2.250%-
This opponent (TSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rustavi
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A20/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A21/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H25/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/05
Superleague
Benfica
#28
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A25/09
Champions League
Gottingen
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CIU
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/10
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Orbi
#6
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H28/10
Superleague
80.6Avg total
37.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.182.5-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.783.4+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.343.481.7-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.580.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.884.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.642.982.5-3.336%-
vs Weaker (17)41.940.882.7+1.265%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.615.6
51.0%
52.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.3
36.6%
33.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws13.711.1
81.0%
73.0%11.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
TSUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TSU: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.0
51.4%
52.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.4
29.1%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.4
67.9%
73.0%11.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLLWLWL
TSU
WWWLLWLWLW
#7
League position
#41
-9.1
Net rating
-11.8
104.2
Offensive rating
97.3
113.4
Defensive rating
109.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.6%
3-point %
29.1%
67.8%
Assist %
70.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 97.3Defence113.4 · 109.1Shooting53.1% · 48.5%3-point %36.6% · 29.1%Ball care16.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds19.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ TSU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
TSU wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
TSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HOrbi99-86
25/10/23HKeravnos63-60
21/10/23ACIU89-85
18/10/23AGottingen81-86
25/09/23ABenfica62-122
28/05/23ARustavi87-75
25/05/23HRustavi77-106
24/05/23HRustavi85-80
21/05/23ARustavi67-80
20/05/23ARustavi69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.079.095.0
Allowed / game85.591.080.0
Point differential+1.5-12.0+15.0
Avg total172.5170.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
TSU
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.063.081.0
Allowed / game73.060.086.0
Point differential-1.0+3.0-5.0
Avg total145.0123.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao330100%92.767.0+25.7
2 Leiden330100%60.341.0+19.3
3 Chemnitz330100%86.368.0+18.3
4 Nymburk330100%87.370.3+17.0
5 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
6 Legia330100%87.072.7+14.3
7 Gottingen330100%89.077.0+12.0
8 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
9 Basket Zaragoza440100%86.078.0+8.0
10 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
11 Manisa54180%81.274.0+7.2
12 Jonava32167%89.380.0+9.3
13 Bahcesehir Kol.32167%83.075.0+8.0
14 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
15 Levice32167%79.377.3+2.0
16 AEK Larnaca32167%77.077.0+0.0
17 Peja32167%84.787.0-2.3
18 Caledonia Gladiators32167%68.079.0-11.0
19 Rostock53260%85.674.6+11.0
20 Gravelines-Dunkerque21150%76.063.0+13.0
21 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
22 Varese21150%87.085.5+1.5
23 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
24 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
25 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
26 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
27 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
28 Sporting CP21150%76.580.0-3.5
29 Sabah Baku63350%74.880.3-5.5
30 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
31 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
32 Anwil Wloclawek31233%73.763.3+10.3
33 CSM Oradea31233%85.785.3+0.3
34 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
35 Mornar Bar31233%71.077.0-6.0
36 Spojnia Stargard31233%79.085.3-6.3
37 Norrkoping31233%66.075.7-9.7
38 Karhu Basket31233%76.087.7-11.7
39 Keravnos51420%78.480.2-1.8
40 Kataja51420%71.480.6-9.2
41 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
42 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
43 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
44 Bakken Bears3030%74.382.0-7.7
45 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
46 Den Bosch3030%79.789.3-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu3030%57.782.7-25.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese37341721109
TSU1617311983
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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